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  • Welcome to a “Conversation With History.” I’m Harry Kreisler of the Institute

  • of International Studies. Our guest today is John Abizaid who is a retired U.S. Army General

  • and former Commander of the Central Command. He is the first Annenberg Visiting Fellow at

  • the Hoover Institution and this year’s 2008 Admiral Chester Nimitz lecturer at UC Berkeley.

  • General Abizaid, welcome to Berkeley.

  • John Abizaid: Thanks, Harry. Thanks for having me here.

  • Where were you born and raised?

  • Well, I was born in Redwood City, California, and I lived there for about twelve years of so,

  • spent some time on and off in San Francisco, but for the most part it was Redwood City, and

  • then when I got ready to go to high school we moved up into the Sierra Nevada mountains, in

  • Mono County, Coleville, California, and I graduated from high school there, and after that was

  • into the Army.

  • Looking back, how do you think your parents shaped your thinking about the world?

  • Well, my dad in particular really shaped my thinking about the world. He was a World War

  • II Navy vet. He had served in the Solomons and in the Pacific. He had seen a lot of action on a

  • small ship in the middle of the Pacific. He’d traveled all over the world as a result of that Navy

  • service, and it was clear to me that that service, to him, was really one of the most important

  • things in his life, and as we were growing upmy mother died when I was rather young and he

  • continued to raise my sister and I, and I have great admiration for having grown up with this man

  • who talked about service, loved service, and advocated it.

  • And you said you joined your Army. Where did you get your education before going into

  • the Army?

  • Well, before going into the Army I graduated from Coleville High School, total school

  • population of about 105 students, certainly one of the smaller schools in the State of California.

  • Was there an ROTC?

  • No, there wasn’t an ROTC. There wasn’t a lot of things going on at Coleville, but there

  • were many things going on at Coleville, at the same time. For example, I wanted to study

  • German and in order to study German I had to take a correspondence course and they allowed

  • me to do that. So, it was good experience growing up in a rural county, in a small area, small

  • school. We had excellent instructors and I think they prepared me about as well as could be

  • expected to go on to West Point.

  • And you did go to West Point. Talk about your education there. Did it prepare you for all

  • the changes that the military was going to have to confront throughout your career?

  • Well, West Point prepares you for life in a very interesting way. It gives you discipline, it

  • gives you focus, it gives you a way of approaching problem solving. West Point’s not the type

  • of place to go if youre not committed to being an officer in the United States Army. I knew I

  • wanted to be a soldier and I was committed to doing that, and I thought that West Point would

  • give me a good opportunity to do that. I initially found the academic rigor there pretty tough, not

  • to mention the military rigor but I was expecting that. The academic rigor was very tough,

  • especially with regards to mathematics and engineering. But over time I learned how to work

  • my way through the system and I enjoyed being there.

  • And your career is really one of moving between the university and actually study – I

  • mean, in the sense that you got a Master’s, at some point, at Harvard, and you were an Olmsted

  • fellow to Jordan. Talk a little about that. In what ways did that enhance your education and

  • prepare you for the world you had to confront as a general?

  • It’s very interesting that the military invests very heavily in officer education. Sometimes

  • it’s within military schools, every now and then you can outside of military schools. West Point,

  • for example, provides a record number of Rhodes and Truman Scholars, it’s quite a good

  • institution, but I graduated from West Point, I had been interested in the Olmsted Scholar

  • program, and the Olmsted Scholar program provided an officer with the opportunity essentially

  • to get away from the Army for two years, go to a foreign university, learn a foreign language,

  • and then come back and go to an American university to finish up the Master’s degree work. So,

  • I selected the University of Jordan as a place that I’d like to go to. I learned how to speak

  • Arabic. A lot of people think because of my last name I learned how to speak Arabic at home,

  • but really, it was the Army that taught me how. And I went to the University of Jordan and had

  • that opportunity, then on to Harvard, and I really regarded that training at both Harvard and

  • Jordan as very, very important to being able toto allow me to move through my career in a

  • way that was understanding of different cultures, different problems, and certainly the last five

  • years of my life, in the middle of the Middle East

  • It helped a lot.

  • helped a lot.

  • What led you to choose Jordan, and what year was that? Because that was very early in

  • terms ofthe ‘70s?

  • Yeah, I started out in the program somewhere around 1978, or so, and I was in the Middle

  • East from ’78 to ’80, and then Harvard ’80 to ’81. I think that’s about right, during that time

  • period.

  • The reason I point this out is because the Middle East was going to change. So, you were

  • there, in a way, at the beginning of the changes that would really affect this whole period of your

  • service.

  • Well, it’s interesting you say that, Harry. The Middle East is always changing and the

  • Middle East is never changing. [laughs] I mean, the Middle East is a very, very interesting

  • place, but what was so interesting about going to Jordan during that time periodit was also the

  • time period of the Iranian revolution, and it sent, really, what I would call a religious shock wave

  • through the region in a way that was absolutely noticeable. And there was always a lot of

  • turmoil at Middle Eastern universities, the University of Jordan no less so than other places, and

  • when the University would close down because of the inevitable riot I’d end going out and train

  • with the Jordanian special forces in the army because I was a military officer. So, it was a good

  • opportunity to learn not only about the civil society in Jordan but also about the military society

  • in Jordan, and of course, in the Arab world in particular militaries play very, very different roles

  • in the societies than here in the States.

  • And at Harvard, I think I read somewhere that you wrote a paper that the prof said was the

  • outstanding paper that he had read. What was that paper on, for your Master’s?

  • Well, the paper was on Saudi Arabian defense concepts, and my professor, really a very,

  • very distinguished Middle Eastern historian and political scientist, Nadav Safran, just a

  • remarkable manhe steered me towards trying to understand better what the Saudis based their

  • decision making on with regard to how they spent their money for defense, what their priorities

  • were, what their problems were, how much of it was related to internal versus external politics,

  • etc. And so, having an opportunity to do that research, and also having been in Saudi Arabia

  • when I was Jordanone thing about being in Jordan, I had the chance to travel all over the

  • Middle East and I literally traveled all over the Arab world and had a chance to see how things

  • were done in many countries in different ways.

  • Help us understand now what are the skills required for being an effective soldier these

  • days. The criterion have changed in the course of your career, and it’s very complicated now,

  • isn’t it?

  • Well, it gets more complicated as you go up the rank ladder, but early on, the single most

  • important thing, and throughout your career the single most important thing, is to be able to lead

  • people. It’s so vital that you understand people, that youre able to convince them to do tough

  • and difficult things, and of course, in combat American soldiers don’t take the hill because

  • theyre afraid of you. They take the hill because they respect their comrades and because they

  • respect their leaders, and they know that theyve got to take the hill in order to get the job done.

  • So, throughout your career youre always having to deal with issues of leadership and that’s

  • critically important. But as you go higher through the ranks, we talk about the world as being

  • tactical or operational or strategic, and you find yourself going through these various levels ofcommand. As a young

  • officer it’s tactical, how do you take the hill, then you get operational and

  • you start using bigger units, and then ultimately, when you became, say, like I was, the

  • Commander of the Central Command, it’s strategic and youre having to advise the President of

  • the United States, Secretary of Defense, to the best of you ability. And so, as you progress

  • through this ladder of changing circumstances youve got to be more culturally aware, youve

  • got to be able to understand the broader civilian society, youve got to understand how our

  • broader government works, how non-governmental organizations work, how alliances work. No

  • American officer who’s ever served in combat since, really – I can hardly think when it was,

  • maybe the Spanish-American Warwithout being part of an alliance. And it’s pretty interesting

  • when you think about it. Were always working in an international environment, were always

  • working with other countries, we work within the NATO alliance, we work within the United

  • Nations. But throughout my career it’s always been a broad exposure, in increasingly broad

  • exposure, towards working with different cultures, different problems and different international

  • organizations. And I think that allows you to grow, and of course, you also have increasingly

  • complex organizations that you have to command, although the interesting things is that one of

  • the toughest things to command is your first platoon. Youve only got somewhere between 30

  • and 40 people there but theyre the first 30 or 40 people youve ever led, and learning how to

  • lead there is absolutely essential to success.

  • Explain to our audience what the Central Command is and what territory you covered,

  • because it’s a term that might not be familiar with the general public.

  • The United States military is really given a broad geographic area to operate in. In other

  • words, the entire globe is, in one way or another, covered by a military command. I think people

  • are familiar with the European Command and the Pacific Command, but the Central Command

  • was essentially created in the early days of tension that was developing between the United

  • States and the Soviet Union over the strategic resources of the Middle East and gradually came

  • to encompass 27 different countries that went from the former Soviet Central Asian Republic,

  • starting with Kazakhstan on down through Afghanistan and Pakistan, over and across Iran, the

  • center of the Levant, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan. Interestingly enough, it doesn’t include Israel,

  • does not include Israel, and it includes Saudi Arabia, Yemen, smaller Gulf states, and then it

  • crosses the Suez Canal, goes to Egypt, Sudan, down into Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and Kenya.

  • It’s a very, very dynamic area. It’s an area where the richest nations on earth exist and the

  • poorest nations exist. It’s primarily an Islamic area but it’s an area where there’s constant

  • turmoil, terrorism, insurgency, and of course, it’s the area that the world depends upon for the

  • global flow of oil. So, it’s a very, very interesting area, and it doesn’t mean, by the way, that

  • when youre assigned 27 countries that you own them, you certainly don’t, but any military

  • operation that would take place there, whether it’s people that work in an embassy, or people that

  • work on training military forces in a particular country, or big military operations such as Iraq or

  • Afghanistan, you have the responsibility to direct and coordinate and synchronize. And I would

  • also finish by saying that these operational areas are not just Army areas, theyre Army, Navy,

  • Air Force, Marine Corps, and you are responsible generally for synchronizing those four services

  • as a joint commander and synchronizing the international forces that work with you. And I think

  • people sometimes lose sight of the fact that there are many, many different countries that work

  • with us. As a matter of fact, in my headquarters in the Central Command there were over 80 different nations

  • represented there with military liaison officers, just to give you an idea about

  • how broadly international the effort was.

  • Explain to us how you interface with the other parts of the U.S. Government in that region.

  • In the region you interface with the ambassadors almost on a daily basis, and because of

  • your position as a high military leader of the United States and because youre regionally based,

  • you become a person that frequently talks to the leaders of the region, President Musharraf,

  • President Karzai, the prime minister of Iraq, you name it, you have access and opportunity to talk

  • to them. Primarily you talk to the military officers, of course, but over time you also find

  • yourself getting to know the kings and sheiks, and other key leaders of the region. You also

  • interface with the U.S. Government in Washington. So, for example, you have to conduct

  • meetings in your own area to organize the U.S. Government effort to the extent that you can, you

  • also have to deal frequently with the Central Intelligence Agency, and the other intelligence

  • agencies, to understand what’s going on. But back in Washington there’s an interagency process

  • that’s going on and you are frequently represented in the interagency. But most importantly,

  • what youre trying to do is organize the military forces under your command, and for example, in

  • my command, the Central Command had the multinational force in Iraq’s commander who was a

  • four-star commander that worked for me, the commander in Afghanistan who currently is a fourstar

  • commanderhe also would work for me, although the command relationships have changed

  • over time, and we had a small command in Djibouti in the Horn of Africaworked under my

  • command, and then there were Navy, Air Force, Special Operations commands that were

  • regional commands that reported to me, as well. So, it’s a complex organization, it’s a big

  • organization. At its height it was probably 350,000 Americans and another 500,000, or so,

  • partner nations, partner forces that were participating, and currently it’s probably closer to

  • 250,000.

  • If you were asked to brief the next president, not the top secret part, but just kind of give

  • him the lay of the land, what do you see as the problems emerging in this area? And a lot of our

  • problems, or things that were going to have to address or find solutions for, will be coming from

  • that area.

  • I would tell the President, “Look, Mr. President, you need not to only worry about Iraq, and

  • you need to not only worry about Afghanistan. Certainly they are immediate problems that

  • weve got to be concerned with but you need to look at the broader regional problems and the

  • broader ideological movements that are in the area.” And the first thing I’d say is that there is a

  • very serious ideological movement that is a Sunni extremist, Sunni Islamic extremist movement

  • led by Osama bin Laden and exemplified by al-Qaeda that is a movement that certainly isn’t

  • mainstream yet in the Middle East, but it’s just not a group of terrorists, it’s a movement, it’s an

  • idea, and we need to understand that that idea is implacably opposed to American presence and

  • indeed seeks to dominate the region with a form of religious extremism that most people in the

  • region don’t want to be ascendant. Then I’d say the next big problem is the rise of Iranian Shia

  • revolutionary ideology, and again, it’s an ideological religious movement that is, again,

  • implacably opposed to American involvement in the region, yet at the same time one that may

  • not be at the beginning of its ideological life, such as al-Qaeda, but one that the people of Iran

  • are probably getting tired of, and that you will have to watch Iranian attempts to dominate the region and counter

  • them in a way that makes sense over time. The third point I would tell him is

  • that while were not using our own military forces daily in the Arab/Israelibetter said,

  • Israeli/Palestinian theater, that you have to understand that the continued corrosive effect of this

  • problem is creating a dynamic where people move to the extremes and it makes the region very,

  • very unstable. And then the final fourth big problem that I would make sure he understands is

  • that one of the reasons were so heavily engaged in the Middle East that none of us can deny is

  • our continued dependence on Middle Eastern oil, and in order to gain diplomatic, and political,

  • and military maneuver room we need to figure out how to reduce our dependence over time,

  • knowing that there’s no easy solution to this, on the flow of Middle Eastern oil. And clearly,

  • American military power has to confront Sunni Islamic extremism, it has to contain Iranian

  • ambitions. Diplomatic power, political power has to do what it can to move the Arab/Israeli

  • process forward, but ultimately it’s the American military shield that keeps the flow of oil

  • moving, and it should come as no surprise to us that our enemies are trying to disrupt that

  • movement. And when I sayour enemies” I don’t want it to sound as if this is American

  • domination because it’s not. American military power keeps the flow of oil going not just for the

  • United States of America but for our friends, and our allies, and the producing nations.

  • So, what you just described raises a question about distinguishing between non-state actors

  • and states like Iran that are adversaries, or potential adversaries. Talk a little about what we have

  • to do to deal with two different kinds of problems, although they both may pose threats.

  • That’s a very interesting question, especially with regard to al-Qaeda, because as youve

  • clearly said, it is a non-state phenomenon and unfortunately it may be the beginning of the way

  • things are going to be in the 21st century where we deal a lot more with super-empowered nonstate

  • actors, and al-Qaedayou have to give them credit for what theyve achieved. I have no

  • admiration for them but on the other hand, theyve managed to attack us at home, theyve

  • managed to attack, really, in a broad range of countries around the world in a way that’s brought

  • their cause to the attention of many, they recruit, they train, they proselytize, they organize on the

  • virtual space in the internet in a way that’s very, very sophisticated, very dangerous, and yet they

  • purvey an ideology that really isn’t very popular with the people in the region. It’s a very

  • extreme form of Islam. As a matter of fact, most of my Islamic friends said, don’t even use the

  • wordIslamin the same sentence withal-Qaeda,” but the problem is that al-Qaeda views itself

  • as a religious organization in its extreme, but it bases itself religiously. And so, you know, you

  • have to mobilize not just military power against this problem but a lot of other soft power,

  • economic, diplomatic, political, informational, to deal with it. Now a nation state like Iran, on

  • the other hand, because it is a nation state, is more easily deterrable. It’s more easily deterrable

  • by the classic elements of diplomacy, military power, political action, etc. And so, on the other

  • hand, it’s interesting to look at Iran and see how they sponsored non-state actors in places such

  • as southern Lebanon, eastern Saudi Arabia, southern Iraq, eastern Afghanistan, and I think these

  • challenges will continue to bedevil the next president, and probably the next president after that,

  • for quite a while.

  • And when you say that Iran is deterrable, help us understand it, because I’m a student of

  • Ken Woltz [?], and Ken Woltz didn’t worry that much about possession of a nuclear weapon by

  • a country if they could be deterred.

  • Well, Harry, this whole issue of proliferation of nuclear weapons is one that we all need to

  • have a frank discussion about, and while we discredited the argument to a certain extent because

  • we didn’t find a nuclear program active in Iraq like we thought we would, the truth of the matter

  • is small groups of terrorists are not necessarily a problem for a great nation unless they have

  • access of the capability of achieving a breakthrough on the weapon of mass destruction front.

  • And in the Middle East today, in a period of great instability, in a country like Pakistan, for

  • example, you do have to worry about the possibility that a weapon could be either advertently or

  • inadvertently transferred to the hands of extremists, and if they get their hands on it I’m

  • convinced that theyll do everything in their power to use it against us or our interests in the

  • region, and it’s actually our worst nightmare to think of a nuclear weapon being used in the 21st

  • century, or a sophisticated chemical or biological weapon. So, this issue about doing everything

  • possible to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons in that part of the world, I think, is

  • essential. And so, to think of Iran holding a nuclear weapon is to just add another bit of

  • instability into a region that’s inherently unstable, and the Iranian government may very well go

  • through another revolutionary phase and were they to be armed with a nuclear weapon, and in a

  • period of great instability, are they then still deterrable? I’m not so sure, and so, I think when

  • things hold together like they did between the United States and the Soviet Union where you had

  • a balance of nuclear terror essentially that deterred people from using the weapons, it’s one

  • thing, but when you proliferate the weapons to unstable states it creates a whole different

  • dynamic that, I think, all of us need to havewhen I say all of us I mean the international

  • communityneeds to have a frank and clear understanding about where were heading into the

  • future. And clearly, technologies are such today that it is not out of the realm of possible that

  • you can make a breakthrough.

  • One of the challenges that the next president is going to be confronted with, and future

  • CENTCOM chairs such as yourself, is this question of, okay, you have a deteriorating state, a

  • failing state, a failed state, whatever, and the choice has to be made between a militaryyou

  • know, actually taking action, taking military action, possibly invading, but then also worrying

  • about what happens afterward. And this seems like a really big problem for the military to think

  • about, namely to handle the bad guys in a military operation, winning that operation, using the

  • best technology, relying on the revolution in military affairs, but then what happens after that.

  • Talk about the challenges there for the next president and for the future leaders of CENTCOM.

  • Well, we talked about the four broad challenges in the region but the two immediate

  • problems that the next president will face will be the requirement to stabilize Iraq, stabilize

  • Afghanistan, or should they decide otherwise to begin the process of moving forces out of the

  • region regardless of those two countries stabilizing. Now I think the biggest challenge that

  • everybody has to really understand is that taking a state that is either failing, has failed, or needs

  • to stabilize in a revolutionary direction, in a completely different direction like Iraq, requires an

  • awful lot of time, and it requires building institutions. And you think of our own republic, how

  • long it took us to go from the first shots of the revolution to when we finally ratified the

  • Constitution, and then nearly a hundred years later we still had to fight a civil war to sort all that

  • out in a way that was bad for our own country. So, I mean, these things take time, theyre

  • evolutionary, theyre slow, theyre tedious. You can imagine trying to build a new army in Iraq

  • is a tough, tough thing to do, but you just can’t build a new army by handing out weapons, you

  • have to build a new way of thinking. The old Iraqi army terrorized its people, it filled up the mass graves with

  • innocent people, and the new Iraqi army has to learn how to be a servant of the

  • state. Will they be able to do that? Well, they won’t be able to if we don’t help them, if we

  • don’t try to educate them. And so, you know, there’s a certain requirement that the new

  • president will show some patience, will show some courage, and will look out there and say, to

  • what extent is the military overextended, in particular the United States Army, and how can we,

  • over time, relieve the pressure on that military commitment, and also understand that nation

  • building isn’t primarily a military responsibility, it’s a governmental responsibility that requires

  • the State Department, other agencies of the U.S. Government, international agencies,

  • international partners, non-governmental organizations, to all come together in a way that pull

  • together to allow the place to stabilize. So, clearly we have to internationalize the effort more

  • and we have to put more soft power to play in places like Iraq and Afghanistan. Now we put

  • more forces in Iraq in order to gain time and it appears as if it is having an effect and all of us

  • soldiers are very gratified to see that happening, but on the other hand, military forces just gain

  • time for you. You have to be able to move governance forward, economics forward, diplomacy

  • forward, and I think the next president’s got to say, are we organized to do that properly. And if

  • not, how do we need to reform ourselves so that were going to be more effective in the 21st

  • century? Is our State Department big enough? Do our intelligence agencies have enough

  • authority to be able to get the job done? Can we figure out a way to enlist the people in the

  • region to work primarily against the terrorists in a way that were more behind the scenes as

  • opposed to out front? And so, I can see the new president, whoever it may be, having to fashion

  • a strategy that continues to confront al-Qaeda, that continues to contain Iran, that continues to do

  • its best to stabilize Iraq and Afghanistan but also moves more towards helping the people in the

  • region help themselves, and also still has to protect the flow of oil, and I think that can be done

  • over time with less military force and more other elements of international and national power.

  • So, in additionbecause we hear a lot about how the military is going to need more funds

  • to rebuild, which is undoubtedly true, but youre suggesting that it’s really important to build up

  • the other institutions of the U.S. Government that have to be part of the team that solves the

  • stabilization and nation building processes.

  • Absolutely. A good State Department officer in the field, leading a team of soldiers, people

  • from the Department of Agriculture, people from the Department of Homeland Security, people

  • from all sorts of other agencies of the U.S. Government, is probably worth more than a battalion

  • of infantry, or a brigade of infantry, in many particular circumstances, especially when the

  • country is trying to move towards stabilization like they are in Afghanistan. So, they can’t only

  • be about fighting. Fighting has to be part of it, don’t get me wrong. I’m saying were not to the

  • point yet where it’s stable enough to move forward without military forces, but there’s this belief

  • in some segments of our society that you have to achieve perfect stability in the security situation

  • first before you move the other elements of national power forward, and actually that’s not true.

  • Youve got to move them all forward together in the right mix, at the right time, and I think

  • weve got to reevaluate how we do that. We should not have an argument about whether there’s

  • enough people in the State Department. Now we should have an argument about whether

  • therere enough people in the United States Army. You know, you keep hearing people say,

  • well, therere not enough troops in Iraq. Actually that’s not the issue. There are as many troops

  • in Iraq as we can almost possibly have. You are either in Iraq, coming home from Iraq, or

  • getting ready to go to Iraq. And so, the problem that the new president will have is looking at his land power, the

  • Army and the Marine Corps in particular, and asking himself the question, or

  • herself the question, whatever it may be, “Look, I’ve got this force that’s deployed here, it’s very

  • heavily engaged. I’ve got a force that’s recovering or preparing. Do I have a force that’s ready

  • to deal with the problem that shows up in Iraq, or North Korea, or some other unknown place?

  • Can I deal with the problem in Sudan, a genocide? Can I deal with some other major problem

  • with land power, given the state of stretch of the armed forces of the United States?” And the

  • military leaders of the country need to tell the new president, “Mr. President, we are having some

  • problems here with being able to maintain the force.” And the biggest problem we need to talk

  • about is whether or not these young, professional, non-commissioned officers, and young

  • officers, the majors and the captains, will stay with the team. You can only stay away from

  • home so long, and already this war has lasted a long, long time. So, weve got to figure out how

  • to use our forces wisely and either make the army big enough to meet the commitments or learn

  • how to bring the army in the field down and compensate by international and other means of

  • national power. I believe that those are things that we can do, but continuing to stretch the land

  • power of the United States to the breaking point would be a very, very unwise move, but there

  • are options and it can be done.

  • One of the consequences of our recent experience in the last six years is the burden it seems

  • that it’s placed on the American soldier and the American soldier’s family, and this seems to

  • operate at various levels. For example, our soldier really needs to know a lot. In other words,

  • it’s as if he’s got to work with a handheld computer to direct targets – I’m doing an ideal type

  • hereon the one hand, but on the other hand, he’s suddenly got to put down his computer, go

  • into a community and meet with the city council and help organize. It’s really a heavy burden

  • that may be too much, and that may be why youre suggesting that we need other parts of the

  • government there.

  • Well, I don’t think the operational and tactical style is too much. As a matter of fact, when

  • I’ve been, like I say, in the Middle East for nearly five years, up until the point where I retired,

  • and I watched our troops very carefully in very, very difficult and demanding circumstances, and

  • it’s just like you said, Harry. One minute youre out there fighting the enemy, and youre

  • fighting ferociously, and youre fighting to win, and youre delivering all the means of violence

  • you can to destroy that enemy, and then maybe within an hour or two youre doing what you

  • need to do to repair a school, or to talk to a local leader, or to deal with some other community

  • problem that’s developed in the area that youre responsible for. I think our troops have actually

  • done a magnificent job in dealing with those complexities, and that people don’t often

  • understand how tough it is for them, but theyre done very, very well. The problem for them is

  • constant deployments in very, very difficult and demanding circumstances, over time, away from

  • their families, in a way that there’s no opportunity for them to take a decent rest at home and

  • organize their families, etc. It’s clear to me that this problem is going to last for a while, it’s a

  • long-term problem. It’s also clear to me that were probably using too much military force to

  • deal with the problems in the region, and while it’s essential that we stabilize Iraq and

  • Afghanistan, in my viewpoint, we also have to understand that it’s essential that we start moving

  • more towards international and other sources of soft power to help out in that respect. In today’s

  • world, which is increasingly interconnected, were able to do more, and I think youll see

  • whatever president shows up coming to a pretty clear realization that there are other ways to deal

  • with the problem of the Middle East than just military means alone.

  • In the Iraq warand you talked a little about this yesterdaythere was a refusal by the

  • governing group to essentially mobilize the country, to do all sorts of things to generate a sense

  • of the importance of what the military was doing. Is that a fair assessment, and what can we do

  • about that? I mean, we don’t want to mobilize the country so we think the military is the only

  • solution, which you just said weve got to get away from, basically, but on the other hand, we

  • want to be able to support the military in what they do. And here one thinks of all of these horror

  • stories that have emerged about the way our soldiers are being treated, those that have been

  • injured, and so on, the provision of adequate armor for the vehicles. Talk a little about that,

  • because it’s a fine line. We don’t want to become a military state that sees all of our problems in

  • military terms, but on the other hand, we want the military to have the support they need. It’s a

  • political problem.

  • Well, mobilization of the society to deal with the problem is a political problem, and how

  • we talk about it is a political problem, how we talk to our people about what we need to do and

  • how we organize our bureaucracy. These are all problems associated with political leadership,

  • and I don’t think it’s fair to say that our political leadership has failed and I didn’t mean to imply

  • that yesterday. As a matter of fact, I don’t think were anywhere close to failure. Our believe

  • that our bureaucracy in particular is not up to the task of dealing with 21st century problems, and

  • I think it needs to be reformed, and I think there are many insights that can be provided as a

  • result of our experience over the past seven years since 2001 that would tell us that the State

  • Department needs to be bigger, that the authorities of the Central Intelligence Agency need to be

  • greater, that organizational capability within the rest of the United States Government needs to

  • be brought to bear, and that people such as the young people here at the University of California

  • at Berkeley can be part of this, not just through military means alone. They don’t have to join

  • the Army, Navy, Air Force or Marine Corps, but they could join the State Department, they

  • could be a member of some other element of the government or they could join a nongovernmental

  • organization, people that are building schools, people that are building roads, etc.

  • And as I think of the military community and how deeply engaged in this battle we are, and as I

  • go around Palo Alto, California, or Berkeley, California, it’s clear that were not completely

  • engaged the same way the military community is. How do we collectively share the burden

  • more, if we think it’s a worthy burden to share? I personally think that weve got a great,

  • wonderful group of young people who are looking for opportunities to serve the country and we

  • should figure outand it’s just not young people, by the way. It’s amazing how many older

  • have asked, “Look, I’m a retired engineer. I’d like to go to Iraq and help out. How can I do

  • that?” Those mechanisms are not easy and we should have that conversation with our people.

  • Okay, how do we get more people to be involved in this problem in the Middle East, if we

  • believe that this is a problem worthy of spending the time and sacrifice necessary to solve?

  • Let’s talk about some of the problems that came up for the institution of the military in the

  • course of the conduct of these two wars, and I want to ask you first about the Geneva

  • Conventions and the question of torture, and how the military can fix things so we don’t get

  • isolated incidents like happened at Abu Ghraib again. I know that there was a lot of concern

  • among the JAGs in the conduct of this war about directions that were being taken from

  • Washington that could have possibly sent the wrong signal.

  • Well, we should be aware of introducing any ambiguity to soldiers in the field, and to the

  • extent that they would read a newspaper article and think that there was somehow or other some

  • change in whether or not were applying the Geneva Conventions was something that we really

  • couldn’t afford to have happen. Look, the United States military does not condone torture.

  • What happened in Abu Ghraib was a huge stain on our honor, and it happened while I was in

  • command, and all of us really rolled up our sleeves after that and said, “Look, we have got to

  • insure that our younger people understand that weve got to treat peopleeven people that are

  • trying to kill us, that our in our custodywith dignity and respect to the extent that we can, and

  • really, there is no place for torture.” I believe that weve got to conduct ourselves in a way that

  • allows us to be able to win this war within our value system, and I believe a vast majority of

  • soldiers believe that, as well. On the other hand, Harry, when bullets start flying, when people

  • start dying, when combat is engaged, it’s not easy to turn your mental machinery off and

  • immediately walk away from the brutality of what you just were doing and become a person that

  • can act rationally. So, it’s a tough thing. There’s no more disciplined force that has ever been

  • fielded than the United States military. We do a tremendously good job in preventing collateral

  • damage. We do take care of people that our in our custody to the best extent that we can, and we

  • absolutely cannot condone walking away from the Geneva Conventions. On the other side

  • look, whatever orders that we have from our national command authorities are thethese are the

  • orders that well follow. But we never received any orders that said to torture people.

  • Second questionwhat about the problem of intelligence. And here we have to make a

  • distinction between military intelligence versus the intelligence youre getting from the CIA, and

  • so on. Do we see, or can you suggest to us, any improvements that we should look to in the

  • future, or is this just part of what youve already said, namely putting resources into other

  • agencies of the government?

  • Well, intelligence is – I believe that intelligence reform is absolutely essential. What we

  • have is an intelligence system that still is more designed to deal with the problems of the Soviet

  • Union than it’s designed to deal with the problems of the 21st century, and by the way, our

  • intelligence professionals are incredibly talented and capable people. But if you look at our

  • intelligence bureaucracy youve got to ask yourself the question, even though weve just

  • reformed it recently, whether the reforms have gone far enough, whether we are organized

  • properly for the 21st century. I’m not sure that I have the answers off the top of my head but I do

  • know that this battle against terrorists in particular is more a battle of winning the intelligence

  • war than it is one of massive amounts of firepower. I think we all understand clearly that

  • tromping around anywhere in today’s world with too much military power creates the

  • opportunity for people to move towards the terrorist side, or move towards the opposition’s side,

  • of an insurgency, for example. And this doesn’t mean we shouldn’t use military force, it means

  • that we need to use it wisely, and the easiest way to use it wisely is to have an intelligence

  • capability that allows you to precisely target the people that youre trying to go after so that there

  • isn’t a lot of collateral difficulties that come up on the battlefield.

  • Military contractingit’s become an issue, and I guess the question isthere are certain

  • tasks that clearly should be done by entities other than the professional military. How do we

  • walk that path to make sure that excesses are not committed by private military power?

  • I think in today’s 21st century well have a problem that is not just going to be one that the

  • U.S. military faces but everybody faces, in that there will more and more people turning to more

  • and more contractors, especially in failed states, especially in areas where difficult situations

  • arise. Now the United States military, by the way, has used contractors ever since the

  • Revolutionary War, and most of our logistics capability for many, many years has been

  • contracted through various private firms, etc. What’s relatively unique is the coexistence of

  • armed entities that are contracted by, say, the Iraqi government, the State Department, etc.,

  • within the same battle space as American soldiers, and it needs to be carefully synchronized and

  • coordinated. You just can’t have so many armed groups moving around the battlefield that are

  • unsynchronized and uncoordinated, and ultimately it creates a dynamic for you that creates a

  • problem that some young soldier will have to solve. So, coordinating contracts, coordinating

  • contractors, is going to be essential but we should not kid ourselves. If we want to have only our

  • military do security related things, well need to return to the draft. If were ready to return to

  • the draft politically, fine, but I doubt very seriously that we are. So, it would pretty much tell me

  • that were going to have to come up with rules, regulations and ways to hold contracting entities

  • accountable for actions that happen outside the military chain of command.

  • When I look at your career in preparing for this interview, I see somebody who really, in

  • addition to all of his military successes evidenced by the positions that youve held in the

  • military, is somebody who, through training, and education, and curiosity, basically, had a sense

  • of the big picture. And by big picture I mean not just strategically but also understanding other

  • peoples, understanding their cultures, understanding their language. I’m curious, as a military

  • leader how youwhen the tire hits the road, how you adjust to, on the one hand the realities, on

  • the other hand your understanding of the realities, but also your understanding of what the chain

  • of command understands, the people above you. I mean, it would seem to me to be a kind of

  • intellectual and emotional challenge. Talk about that a little, because it’s…

  • Well, it’s a very interesting question. You know, as a soldier in particular, you always

  • wonder what the next higher level of command is doing to screw up your life. [laughs] You

  • know, what in the world are they doing to make my life difficult? And youre always convinced

  • that your next higher headquarters is your mortal enemy. But the truth of the matter is that

  • youve got to be able to recognize what the problems are above you, to the right and to the left of

  • you, and below you. You have to be able to have a 360-degree vision of what’s going on, in

  • order to make sure that youre successful. But being a soldier is not about making up your mind

  • about what you do. It’s also about following orders. Our oath to support and defend the

  • Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic, is also accompanied

  • with the clear reminder that we will follow the orders of the President of the United States and

  • the officers appointed over us, and we do that. And so, you need to study the Constitution, you

  • need to know your legal framework, and then you need to say, when this order is given I will do

  • it within the best of my ability to achieve success within the military means that I have, and I

  • think soldiers at every level have to be comfortable with that, and we are. And if were not, then

  • the republic has a huge problem. But we believe that the orders that come from our elected

  • representatives are clearly lawful orders that need to be followed. If we didn’t think that, then

  • we would have a moral obligation to do something different. But this is a great republic made

  • great by this constitutional framework in which we operate, where people have various

  • responsibilities, ours is to fight and defend the countryfight for and defend the country, and I think we have done

  • that admirably well. I understand that whenever you commit military forces

  • it creates a dynamic within our body politic about whether it’s the right thing to do or not, and it

  • is hard for us to look over our shoulders and look back, like it was during the Vietnamto look

  • over our shoulders and see how there’s so much turmoil and lack of support, but I think we have

  • to know that in the broadest terms the American people support what were doing for the reasons

  • that were doing it.

  • Should we be worried as a country that the means that we deploy in the world might come

  • back and change us, ourselves, and our commitment to the values that we have? Is that

  • something we should worry about, and if so, what should we do about it?

  • Look, we always need to be thinking about our values whenever were engaged in anything,

  • either at home or abroad. We know what we stand for, we know what we believe in, we know

  • what our values are, and we need to stay as true to them as possible. On the other hand, we also

  • need to recognize that when we get involved in these great things, that there will be times when

  • terrible things happen, and then we need to have courage enough to be able to say, look, weve

  • got to correct this problem, we can’t let this thing happen again. And so, it’s difficult, but on the

  • other hand, we can’t just be a nation of critics. We need to understand that were trying to do

  • something to better the world, to make it a better place for our children and ultimately, I think,

  • everybody else’s children, and in this globalizing planet people’s expectations around the world

  • have raised quite a bit. I can’t imagine any other country on earth better suited to help deal with

  • the problems of globalization and steer people in the right direction, knowing well make

  • mistakes, than our own. If not us, who?

  • Joining us in the studio is Professor Tom Barnes, Professor Emeritus of History and Law,

  • and co-director of the Canadian Studies Program at Berkeley. Tom?

  • Thank you very much, Harry. General, delighted to have you with us here in Berkeley,

  • always delighted to have a Nimitz lecturer but especially an eloquent one and one who is able to

  • field the kinds of questions that I know most people, most Americans, are asking these days.

  • The first question I’d like to put to you would be to follow up on a statement you made twice

  • yesterday, in fact, once at lunch and later on at dinner, about the nature of success in the present

  • conflicts in which were involved in Iraq and Afghanistan particularly. And as you open up

  • more broadly today, this is a whole region that needs such attention. The question I would have

  • is how do you measure success? Theyll be no treaty, I’m sure, at the end, no U.S.S. Missouri,

  • nothing of the way in which we normally would like to finish a war, even if it’s at Appomattox

  • courthouse. How will we know, in other words, when we have succeeded?

  • Well certainly know when weve succeeded when there’s a minimum number of American

  • forces in both Iraq and Afghanistan, where the armed forces of their countries are dealing with

  • the internal and external problems that theyre being confronted with, and when the governments

  • of both regimes tend to be much more accountable than theyve ever been previously. It is

  • difficult to figure out where youre going to be and how things are going to be appreciably better.

  • You would hope that the economies would be more responsive, you would hope that people

  • would have more of an opportunity to participate in political activity, you would hope that the

  • rights of people are expanded over what they were in the past, but we need to also be careful about our expectations.

  • Well have evolutionary change, maybe within a revolutionary context,

  • but well have evolutionary change, and one thing that we won’t change is the culture. And

  • sometimes we often want these places to become like the United States and it’s exceedingly

  • unlikely that Iraq will become an American style democracy, or Afghanistan, but that they can

  • become more accountable, more stable, more representative of their people – I think it’s doable,

  • it’s possible.

  • Will we be able to get any kind of acknowledgement from our enemies, who I think are

  • pretty clearly identified, though they are various and varied? Will we be able to get any

  • acknowledgement, any shout ofuncle,” or at least even a whimper ofuncle?”

  • To be honest with you, I think well not hearunclefrom the ideology of al-Qaeda, not for

  • a long, long time. Al-Qaeda will shoutunclelike they did in al-Anbar province when the local

  • people started to turn against them. But it ebbs and flows, theyre strong in some areas and weak

  • in others, but we should understand that it’s an ideological enemy that we face. They have ideas

  • as terrible as they may seem to us, theyre ideas that are attractive to some people in the region.

  • We operate within a system of rules, they operate within no system of rules. And so, I think the

  • struggle will be long, I think it will be hard, I think it will be difficult, but contemplating a world

  • dominated, or even a country dominated, by the ideology of al-Qaeda is to contemplate moving

  • towards this clash of civilization that all of us want to avoid. And so – I mean, we need to

  • understand that this enemy is fighting for domination of their own culture, of their own world,

  • and theyre clearly understanding that they need to move American power out of the region in

  • order to achieve that. So, I think it’s a long fight, I think it’s a tough fight, but I think it’s also

  • one that doesn’t necessarily need to be primarily military. It absolutely needs to be one that the

  • people in the region take the lead in and I’m convinced that over time thatll happen.

  • When you mention the war of civilizations, of course youre referring to a book by the first

  • Nimitz lecturer, Sam Huntington at Harvard. You don’t believe in the war of civilization, I

  • assume. In other words, you believe the possibility or the potential ofyou don’t see us in a war

  • of civilization now.

  • I think we are at the far edge of it where it could become that way if everything goes just

  • wrong, and I think our object should be to avoid it at all costs. Now I think we can. I believe

  • that these extremist groups are exactly that, theyre extremist. Theyre not mainstream. But we

  • need to look at history and we need to think of other ideological movements that were extreme

  • and extraordinarily violent that somehow managed to mutate into the mainstream. It happened

  • with the Bolsheviks in Russia, it happened certainly with Nazis in Germany and the fascists in

  • Italy. It’s important that we keep our eye on this ideology and if it starts to become mainstream I

  • think weve got to redouble our efforts to insure that it does not become ascendant. The good

  • news is, Tom, that the vast majority

  • Yeah, I want the good news. [laughs]

  • And there is good news, and the good news is the vast majority of people in the region,

  • when they have a chance to examine al-Qaeda’s ideology, when they have an opportunity to live

  • under al-Qaeda’s banner, they come to the conclusion that that’s not what they want. And in the long term it’s up to

  • the people of the region, of course, but I think they won’t turn towards this

  • dark ideology.

  • Good.

  • But it’s not a done deal.

  • It’s not a done deal. What can we expect of our allies? NATO began when I began, as a

  • sense of being, in other words in the late ‘40s and early ‘50s when I was 20 years old. This

  • seemed to me to be a great hope. Of course, it was directed at the Soviet Union. We don’t know

  • where we stand entirely with the Russian federation yet, but it has seemed to me that NATO has

  • made no real attempt to step up to the plate to be of any assistance to us in Afghanistan, which

  • conceivably, of course, was very broadly based, we were encouraged to cross the board by allies,

  • so called, and the United Nations. Forget Iraq for a moment, although that’s another issue.

  • Why? What usewhat do we do about this? Can we enlist NATO? Can we be sure that the

  • European countries, which are beset, in fact, by these extremists, are even prepared to risk

  • throwing their lot in with us in this?

  • Well, it’s a great question. As you look at al-Qaeda globally you do worry about their

  • ability to operate within what I would call an intellectual safe haven in Europe. So, it’s not as if

  • the European allies, or NATO European allies, are not, as you mentioned, internally bedeviled by

  • this problem because they are. But when you look at Afghanistan it’s inelegant to see NATO

  • operating, and what makes it so inelegant is that you have a NATO command led by an

  • American general with all sorts of different nations being able to operate within their own areas,

  • within the rules set by the nation and not the rules set by the alliance. Ultimately in a deadly and

  • dangerous environment such as Afghanistan youve got to say to nations, come to the battlefield

  • and take the orders of the military commander, share the risks, do what needs to be done, or

  • don’t come.

  • Complete the mission, or don’t bother.

  • And so, there’s what I would call too many national red cards. It doesn’t just happen in

  • NATO, by the way. It happens, even worse, in the United Nations. But I fear if the NATO

  • alliance does not walk away from this red card problem in Afghanistan, it could be their last

  • mission. It’s very, very important that all of us stick together, fight together, operate together,

  • and there’s no reason on earth why we can’t stabilize Afghanistan within the confines of the

  • NATO alliance, and I believe that our Secretary of Defense, Secretary Gates, is working very

  • hard to convince our NATO allies that they need to be part of the team, complete part of the

  • team, and not just sit on the periphery. And by the way, we need to thank our British cousins,

  • our Canadian neighbors, for the terrific way in which theyve fought out there, and theyve done

  • a great job.

  • One last question. What are you going to do now?

  • What I’m going to do now

  • You said you don’t have any horses out there in Nevada.

  • No horses in Nevada.

  • Okay. Right. So, what’s next?

  • Well, I love the great State of Nevada, and that’s where my wife and I have chosen to settle

  • and we want to be good citizens in the great State of Nevada. I have all the opportunity to travel

  • around the country and talk to people about the problems that were facing and how were doing.

  • Were doing some important work, were making progress, but we need to have some frank

  • discussions with our own people about how to do better, and I hope to engage in those kinds of

  • discussions, just like we have here at Berkeley.

  • Thank you, sir.

  • And in the Nimitz lectureship. I’m honored to be part of that. Thanks.

  • Were honored to have you.

  • General Abizaid, I want to thank you very much for coming to Berkeley, being the Nimitz

  • lecturer and appearing on our program.

  • Thanks, Harry.

  • It was a great honor. Thank you.

  • Thank you.

  • And thank you very much for joining us for thisConversation With History.”

Welcome to a “Conversation With History.” I’m Harry Kreisler of the Institute

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