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  • Right now, we're living in a golden age of streaming services.

  • For $15 a month, one service can give you access to basically endless movies and shows,

  • with new offerings coming in every week.

  • But enjoy it while it lasts, because wheels are already

  • in motion to make those services more profitable for companies, and worse for you.

  • Someday soon, to get the same amount of content you're getting now,

  • you have to pay for more streaming services.

  • So think about all the content on a service like Netflix, and where all of it comes from.

  • A lot of what you see is made by Netflix, but most of it's not,

  • whether it's network TV shows, old movies, or movies that were just in theaters.

  • A study last year found that licensed content makes up 80% of what people actually watch.

  • Netflix pays to license that content from the studios, and it's a big part of their business.

  • Access to the streaming market is important for studios, too,

  • because streaming media is where the viewers are.

  • Netflix added 30 million US subscribers in the past five years,

  • and that's coming at a time when traditional cable and broadcast TVs have less viewers every year.

  • But licensing to Netflix, Hulu, and the other services isn't the only way for studios to get their movies online.

  • Next year, Disney plans to launch its own streaming service, a direct competitor to Netflix.

  • Disney's a little late to the party,

  • but the service will have so much popular content that it may not matter.

  • Remember, Disney owns Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, and 21st Century Fox,

  • along with more than 90 years of beloved movies and TV.

  • The bad news is, if it's on Disney's new service,

  • it doesn't really make sense to put it on Netflix, too.

  • Once Disney's current licensing deals expire,

  • Coco, Guardians of the Galaxy, and Last Jedi are all probably gonna disappear from the other streaming services.

  • It's a simple business move.

  • Why would Disney put Last Jedi on Netflix

  • when it can put it on Disneyflix and make you pay another $15 a month for it?

  • Even if Netflix offered to pay more money in licensing,

  • Disney would rather have you watch their movies on their service.

  • Disney is actually really good at making money when distribution methods change.

  • If you look at the history of the company,

  • they've done it over and over again.

  • When VHS and DVDs became popular,

  • Disney pioneered a system called the Disney Vault,

  • where movies would be locked away for years,

  • and only made available for lucrative, limited-run sales.

  • [Narrator] All these magical Disney videos before they disappear.

  • Whether you love or hate the vault, it worked.

  • A study in the year 2000 found that 55% of Disney fans replaced their VHS tapes with DVDs,

  • compared to only 14% for other studios.

  • Cable expanded the playing field even more.

  • Initially, Disney licensed its content to HBO,

  • but soon they realized that the real money was in running their own channel.

  • So the Disney channel was born.

  • Last year, Disney made 40% of its money from cable channels, including the ABC networks and ESPN.

  • And as cord-cutters move away from cable,

  • towards services like Netflix, Disney's trying to pull off the same trick with streaming video,

  • using its massive content library to build a whole new service from the ground up.

  • Now, Disney's not the only studio trying to do that.

  • Comcast has its Xfinity streaming service,

  • Time Warner has HBO Go.

  • The only way to see the latest Star Trek series is

  • by paying six dollars a month for CBS All Access.

  • Everybody's vertically integrating,

  • which means there'll be less and less third-party content available to license.

  • If you wanna follow all the movies and shows,

  • you'll have to pay for all the services,

  • and there'll be more and more of them to pay for.

  • If you've noticed a lot more Netflix Originals lately, that's why.

  • If you can't find Star Wars or Iron Man on Netflix,

  • executives are betting you'll stick around for Stranger Things and BoJack Horseman,

  • just like you stuck with HBO for Game of Thrones.

  • So if you follow a bunch of streaming services now,

  • you might soften the blow by borrowing the password from your parents or friends,

  • but that could be in danger, too.

  • Streaming services can shut down account sharing anytime they want.

  • Just look at Spotify, where sharing accounts is nearly impossible.

  • Netflix is slowly cracking down on account sharing, too,

  • As the industry matures, those rules are gonna tighten,

  • and it's gonna get harder and harder to dip into a service without paying for it.

  • Now, for corporations, this is about the money.

  • Disney paid four billion dollars for Star Wars, and they wanna make that money back as fast as they can.

  • But all that leaves the general interest fan in a tough place.

  • Do you stick with a single streaming service,

  • and miss out on the next wave of Marvel movies?

  • Is the new Star Trek really worth six dollars a month?

  • We don't know what the future of streaming will look like, yet.

  • The transition away from licensing could be jarring, or it could happen slowly, over years.

  • Competition between the new services could inspire a new golden age of TV shows,

  • or everyone could fall back on old tricks and familiar franchises,

  • but whatever happens, the pipeline between the camera and your screen is gonna get a lot more controlled,

  • and if you want the same amount of content you've been used to, you're gonna have to pay more.

  • Thanks for watching, I hope you liked it.

  • If you want more free video content, check us out at theverge.com,

  • and like and subscribe to youtube.com/theverge.

Right now, we're living in a golden age of streaming services.

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