Bidenwantstostrengthenmanufacturingandreturnto a morecooperativetradingrelationshipwithDemocraticalliesliketheEUsotheycanbandtogetherandkeepChinaincheckwhileusingtradetofurtherthecauseofenvironmentalprotectionandworkersRightssoundsgreatastodolistsgo.
Arguably, itwon't happenunderbiteandeitherAndthatexpertsconcur, is a goodthing.
I thinktherewillbe, ah, lotmore.
Um, youknow, mendingoffrelationshipswithpreviousalliessuchastheEuropeanUnion, butalsomultilateralapproachesforcommonproblemsatthe W t o level, theWorldTradeOrganization.
Sooverall, a muchmoreconsistentofmorepredictable, um, presidency, um, intermsoftradeandengagement.
Soarewegoingtostartseeing a tradingrelationshipcomingoutoftheUS?
Let's say, a tradingrelationshipwiththeEUthat's stilladversarial, butmorepolite.
IsthatIsthatwhatwe'regoingtosee?
Um, youphraseitreallynicely.
I thinkitis a littlemorethanthat.
I don't thinkthatwe'regoingtoberestrictedtojustrhetorichereorchangeintone.
I dothinktherearesubstantivethingsthatwecanchange.
Okay, soattheveryleast, thetoneisgoingtochangeunderBidenwhichis a start.
HowtodealwithChinais a sharedquestionforboththeEUandtheUSTheybothwanttobepresentintheChinesemarketbecauseit's huge, buttheyalsowanttogetChinatoplaybytherules.
C E P wasfirstproposedin 2011, andthat's quite a longtimebeforethe U.
S Chinatradewarevenstarted.
Soit's notasifoneprecipitatedtheother, butthe U.
S.
Andthatyoushouldsitupandtakenoteanyway.
Rcepmightnotmeanusmucheconomicallyrightnow, butitmeansthatthesecountrieshaveagreedon a jointeconomicventure.
Itis a forum.
It's a buildingblockthatthesecountriescanandwillbuildonright, soit's kindofitzasteppingstone, ifyouwill, andthatiskindofthepartthatshouldworrythe U andthatshouldworrytheUnitedStates.
Butityouknow, itshows, uh, certainlythatthetransatlanticcommunityhasnotyetcomeupwith a waytopresentitselfas a feasiblealternativetocountriesinAsiainthewaythatChinahasdone.
TheEUandtheUShave a hostofissuestodealwithbeforetheycanrepairandeventuallystrengthenedtheirrelationshipsothattheycancountertheoutsizedambitionsofChina, whichamongotherwayshascementeditsinternationalinfluencebysigning a sweepingfreetradedealwithitsneighborsandbeyond.
I mean, that's manageable.
Butitisalso, ofcourse, a specialtimeJoeBidenisgonnaisinheriting a very, uh, youknow, dramaticeconomicsituationdomestically.
Heistherefore, becauseofthepandemic, goingtobefirstandforemost a domesticorientedpresident.
ThosewhoreallyhopethattheBidenadministrationisgonnausherin a neweraofclosertransatlantictraderelations.
I thinkthey'regonnahavetobepatientforthefirstcoupleofyears.