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  • We are expecting right across the south eastern quadrant

  • of the state particularly, temperatures to be right up into the mid 40s,

  • low to mid 40s.

  • That hot air is coming out of the centre of Australia.

  • It's going to be particularly dry.

  • So humidities are going to be very low.

  • We're going to see the westerly winds, northerly winds turning westerly winds

  • throughout the morning before and throughout most of the day

  • before we see a fairly volatile southerly change moving up the coast sometime

  • late this afternoon and getting to places like Sydney

  • not till late tonight.

  • We are expecting to see those temperatures really start to set in and the wind

  • start to set in over the next few hours, right across right across the ranges

  • and down to the south east, between 8am and 11am is where we're expecting

  • to see temperatures really start to climb into those high 30s,

  • early 40s and be accompanied with the hot, dry winds coming out of the west.

  • At this stage, the southerly change through that part of the state starting right down

  • in the south east corner of the state,

  • is not expected to start moving or developing until something like

  • 3pm or 5pm this afternoon.

  • It's a little bit fluid at this stage.

  • And we're working very closely with the bureau today as we monitor

  • and track and forecast its spread.

  • But whatever the case, we are going to have a long day dominated

  • by hot temperatures, dry atmosphere and winds coming out of the ranges.

  • We're talking 40, 50, gusting 60 to 70 kilometres an hour from the western, north

  • west.

  • And then suddenly change that's coming through, particularly along

  • the coastal strip where a lot of these fires and these at risk communities are.

  • We're expecting those southerly strength to be somewhere up around 80 kilometres

  • an hour with their gusting.

  • So it's going to make for a very dangerous day.

  • It's going to make for very volatile fire grounds, very dangerous fire grounds

  • and all that is in the path of those fires.

  • Today is a very challenging day for all of us.

  • And we're in a period of the declaration of a state of disaster that's based on

  • the fires that we've got across the state, but primarily in the north east and east Gippsland.

  • We have seen wind gusts up to 67 kilometres an hour already today at the Mount Hotham.

  • And it's predicted when the change comes through there, we'll see gusts

  • up to 80 kilometres an hour.

  • So we've got a long way to go today.

  • We know that with the south west change that comes through,

  • it will push some of that that smoke away from the coastal areas of Gippsland.

  • Once those fires become exposed to the sun, there is definitely the potential

  • for some elevated fire activity there.

  • In those alpine areas, there is the potential, again,

  • for those columns, the pyro cumulus to develop

  • where we can see those those columns develop their own weather

  • so they can throw out their own lightning.

  • So there's a potential for additional fires as a result of those particular columns.

  • Similarly in the north east.

  • So it's still a challenging day for us.

  • We've got significant forest fire management, Victoria Country Fire Authority resources,

  • the MFA coming in to backfill the CFA station so they can free up

  • more career firefighters.

  • So it's a huge effort at the moment in terms of a lot of resources

  • working so so hard to keep our community safe.

  • So we still have those dynamic and dangerous fire conditions,

  • the low humidity, the strong winds.

  • And what underpins all of that is that the state is tinder dry.

  • It is really, really dry at the moment.

We are expecting right across the south eastern quadrant

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B1 fire dry east expecting state hour

Australia bushfires: fire chiefs update dire situation in NSW and Victoria

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    林宜悉 posted on 2020/02/02
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