Name: Michael Osterholm at the Clinton School | 2006
Uploaded: 2020-03-16T19:54:26.000Z
Duration: 1 h 34 min 56 s
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My name is Skip Rutherford, and I am dean of the University of Arkansas Clinton School.

Let me introduce to you who just walked in no stranger to Arkansas founding dean of the Clinton School of Public Service, Senator David Pryor.

Stand up on behalf of the students, faculty and staff.

Welcome you to this community conversation.

It is amazing what a great speaker and a great topic will do for a crowd.

They are on their international internships.

And before you leave, take a look at the map on the back of the room.

Certainly of interest to us is the this virus and its impact on the countries where our students are now working.

So this topic is both timely and personal, and we're glad to have you here.

We will be announcing our new class in early August, and we'll also be announcing our distinguished Mr Public Print programming schedule, which I think you all will like.

Enjoy, I hope, like our e mail system where people can respond and come to these events get used to bore because we've got a lot coming this fall.

And coordinating that activity is a young man who was a graduate of the University of Nebraska in a pretty fair tennis player in his own right.

No, and joined us about a year, year and 1/2 ago at the school and is now the director.

It is done a fabulous job recruiting an attractive quality.

So the introduce our guest speaker, I want you to be a young man that you're gonna hear a lot about the future.

One of the talented young people that we're glad to have on the staff of the Clinton School.

Would you welcome a native of South Carolina, a graduate of the University of Nebraska, Patrick Kennedy.

I, too, would like to thank everyone for coming out tonight and want to welcome you to the Clinton School.

And I'm excited to have you all here and more in the future.

I'd also like to give a special thanks to Dr Thomas Bruce, our associate dean, who has been a strong advocate of holding conversations that global health here at the Clinton School and under his leadership, we will continue to have more of these calm discussing the intersections between global health and public service.

I can sure thank you for all your help and guidance in this process.

But tonight we're here to discuss an issue that is pretty important issue and is received much publicity lately.

And that is the threat of a global pandemic.

Uh, much of the conversations that you have seen as of recently has been about the avian influenza virus, also known as the H five n one virus that could potentially trigger a global pandemic and cause massive chaos and disrupt all aspects of life with the United States and around the world.

Um, our speaker tonight continually emphasize, is that whether it's the avian influenza or it is an emerging disease that we have yet found and it doesn't even exist yet a global pandemic will, in fact, come the he equates it frequently to the hurricanes.

We don't know what shape will take, but it will come.

In fact, our speaker recently said that if it is, if it is going to happen, it is not.

It is when it is where and it is, how bad.

So there really is no better person to talk about this issue tonight about the threat of the global pandemic than our speaker, Dr Michael Foster home.

Just a little bit of doubt about Dr Michael Foster home.

Hey is the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy.

He is the associate director of the Department of Homeland Security's National Center for Food Protection and Defense.

He is a professor at the School of Public Health at the University of Minnesota.

And in June of 2006 Secretary Michael Leavitt, department Healthy Human Service is appointed Dr Auster, home to the newly established National Science Advisory Board on bio security and in the past month, talking to global health experts throughout the state.

Throughout the nation, it said, Doctor Osterholm possesses two qualities, and that is courage and conviction, and that has been evident in the work he's done around the world s so as you can very well tell, we're very privileged.

Michael was Thank you, Patrick, for that very kind introduction.

Bruce, I wanna give my acknowledgment of someone who's been a long term fan of work you've done for many years.

Also, it's a real honor to be here in the throes of Clinton.

Here, give it all the president why he was there and I had the fortune to spend some of that time working in some of those programs.

And I think it's great and I don't want to diminish that.

But I have to tell you the person that I have the fondest in greatest love for of all public policy people probably is Senator Dale Bumpers and Betty Bumpers, who have had a chance to work with in the area of the immunizations for 20 years.

And I have to tell you that it is an experience to spend time with Dalen, Betty and work they've done and they truly are real public health hero.

So while they're not here tonight, they're here in spirit clearly, uh, and it's great.

Well, I'm here tonight to talk about something that no one wants to talk about it everybody wants to talk about.

And that's the issue of the concept of an influenza pandemic and what it might do.

Let me, at the very beginning, set the record straight as a public health professional and how I will view this issue tonight and go from there.

A 9 11 of 2001 year for the 9 11 event, I published a book called Living Terrors.

What America Needs to Know To Survive Coming Bio Terrorist Catastrophe.

In that book, it was primarily about bioterrorism, including the use of anthrax.

But I also talked about the fact that the World Trade Center tower in the Al Qaeda one year before it happened.

If you'd asked me in that intervening year between 9 11 2000 and 2001 what the likelihood that that attack would occur?

I probably have told you given, you know, my science background of risk, I don't know one and 5001 in 10,000 or something like, Really, I am here to tell you tonight and hopefully provide the support of information.

Why the risk of an influenza pandemic is one it is going to happen unless you can somehow eliminate hurricanes blessed Minnesota.

You suddenly put a big baggy around our state, eliminate winters you will not ever, ever escape and the next influenza pandemic.

So at the outset, let me just just miss any idea.

Whatever this is going to happen, the question, as Patrick framed it, is we just don't know when we don't know what which which virus will cause it, and we don't know how bad it will be.

But tonight I'll give you a sense of why we today are as vulnerable to an influenza pandemic as a society is a world, as we may have been in our entire history of humankind.

But let me share with you why I think that to be the case now.

I have about 9000 slides in my repertoire slides.

I had to get rid of all of them to keep one that I think really tells the story where we're at today in the world.

This is the slide, and I realize it may be hard for some of you to see, but what you have on the right vertical bar.

Here's population in billions in the left, one is days to circumnavigate the globe.

And this is the last 150 years in the last 150 years.

We haven't really changed a lot for the last 50 years.

What it took to get around the world that the 1st 100 years of that time period really made a big change from one year toe, literally.

With the advent of the Boeing jet, we're talking now about 42 hours.

What has not reflected in this bottom line is what goes around the world today.

The global just in time economy is our Achilles heel.

While it's our strength, it's our major major vulnerability, and we'll talk about that tonight in the context of inch wins it.

Much of what we count on every day originated offshore somewhere, and anything that interrupts international trade and travel will interrupt quickly the global economy.

On the other bar, you see the world population.

Today, there are 6.5 billion people on the face of the earth, and the number grows quickly back in 1918 upend a time.

I'll talk about tonight relative to the previous pandemics, the world population was 1.8 billion today, one out of every nine people's ever lived since the caves is on the earth today.

Subtitles ListPlay Video

Michael Osterholm at the Clinton School | 2006

pandemic

concept

average

impact