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  • Hello. This is 6 Minute English

  • from BBC Learning English.

  • I'm Sam.

  • And I'm Neil.

  • In March 2020, the World Health

  • Organisation, the WHO,

  • declared Covid-19 a pandemic.

  • Now, after two and half years in the

  • shadow of Covid, for many people travel

  • restrictions are ending, and many people

  • around the world are

  • starting their lives again.

  • But not everyone.

  • Whether it's because of

  • lockdowns and not seeing friends, or

  • getting sick, even dying, everyone wants

  • to see an end to the pandemic.

  • But with cases of Covid infections still

  • in the millions, and doctors warning

  • about new variants of the disease, is

  • the pandemic really coming to an end?

  • In this programme, we'll be finding out

  • how pandemics end,

  • and, as usual, we'll be learning some

  • related vocabulary as well.

  • Of course, pandemics are nothing new.

  • Ancient texts are full of stories

  • of plagues which spread

  • death and disease before

  • eventually going away.

  • In the Middle Ages, The Black Death that

  • killed over half of Europe's population

  • lasted for four years.

  • It's only with modern

  • vaccines that diseases

  • have been eradicated - completely ended.

  • So, Neil, my question this week is:

  • which disease was eradicated in 1977?

  • Was it: a) cholera, b) polio,

  • or c) smallpox?

  • I'm going to say c) small pox.

  • OK, I'll reveal the answer

  • at the end of the program.

  • Of course, the idea that

  • the pandemic might not

  • be ending isn't something

  • people want to hear.

  • Most people are sick of

  • worrying about Covid and

  • can't wait for things

  • to get back to normal.

  • But as Yale University physician,

  • Professor Nicholas Christakis,

  • explained to BBC World Service

  • programme, The Inquiry, it's not

  • just the biological disease that needs to

  • end - pandemics have a social ending too.

  • Pandemics are not just

  • a biological phenomenon,

  • they're also a social

  • phenomenon, and they end socially.

  • And one of the ways that they

  • end socially is when

  • everyone just sort of

  • agrees that they have

  • ended - when everyone is

  • simply willing to tolerate more risk.

  • On other words, we sort of declare victory,

  • maybe prematurely, or

  • another way of thinking about it is,

  • we put our heads in the sand.

  • Biologically Covid still

  • exists in the world and

  • most of us would rather not catch it.

  • But if you're vaccinated, the

  • risk of getting seriously

  • ill is much lower, so it's reasonable to

  • make plans to resume normal life.

  • When enough people do this, we

  • declare victory - a phrase meaning to

  • announce something to be

  • finished before it

  • actually is, but when

  • it looks 'good enough'.

  • The danger is that we declare victory

  • prematurely - too soon, before it's the best

  • time to do so.

  • Professor Christakis uses another idiom

  • for this - to bury your head in the

  • sand, meaning to deliberately refuse

  • to accept the truth about something you

  • find unpleasant.

  • It's also true that pandemics do not end in

  • the same way for everyone, everywhere.

  • Rich western countries

  • with the resources to vaccinate their

  • populations are in a

  • better position than most.

  • Professor Dora Vargha is an expert on the

  • history of medicine.

  • She compares the Covid

  • pandemic to an ongoing

  • disease for which we

  • have no cure, and which

  • has killed millions since

  • its outbreak in the 1980s - HIV/Aids.

  • Here is Professor Vargha,

  • speaking with BBC World Service's, The Inquiry.

  • What happens in the case of HIV/Aids is that it

  • became from being an

  • immediate death sentence

  • basically to a manageable

  • chronic disease... but that happens in

  • societies that have the means and

  • the infrastructure to make

  • that possible with medication, and that is

  • not necessarily true for all parts of the

  • world, but we don't

  • think about the HIV/Aids

  • pandemic as an ongoing pandemic.

  • Although HIV has no cure,

  • modern medical drugs

  • allow people to continue

  • living with the disease for years.

  • HIV is no longer a death sentence - a phrase

  • meaning the punishment of

  • death for committing a

  • crime, or from an incurable disease.

  • Nowadays, HIV is no longer fatal.

  • It has become a disease which can be

  • controlled and is chronic, or long lasting.

  • We no longer think of Aids as a pandemic,

  • but that's not true everywhere - only

  • in countries which can provide the necessary

  • medical drugs and support.

  • Finding the right balance

  • of Covid restrictions

  • for communities of people

  • exhausted by the pandemic isn't easy.

  • Many scientists are warning that we

  • haven't yet reached the beginning of the end

  • of Covid, but hopefully

  • we're at least reaching

  • the end of the beginning.

  • Let's finish the programme on a hopeful note

  • by remembering that diseases

  • can and do eventually end - like in your

  • quiz question, Sam.

  • Yes, I asked which disease was eradicated in 1977.

  • Neil said it was smallpox, which was

  • the correct answer! Well done, Neil!

  • Smallpox no longer occurs naturally, but

  • did you know that samples of smallpox

  • do still exist, frozen in American and Soviet

  • laboratories during the Cold War!

  • As if the thought that

  • the Covid pandemic might

  • never end isn't scary enough!

  • Right, let's recap the vocabulary we've

  • learnt starting with eradicate - to completely

  • get rid of something, such as a disease.

  • If you declare victory,

  • you announce something

  • to be finished before it actually is.

  • The danger is doing this is that

  • you announce it prematurely, or too soon.

  • The idiom ;bury your head

  • in the sand' means to

  • refuse to accept or look

  • at a situation you don't like.

  • A death sentence means the

  • punishment of death for

  • committing a crime, or

  • from an incurable disease.

  • And finally, a chronic

  • disease is one which lasts for a long time.

  • Even though the pandemic hasn't

  • ended, our programme has

  • because our six minutes are up.