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  • INTERVIEWER: Hello, everyone.

  • We have a very special guest with us today.

  • He is a graduate of Harvard College

  • and Stanford Graduate School of Business.

  • He has also founded Housatonic Partners,

  • which is a private equity firm with offices in Boston and San

  • Francisco.

  • Interestingly, he has written one

  • of those rare and special books, which

  • has won claim from none other than Warren Buffett and Charlie

  • Munger.

  • The book is called "The Outsiders."

  • And we are thrilled that the author, Mr. William Thorndike,

  • is here with us, in person, today

  • to talk about "The Outsiders."

  • Welcome.

  • WILLIAM THORNDIKE: Thank you, [INAUDIBLE].

  • [APPLAUSE]

  • INTERVIEWER: So I guess to kick it off,

  • why don't you give the audience here

  • and the thousands on YouTube an elevator pitch of the book

  • and what it's all about.

  • WILLIAM THORNDIKE: OK.

  • Great.

  • So I think the best analogy for the book is duplicate bridge.

  • So how many of you play bridge?

  • [LAUGHTER]

  • That's a rather low penetration.

  • That would be zero.

  • So duplicate bridge is an advanced form a bridge in which

  • a group of teams of two show up in a room,

  • they're divided into tables of four, each of which

  • is then dealt the exact same cards

  • in the exact same sequence, minimizing the role of luck.

  • Then at the end of the evening, the team with the most points

  • wins.

  • So I would contend, over long periods of time,

  • within an industry, it's duplicate bridge.

  • So if one company materially outperforms the peer group,

  • that's worthy of study.

  • So the eight companies and CEOs profiled in the book, they each

  • fit that pattern.

  • They had to meet two tests.

  • The first was an absolute test.

  • They had to have better performance relative to the S&P

  • than Jack Welch had during his tenure at GE.

  • And then the second test was a relative test.

  • They had to materially outperformed the peer group.

  • And so if you look across that group of eight, seven men

  • and one woman, by definition, they

  • had to do things differently than the peers.

  • But it turned out that the specific actions that they

  • took, the things that they did, were remarkably similar

  • across the eight.

  • So they competed in a wide variety of industries,

  • ranging from manufacturing, to defense, to consumer products,

  • to financial services, and across very different market

  • cycles, but the specific actions they took

  • were remarkably similar to each other.

  • And the primary area of overlap was in the area

  • of capital allocation.

  • And so I think the easiest framework for thinking

  • about capital allocation is that to be a successful CEO,

  • over long periods of time, you need

  • to do two things well-- you need to optimize

  • the profits of the business you're running

  • and you then need to invest or allocate those profits.

  • And again, I think the framework for that

  • is there only three ways that business can raise capital

  • to invest.

  • It can cap it's internal cash flow, it can raise debt,

  • or it can issue equity.

  • And then there are only five things

  • you can do with that capital.

  • So you can invest in your existing operations,

  • you can buy other companies, you can pay down debt,

  • you could pay a dividend, and you

  • could repurchase your shares.

  • That's it.

  • So over long periods of time, the decisions

  • CEOs make across those alternatives

  • have an enormous impact on per share values.

  • So if you took two companies with identical operating

  • results, same level of revenue and the same level

  • of profitability, and two different approaches to capital

  • allocation, over long periods of time,

  • they drive two very different per share outcomes

  • for their share holders.

  • Second piece is that if you looked at this group of eight,

  • they fit an interesting sort of personal profile.

  • So all eight were first time CEOs.

  • So very surprising finding.

  • Over half were under 40 when they got the job,

  • only two had MBAs, four had engineering degrees.

  • And as a group, if you were reaching for adjectives

  • to sort of try to describe them, you

  • would not use the traditional, CEO adjectives of charismatic,

  • strategic, and visionary.

  • Instead, you'd use other adjectives

  • like pragmatic, flexible, opportunistic, dispassionate,

  • rational, analytical.

  • Words like that.

  • So they fit a slightly different profile.

  • So I'll stop there, but that's a bit

  • of an overview of some of the themes in the book.

  • INTERVIEWER: William, picking up on how

  • you describe their personality.

  • You're saying you would not associate it

  • with charisma and so on.

  • You also mentioned, early on, Jack Welch,

  • who's arguably one of the most celebrated CEOs in business

  • history.

  • But I remember reading in your book, and correct me,

  • if I'm mistaken, you say that Jack Welch does not even

  • belong to the same zip code as Henry Singleton, who

  • is one of the CEOs profiled in your book.

  • Can you say more about that?

  • WILLIAM THORNDIKE: I mean, Jack Welch was a great CEO.

  • Period.

  • And it's the reason that he was the benchmark used

  • as one of the two tests for selecting

  • the eight for the book.

  • But if you look at his-- so his returns are extraordinary.

  • He ran GE for 20 years and he averaged

  • about a 20% compound annual return

  • across that period of time, which is extraordinary.

  • However, his tenure coincided with a record bull market run

  • and a broader stock markets.

  • So I think really the way to frame

  • that is, how did he perform relative to the broader market?

  • And he meaningfully outperformed the market.

  • 3.3 times the S&P over the time he was there.

  • But if you look at that metric, relative performance compared

  • to the S&P across a CEOs tenure, I

  • think these eight materially outperformed Welch.

  • And Singleton is an interesting case

  • because he's got such an interesting background.

  • We could spend more time on him.

  • But he, by that same metric, outperformed the S&P

  • by 12-fold over a much longer, nearly 30 year tenure

  • at a company called Teledyne.

  • INTERVIEWER: I want to maybe pause on Singleton for a second

  • before we move on because you said that he was not just

  • a pioneer in stock buybacks, he was much more than that

  • because he sort of built a framework

  • in thinking about them.

  • And later on, in your book, you also

  • mention the straw buyback approach versus sucking hose

  • buyback approach.

  • Can you share more on that with us?

  • WILLIAM THORNDIKE: So I'll give you a little background

  • on Singleton first.

  • INTERVIEWER: Yes.

  • Sure.

  • WILLIAM THORNDIKE: So Singleton is a very interesting case

  • and I think it would resonate particularly with this audience

  • because he had advanced math background.

  • So he was an undergraduate, earned his Masters and PH.D.

  • in electrical engineering from MIT.

  • While at MIT for his PH.D. dissertation,

  • he programmed the first computer at MIT.

  • So when he was 23 years old, he won

  • an award called The Putnam Medal, which

  • is awarded to the top mathematician in the country.

  • So he's very capable, competent, mathematician, engineer.

  • He designed an inertial guidance system

  • that is still in use in commercial and military air

  • crafts.

  • So he had this extraordinary career before he became a CEO.

  • And during the 60s, and 70s, and end of the 80s,

  • he ran a conglomerate called Teledyne.

  • And what's interesting about Singleton--

  • and he had extraordinary returns in doing that,

  • but what's interesting is the range he

  • showed as a capital allocator.