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  • We've known about the idea of the greenhouse effect since the 1820s,

  • but it was Eunice Foote - a women's rights activist -

  • who first showed how it could actually work.

  • In 1856, she used an air pump to fill glass cylinders with different gases

  • and then tested the effect of sunlight on them.

  • One was carbon dioxide, CO2.

  • "The receiver containing the gas became itself much heated...

  • and on being removed, it was many times as long in cooling..."

  • Foote's experiment suggested that CO2 and water vapour

  • trap heat more than other gases do

  • and the potential effects on our climate began to emerge.

  • "An atmosphere of that gas

  • would give to our Earth a high temperature."

  • That year she submitted her findings

  • to an American scientific society.

  • At their conference she wasn't able to take questions directly

  • because someone else presented her work for her

  • and it wasn't published in the proceedings of the society.

  • Another journal did end up publishing her paper,

  • but it went largely unnoticed.

  • Three years later, Irish physicist John Tyndall

  • did more complex experiments,

  • finding other greenhouse gases that trap heat.

  • He went on to become one of the founding figures of climate science.

  • Nobody knows if he'd read Eunice Foote's paper,

  • but his own didn't mention her or her glass cylinders at all.

  • No pictures of Foote have survived,

  • and her contribution remained buried for 150 years -

  • only coming to light by chance in 2010,

  • when a retired geologist discovered a citation of her work

  • in an antique science annual.

  • Guy Stewart Callendar was a steam engineer by day

  • and an avid collector of climate data in his spare time.

  • By the 1930s, he was collecting temperature readings

  • from 147 weather stations around the world.

  • No-one had ever collated the data like this before,

  • and when he compared his temperature readings

  • to historic measurements of CO2, he discovered a clear pattern.

  • Callendar saw that not only was climate change happening,

  • it was at least partly down to the burning of fossil fuels.

  • In 1938, Callendar presented his findings to a scientific body

  • but the idea that we humans could influence

  • something as huge as the Earth's climate

  • was still, for many, too hard to believe.

  • It wasn't until after the Second World War

  • that the effect of human activity on global warming -

  • the "Callendar Effect" - was proved right.

  • In 1958, chemist Charles Keeling's colleagues

  • were studying the relationship between

  • ocean acidity and carbon dioxide.

  • Until then, it had been thought that the oceans quickly absorb most CO2,

  • taking it out of the atmosphere,

  • but that didn't appear to be true.

  • Keeling had a hunch that scientists had been underestimating

  • how much of the gas was actually over our heads.

  • I was telling these people that the whole field was

  • pretty badly screwed up.

  • Atmospheric CO2 readings had been taken for decades,

  • but the data was unreliable.

  • Keeling was convinced he could do better, and looked for a spot

  • that was as far as possible from the pollution of cities and industry.

  • He went to the middle of the North Pacific,

  • 4,000 metres above sea level,

  • to the huge, active volcano of Mauna Loa, in Hawaii.

  • If you had to have picked a spot anywhere,

  • which would have given

  • a representation of the whole world with one single site,

  • Mauna Loa Observatory is probably about the best choice.

  • His new data proved two things.

  • Firstly, it showed that CO2 goes up and down with the seasons.

  • But if you zoom out from these "saw's teeth"

  • you can see the second thing that Keeling proved -

  • atmospheric CO2 was increasing year on year.

  • Keeling began plotting his readings on a graph,

  • and the ominously upward-curving line - the "Keeling Curve" - was born.

  • But the Mauna Loa project faced challenges.

  • Equipment broke down, and it struggled to secure funding.

  • It was only through sheer perseverance

  • that the observatory kept taking its readings.

  • Keeling was eventually awarded

  • a National Medal of Science for his work,

  • and today, Mauna Loa is still the world's benchmark site

  • for measuring CO2.

  • It's now more than 160 years

  • since Eunice Foote suggested the cause of global warming,

  • more than 80 years since Guy Callendar demonstrated

  • the planet was warming because of human activity,

  • and more than 60 years since Charles Keeling showed

  • CO2 was rising at an alarming rate.

  • And here we are...

We've known about the idea of the greenhouse effect since the 1820s,

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