Name: The Odds: Will the groundhogs get it right?
Uploaded: 2026-02-04T17:08:37.000Z
Duration: 3 min 46 s
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There's almost no story that I disdain more than Groundhog Day.

I think it's usually an insult to our intelligence and a waste of our time.

However, today is the singular exception because we have a groundbreaking way to look at these rodents and what they're saying.

With us now, CNN chief Data analyst Harry and.

I don't even know if, like, it sees a shadow of literate.

I mean, I don't even know what that means.

And, you know, there's this whole idea of pucks atoni.

It turns out there are a ton of rodents out there who are predicting the winter or the spring.

We got Staten Island Chuck here in New York.

No, we've got General Beauregard Lee down in the great state of Georgia.

Later today, we will, in fact, get Groundhog Sam Champion out on Long island.

And we will also have Groundhog Harry, my namesake.

That's actually Harold Ramis out in Chicago, Illinois.

The rodents are, in fact, united on this.

We are going to see six more weeks of winter according to at least these rodents.

Of these groundhogs, who does the best job predicting?

Okay, so I think Punxsutawney Phil has been getting away with groundhog murder.

It turns out his prediction, his accuracy rate ain't too hot to trot.

It turns out that the two best groundhogs, if you're interested in predicting whether or not we're going to have six more weeks of winter, are General Beauregard lead down in the great state of Georgia.

And of course, Staten Island Chuck is actually number one.

He has correctly forecasted whether or not we get six more weeks of winter.

And of course, at this point, he says that, in fact, we are not going to get an early spring.

Therefore, six more weeks of winter in Staten Island.

Chuck has the hardest job because his life is always in peril.

Let's talk about and this is the reason to do this segment.

All right, so you've crunched some data here.

What is your analysis of all this data suggest?

therefore we create an Entan's aggregate, a weighted average, Enton's weighted groundhog forecast.

And I'm sorry to say, folks, this is why I got the minute on today.

We're looking for a long winter, six more weeks of winter.

Of course, it's good news for the audience that the groundhogs in fact are calling for six more weeks of winter, because otherwise I would have come out in my Mankini instead.

If it was in early spring, that's qualify that as great news.

You know, what are the chances that we're going to see a lot more snow?

Now, of course, the key question is, is it just going to be cold and dry or is it going to be cold and snowy?

Well, according to the prediction markets, at least the chance that New York City gets over 6 inches of snow in the month of February, we're talking 51% chance.

And that would actually be less if we only got 6 inches than the 8.8 inches that we average here in Central Park, New York City.

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The Odds: Will the groundhogs get it right?

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