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  • Israel has effectively become the world's guinea pig, providing the largest case study of whether vaccines really could be the light at the end of the tunnel.

  • Its rapid and world leading role out of the fighter shot has provided new and crucial data offering insights into how effective vaccines are and if they could gain the upper hand in the pandemic.

  • Results are trickling in, and they're promising.

  • Last week was the first week where we can say with confidence that we began to see the effect of the vaccines on the national pandemic numbers.

  • Iran Segal is a data scientist at the Weizmann Institute of Science in Israel.

  • He says the first groups to be inoculated a seeing a dramatic drop in illnesses.

  • We do not see these trends in the group off 60 and below who were later to vaccinate.

  • We see a bigger effect in cities where more people got vaccinated and these patterns we did not observe.

  • In the previous lock down in October, more than half of eligible Israelis, about 3.5 million people, have now been fully or partially vaccinated.

  • Among the first fully vaccinated group, there was a 53% reduction in new cases, a 39% decline in hospitalizations on a 31% drop in severe illnesses from mid January until February 6th, according to Siegel.

  • While the news is positive cases, air still soaring thanks to the fast spreading UK variant, which now makes up about 80% of new cases in Israel, the race between the UK variant spreading and the vaccinations that's the the end result is that we're seeing kind of a plateau in terms of the severely ill.

  • But when we analyze the data further, we see that this plateau is actually composed off a reduction in severely ill among the age group above the age of 60 and an increase in the group below the age of 60.

  • So the net result is a plateau, even a 10% reduction in the overall severely ill cases this week compared to last week.

  • Israel is a small country with universal health care and advanced data capabilities, providing a unique opportunity for gathering insights.

  • Every detail was digitally tracked down two in which arm each patient was jabbed and what Violet came from.

  • The big question, of course, is whether vaccines can end the pandemic altogether.

  • Crucially there.

  • Maybe early signs that vaccines tamper transmission as well as illness.

  • But Professor Michael Linea, away from the Hebrew University, predicts it will become endemic and seasonal.

  • The virus is not going anywhere.

  • It will stay with us.

  • But it will never stay with us.

  • The situation that we are now it will become a very you know, like endemic.

  • Nothing to write about.

  • Not so important, You know, One off.

  • Many more insights will be known in two weeks as teams analyze younger groups of Israelis on branch out into other focus groups.

  • Yeah, I'm not It's not okay, okay.

Israel has effectively become the world's guinea pig, providing the largest case study of whether vaccines really could be the light at the end of the tunnel.

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B1 israel plateau data reduction ill vaccinated

Promising data in Israel's vaccine race

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    林宜悉 posted on 2021/02/11
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