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  • To buy, or not to buy. That is the question.

  • Should you continue to rent? Or should you buy your first home?

  • This can be a challenging decision.

  • But it need not be.

  • In the next few minutes we'll show you simple way to determine exactly when to make the move to home ownership.

  • Let's start with a quick comparison of the advantages of both options.

  • Renting has two primary advantages: mobility and simplified financial obligations.

  • Buying a home has different advantages.

  • Each mortgage payment builds equity in your house; House payments remain essentially fixed, even as other prices rise;

  • Your tax bill will likely be lower, and your home improvements build upon your investment.

  • But when is it best to switch from renting to buying your first home?

  • From a financial point of view, it essentially comes down to two factors:

  • The minimum number of years you plan to own the house and the size of your down payment.

  • We'll illustrate this with a spreadsheet we created in Google Drive.

  • You can get your own copy of the spreadsheet by clicking on the link listed in the description section below and copy it into your own Google Drive.

  • The cells with no shading contain the all information we need for our calculations.

  • The default values are typical of those for buying a starter home with a cost of $100,000.

  • A summary of the analysis is best illustrated by two graphs.

  • The first graph shows the projected expenses for both renting and homeownership over the coming years.

  • The curves show that the projected accumulated expenses for house ownership start out higher,

  • but eventually drop below the rental expenses at some point in the future.

  • There are several reasons for this.

  • First, as soon as you buy a house, you incur the future cost of selling it.

  • Even though this expense won't be paid until the house is sold, we count it as an expense right up front.

  • It's this expense that makes homeownership initially cost more than renting.

  • In most cases, accumulated renting expenses will eventually exceed the costs of owning a home.

  • This is because less money is spent on mortgage loan interest as you build home equity.

  • On the other hand, rental costs generally continue to rise at the rate of inflation.

  • By looking at this graph, it's clear that you will need to hold onto your house for at least a few years to break even.

  • So if there is a high likelihood of you moving soon,

  • it's better to continue renting and save for a larger down payment.

  • This brings us to the second primary factor--your down payment.

  • A higher down payment means a smaller mortgage,

  • which lowers your interest payments, thereby lowering your overall house expenses

  • Further, if your down payment is less than 20% of the house price,

  • your loan will likely require the additional expense of private mortgage insurance (or PMI) as part of your monthly house payment.

  • Now that we know the two primary factors impacting your decision, let's look at the second graph in the spreadsheet.

  • One axis represents the amount of your down payment.

  • The other, is the minimum amount of time you plan to own your home.

  • If your situation puts you within the shaded region, it's better to continue renting.

  • But if you determine that your situation puts you outside of the shaded region, it's time to consider buying a home.

  • For example, this graph shows if you put 20% down, you should plan to own the house for at least 2.5 years.

  • You may have noticed that throughout our analysis,

  • we have assumed that the values in our spreadsheet remain the same over time.

  • But in the world of real estate, nothing remains the same.

  • Inflation, mortgage rates, and home prices vary significantly over time.

  • So is the whole analysis hopeless and just a matter of luck?

  • Fortunately not.

  • A homeowner has one significant hedge against all these variables.

  • That hedge is time.

  • According to the famous Case-Shiller index, given enough time, housing prices will on average track inflation.

  • Therefore, in most cases, you can avoid a loss due to short-term depressed housing prices by simply holding onto your home longer.

  • As you have seen, the rent or buy decision doesn't need to be overly complicated.

  • By focusing on two important factors, you can start charting your course to home ownership.

  • If you liked video and want to continue to learn more about various aspects of home buying,

  • please subscribe to the home buyer channel.

  • If your business involves home buying or financing, we encourage you to embed this video into your website.

  • Use the comment section to let us know what you think of this video and what other types of home-buying topics you would like to see in the future.

To buy, or not to buy. That is the question.

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