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  • Zeitgeist Day 2013 - 'Thinking in Systems' - Jason Lord

  • [Applause]

  • My name is Jason Lord.

  • I coordinate chapters (which are just awareness activism groups

  • in the state of California) of which we have 15 right now;

  • and there are eight Z-Day events going on in California this weekend.

  • So, to continue this emerging train of thought,

  • my presentation today is on the topic of 'Thinking in Systems,

  • a Worldview for a Natural Law-Based Economy.'

  • I find there are two angles when communicating these ideas:

  • one is the dominant value program of the culture,

  • where the goal of our awareness activism

  • is to essentially update the cultural mindset and hence the culture's values;

  • the other angle is understanding the actual structure of social operation,

  • in regards to the model that we express and how it works.

  • By now, you've heard much on the topic of social values,

  • which also include your personal value set,

  • which is the lens through which you see and interpret the world around you.

  • My hope today is that you'll take with you an alternate lens

  • with which to view the world: this lens being the foundation

  • for the very attainable and currently doable social system

  • the Movement advocates.

  • The goal here is to put systems into context

  • when discussing a Natural Law/ Resource-Based Economy.

  • I'm going to shorten that down to Natural Law model.

  • I've divided this presentation into four parts,

  • and they're short parts: 'Defining Systems in Language',

  • 'Seeing How Systems Have Behavior' (now that will be interesting),

  • 'A Quick Look at Three Broad Economic Components and What Life Need Means'

  • and 'Governance', the sticky topic.

  • Part one: 'Defining Systems'

  • The topics I want to cover pose a challenge on two levels:

  • language and relationships.

  • I'm using old language, which is our everyday language,

  • in order to express non-linear relationships.

  • It's easy to understand linear relationships with old language,

  • since two elements can be drawn on a graph,

  • showing the simple relationship with constant proportions;

  • whereas, nonlinear relationships do not produce a proportional effect

  • and can only be drawn in curves and wiggles.

  • The world is full of non-linear relationships,

  • which can surprise our linear-thinking minds.

  • Where we may have learned that a small push produces a small response,

  • it would follow in linear thinking that a larger push, twice as big,

  • would produce twice as big a response.

  • But in a non-linear system, twice as big a push

  • could produce a fraction of the response, a response magnitudes larger,

  • or no response at all.

  • So, with that in mind, for the next four hours

  • we will look at hundreds of graphs, lots of mathematical formula

  • and enough of that crap.

  • A system is not just a collection of random things;

  • it is an interconnected set of elements that is coherently organized

  • in a way that achieves something,

  • consisting of component parts, interconnections, function or purpose.

  • For now, it will suffice to see systems as a set of components,

  • interconnected in such a way that their relationship

  • is greater than the sum of the parts.

  • Central to understanding systems,

  • especially in understanding symbiotic relationships,

  • is the concept of feedback.

  • Complex systems have feedback loops

  • that allow for self-renewal and self-organization,

  • such as when you heal from a cut or recover from being sick

  • or observe the self-organizing complexity of insects and plants

  • or the cycle of bird migrations around the planet.

  • Feedback is a loop where information of some kind

  • is fed back into the system itself, whether it's data in a computer,

  • consensus from a population or a change in the temperature,

  • it is the way a system responds to its environment.

  • So systems-thinking is the process of understanding

  • how component parts relate to each other within the whole.

  • Now, in nature, systems-thinking examples include ecosystems

  • in which various elements such as air, water, plants, animals,

  • interact to achieve equilibrium with the environment,

  • hence achieving stasis within the Earth system itself.

  • Systems are not just physical,

  • they can also be comprised of beliefs and political ideologies

  • or modes of social organization, such as monetary structures,

  • systems within systems, both physical and intellectual,

  • all interacting with each other, all at the same time.

  • By taking this view, we can study the behavior of systems

  • to know if the outcomes are desired or harmful,

  • which brings us to Part two: 'Systems Behavior'

  • Let's take a look at an example.

  • Here's something I think most of you are familiar with:

  • that wonderful toy that we call a Slinky.

  • Yes, the Slinky holds the understanding to a complex

  • and elegant system we call a Natural Law/Resource-Based Economy.

  • If you hold the Slinky in the palm of your hand, nothing happens.

  • If you hold the slinky by one end, it starts to bounce up and down;

  • this is a great example of systems behavior.

  • And whether you move the Slinky from one hand to the other,

  • or throw it back at your friend in frustration, the question to pose is this

  • "What made the Slinky bounce up and down, or walk down steps?"

  • Or said another way "What causes the resulting behavior?"

  • Now, some of you may be figuring out answers like

  • "The person's hands did" or "Gravity".

  • Whereas those answers may seem logical on the surface,

  • the answer is actually much more simple.

  • The answer lies within the system that we call a Slinky itself;

  • the hands that manipulate it suppress or release some behavior

  • that is latent within the structure of the spring.

  • This is a central insight into systems theory

  • and understanding our world through this system's lens.

  • Now, we tend not to see in this way;

  • instead, we focus on the resulting behavior, such as crime,

  • as the problem itself:

  • fighting crime, fighting the whole list of causes,

  • (we can go down the list for quite a while),

  • rather than understanding such outcomes as latent behavior

  • inherent in system structure.

  • When it comes to Slinkys, system behavior is easy enough to understand,

  • but when it comes to economics, class, nations or other established systems,

  • it's not so simple.

  • But once we see that there is relationship between structure and behavior,

  • we can begin to understand how systems work,

  • how some work well and how others do not work well at all,

  • manifesting latent behaviors inherent to those systems,

  • each producing different outcomes in the social landscape.

  • So, let's look at some parts of our current social structure,

  • using the lens of systems-thinking.

  • Some things that come to light when taking on this worldview are:

  • political leaders do not cause recessions or economic booms;

  • ups and downs are inherent in the structure of the market-economy itself.

  • Competitors rarely cause a company to lose market share;

  • the losing company creates its losses through its own business policies,

  • while the competitor is there to scoop up the advantage.

  • Oil-exporting nations are not solely responsible for oil-price increases;

  • price spikes and economic chaos are results from oil-importing nations

  • building economies that are vulnerable to supply interruptions.

  • The flu virus does not attack you;

  • rather, you set up the conditions for it to flourish within you.

  • And as a final example, criminal behavior:

  • locking people up who are deemed criminal only swells prison populations;

  • it does not address what is causing the behavior in the first place.

  • Statements like these can seem unsettling, for they start to shift the focus

  • from the resulting behavior to the system structure itself,

  • and you're going to come up against this when you talk about the Movement to people.

  • Now, there are many ways to see the world.

  • So much of what we think about along the lines

  • uses language that only lives in the abstract,

  • without having a referent back to the physical life system,

  • whereas our ability to observe, test, collect feedback and try again

  • has brought us out of the dark ages to where we are today.

  • And this is why The Zeitgeist Movement is interested

  • in the scientific method, as applied to our sustainability as a species.

  • When you look through the lens of a systems worldview,

  • the method of science is not restricted in its application

  • to the physical world; it can also be applied to our social systems,

  • to our economics, to our educational system,

  • and as a method of understanding human behavior. And in turn,

  • there is a natural feedback system built into the physical reality

  • which allows this method to adjust, adapt and change as needed,

  • and this is what we mean by emergent.

  • Now, I want to distinguish between the scientific method

  • and the science industry. Some people have trust issues with science,

  • and when you look into what people don't trust,

  • it's not really science, as in the scientific method they don't trust,

  • but rather the existing science industry.

  • Our science industry has certainly been corrupted through the mechanism

  • of profit incentive, where a corporation might need to force results

  • that enhance the selling of their product.

  • In a 2012 publication from the UCS

  • entitled 'Heads They Win, Tails We Lose',

  • it outlines how corporations corrupt science

  • through the use of financial pressure,

  • through downplaying evidence and exaggerating uncertainty,