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  • A few months ago

  • the Nobel Prize in physics

  • was awarded to two teams of astronomers

  • for a discovery that has been hailed

  • as one of the most important

  • astronomical observations ever.

  • And today, after briefly describing what they found,

  • I'm going to tell you about a highly controversial framework

  • for explaining their discovery,

  • namely the possibility

  • that way beyond the Earth,

  • the Milky Way and other distant galaxies,

  • we may find that our universe

  • is not the only universe,

  • but is instead

  • part of a vast complex of universes

  • that we call the multiverse.

  • Now the idea of a multiverse is a strange one.

  • I mean, most of us were raised to believe

  • that the word "universe" means everything.

  • And I say most of us with forethought,

  • as my four-year-old daughter has heard me speak of these ideas since she was born.

  • And last year I was holding her

  • and I said, "Sophia,

  • I love you more than anything in the universe."

  • And she turned to me and said, "Daddy,

  • universe or multiverse?"

  • (Laughter)

  • But barring such an anomalous upbringing,

  • it is strange to imagine

  • other realms separate from ours,

  • most with fundamentally different features,

  • that would rightly be called universes of their own.

  • And yet,

  • speculative though the idea surely is,

  • I aim to convince you

  • that there's reason for taking it seriously,

  • as it just might be right.

  • I'm going to tell the story of the multiverse in three parts.

  • In part one,

  • I'm going to describe those Nobel Prize-winning results

  • and to highlight a profound mystery

  • which those results revealed.

  • In part two,

  • I'll offer a solution to that mystery.

  • It's based on an approach called string theory,

  • and that's where the idea of the multiverse

  • will come into the story.

  • Finally, in part three,

  • I'm going to describe a cosmological theory

  • called inflation,

  • which will pull all the pieces of the story together.

  • Okay, part one starts back in 1929

  • when the great astronomer Edwin Hubble

  • realized that the distant galaxies

  • were all rushing away from us,

  • establishing that space itself is stretching,

  • it's expanding.

  • Now this was revolutionary.

  • The prevailing wisdom was that on the largest of scales

  • the universe was static.

  • But even so,

  • there was one thing that everyone was certain of:

  • The expansion must be slowing down.

  • That, much as the gravitational pull of the Earth

  • slows the ascent of an apple tossed upward,

  • the gravitational pull

  • of each galaxy on every other

  • must be slowing

  • the expansion of space.

  • Now let's fast-forward to the 1990s

  • when those two teams of astronomers

  • I mentioned at the outset

  • were inspired by this reasoning

  • to measure the rate

  • at which the expansion has been slowing.

  • And they did this

  • by painstaking observations

  • of numerous distant galaxies,

  • allowing them to chart

  • how the expansion rate has changed over time.

  • Here's the surprise:

  • They found that the expansion is not slowing down.

  • Instead they found that it's speeding up,

  • going faster and faster.

  • That's like tossing an apple upward

  • and it goes up faster and faster.

  • Now if you saw an apple do that,

  • you'd want to know why.

  • What's pushing on it?

  • Similarly, the astronomers' results

  • are surely well-deserving of the Nobel Prize,

  • but they raised an analogous question.

  • What force is driving all galaxies

  • to rush away from every other

  • at an ever-quickening speed?

  • Well the most promising answer

  • comes from an old idea of Einstein's.

  • You see, we are all used to gravity

  • being a force that does one thing,

  • pulls objects together.

  • But in Einstein's theory of gravity,

  • his general theory of relativity,

  • gravity can also push things apart.

  • How? Well according to Einstein's math,

  • if space is uniformly filled

  • with an invisible energy,

  • sort of like a uniform, invisible mist,

  • then the gravity generated by that mist

  • would be repulsive,

  • repulsive gravity,

  • which is just what we need to explain the observations.

  • Because the repulsive gravity

  • of an invisible energy in space --

  • we now call it dark energy,

  • but I've made it smokey white here so you can see it --

  • its repulsive gravity

  • would cause each galaxy to push against every other,

  • driving expansion to speed up,

  • not slow down.

  • And this explanation

  • represents great progress.

  • But I promised you a mystery

  • here in part one.

  • Here it is.

  • When the astronomers worked out

  • how much of this dark energy

  • must be infusing space

  • to account for the cosmic speed up,

  • look at what they found.

  • This number is small.

  • Expressed in the relevant unit,

  • it is spectacularly small.

  • And the mystery is to explain this peculiar number.

  • We want this number

  • to emerge from the laws of physics,

  • but so far no one has found a way to do that.

  • Now you might wonder,

  • should you care?

  • Maybe explaining this number

  • is just a technical issue,

  • a technical detail of interest to experts,

  • but of no relevance to anybody else.

  • Well it surely is a technical detail,

  • but some details really matter.

  • Some details provide

  • windows into uncharted realms of reality,

  • and this peculiar number may be doing just that,

  • as the only approach that's so far made headway to explain it

  • invokes the possibility of other universes --

  • an idea that naturally emerges from string theory,

  • which takes me to part two: string theory.

  • So hold the mystery of the dark energy

  • in the back of your mind

  • as I now go on to tell you

  • three key things about string theory.

  • First off, what is it?

  • Well it's an approach to realize Einstein's dream

  • of a unified theory of physics,

  • a single overarching framework

  • that would be able to describe

  • all the forces at work in the universe.

  • And the central idea of string theory

  • is quite straightforward.

  • It says that if you examine

  • any piece of matter ever more finely,

  • at first you'll find molecules

  • and then you'll find atoms and subatomic particles.

  • But the theory says that if you could probe smaller,

  • much smaller than we can with existing technology,

  • you'd find something else inside these particles --

  • a little tiny vibrating filament of energy,

  • a little tiny vibrating string.

  • And just like the strings on a violin,

  • they can vibrate in different patterns

  • producing different musical notes.

  • These little fundamental strings,

  • when they vibrate in different patterns,

  • they produce different kinds of particles --

  • so electrons, quarks, neutrinos, photons,

  • all other particles

  • would be united into a single framework,

  • as they would all arise from vibrating strings.

  • It's a compelling picture,

  • a kind of cosmic symphony,

  • where all the richness

  • that we see in the world around us

  • emerges from the music

  • that these little, tiny strings can play.

  • But there's a cost

  • to this elegant unification,

  • because years of research

  • have shown that the math of string theory doesn't quite work.

  • It has internal inconsistencies,

  • unless we allow

  • for something wholly unfamiliar --

  • extra dimensions of space.

  • That is, we all know about the usual three dimensions of space.

  • And you can think about those

  • as height, width and depth.

  • But string theory says that, on fantastically small scales,

  • there are additional dimensions

  • crumpled to a tiny size so small

  • that we have not detected them.

  • But even though the dimensions are hidden,

  • they would have an impact on things that we can observe

  • because the shape of the extra dimensions

  • constrains how the strings can vibrate.

  • And in string theory,

  • vibration determines everything.

  • So particle masses, the strengths of forces,

  • and most importantly, the amount of dark energy

  • would be determined

  • by the shape of the extra dimensions.

  • So if we knew the shape of the extra dimensions,

  • we should be able to calculate these features,

  • calculate the amount of dark energy.

  • The challenge

  • is we don't know

  • the shape of the extra dimensions.

  • All we have

  • is a list of candidate shapes

  • allowed by the math.

  • Now when these ideas were first developed,

  • there were only about five different candidate shapes,

  • so you can imagine

  • analyzing them one-by-one

  • to determine if any yield

  • the physical features we observe.

  • But over time the list grew

  • as researchers found other candidate shapes.

  • From five, the number grew into the hundreds and then the thousands --

  • A large, but still manageable, collection to analyze,

  • since after all,

  • graduate students need something to do.

  • But then the list continued to grow

  • into the millions and the billions, until today.

  • The list of candidate shapes

  • has soared to about 10 to the 500.

  • So, what to do?

  • Well some researchers lost heart,

  • concluding that was so many candidate shapes for the extra dimensions,

  • each giving rise to different physical features,

  • string theory would never make

  • definitive, testable predictions.

  • But others turned this issue on its head,

  • taking us to the possibility of a multiverse.

  • Here's the idea.

  • Maybe each of these shapes is on an equal footing with every other.

  • Each is as real as every other,

  • in the sense

  • that there are many universes,

  • each with a different shape, for the extra dimensions.

  • And this radical proposal

  • has a profound impact on this mystery:

  • the amount of dark energy revealed by the Nobel Prize-winning results.

  • Because you see,

  • if there are other universes,

  • and if those universes

  • each have, say, a different shape for the extra dimensions,

  • then the physical features of each universe will be different,

  • and in particular,

  • the amount of dark energy in each universe

  • will be different.

  • Which means that the mystery

  • of explaining the amount of dark energy we've now measured

  • would take on a wholly different character.

  • In this context,

  • the laws of physics can't explain one number for the dark energy

  • because there isn't just one number,

  • there are many numbers.

  • Which means

  • we have been asking the wrong question.

  • It's that the right question to ask is,

  • why do we humans find ourselves in a universe

  • with a particular amount of dark energy we've measured

  • instead of any of the other possibilities

  • that are out there?

  • And that's a question on which we can make headway.

  • Because those universes

  • that have much more dark energy than ours,

  • whenever matter tries to clump into galaxies,

  • the repulsive push of the dark energy is so strong

  • that it blows the clump apart

  • and galaxies don't form.

  • And in those universes that have much less dark energy,

  • well they collapse back on themselves so quickly

  • that, again, galaxies don't form.

  • And without galaxies, there are no stars, no planets

  • and no chance

  • for our form of life

  • to exist in those other universes.

  • So we find ourselves in a universe

  • with the particular amount of dark energy we've measured

  • simply because our universe has conditions

  • hospitable to our form of life.

  • And that would be that.

  • Mystery solved,

  • multiverse found.

  • Now some find this explanation unsatisfying.

  • We're used to physics

  • giving us definitive explanations for the features we observe.

  • But the point is,

  • if the feature you're observing

  • can and does take on

  • a wide variety of different values

  • across the wider landscape of reality,

  • then thinking one explanation

  • for a particular value

  • is simply misguided.

  • An early example

  • comes from the great astronomer Johannes Kepler

  • who was obsessed with understanding

  • a different number --

  • why the Sun is 93 million miles away from the Earth.

  • And he worked for decades trying to explain this number,

  • but he never succeeded, and we know why.

  • Kepler was asking

  • the wrong question.

  • We now know that there are many planets

  • at a wide variety of different distances from their host stars.

  • So hoping that the laws of physics

  • will explain one particular number, 93 million miles,

  • well that is simply wrongheaded.

  • Instead the right question to ask is,

  • why do we humans find ourselves on a planet

  • at this particular distance,

  • instead of any of the other possibilities?

  • And again, that's a question we can answer.

  • Those planets which are much closer to a star like the Sun

  • would be so hot

  • that our form of life wouldn't exist.

  • And those planets that are much farther away from the star,

  • well they're so cold

  • that, again, our form of life would not take hold.

  • So we find ourselves

  • on a planet at this particular distance

  • simply because it yields conditions

  • vital to our form of life.

  • And when it comes to planets and their distances,

  • this clearly is the right kind of reasoning.

  • The point is,

  • when it comes to universes and the dark energy that they contain,

  • it may also be the right kind of reasoning.

  • One key difference, of course,

  • is we know that there are other planets out there,

  • but so far I've only speculated on the possibility

  • that there might be other universes.

  • So to pull it all together,

  • we need a mechanism

  • that can actually generate other universes.

  • And that takes me to my final part, part three.

  • Because such a mechanism has been found

  • by cosmologists trying to understand the Big Bang.

  • You see, when we speak of the Big Bang,

  • we often have an image

  • of a kind of cosmic explosion

  • that created our universe

  • and set space rushing outward.

  • But there's a little secret.

  • The Big Bang leaves out something pretty important,

  • the Bang.

  • It tells us how the universe evolved after the Bang,

  • but gives us no insight

  • into what would have powered the Bang itself.

  • And this gap was finally filled

  • by an enhanced version of the Big Bang theory.

  • It's called inflationary cosmology,

  • which identified a particular kind of fuel

  • that would naturally generate

  • an outward rush of space.

  • The fuel is based on something called a quantum field,

  • but the only detail that matters for us

  • is that this fuel proves to be so efficient

  • that it's virtually impossible

  • to use it all up,

  • which means in the inflationary theory,

  • the Big Bang giving rise to our universe

  • is likely not a one-time event.

  • Instead the fuel not only generated our Big Bang,

  • but it would also generate countless other Big Bangs,

  • each giving rise to its own separate universe

  • with our universe becoming but one bubble

  • in a grand cosmic bubble bath of universes.

  • And now, when we meld this with string theory,

  • here's the picture we're led to.

  • Each of these universes has extra dimensions.

  • The extra dimensions take on a wide variety of different shapes.

  • The different shapes yield different physical features.

  • And we find ourselves in one universe instead of another

  • simply because it's only in our universe

  • that the physical features, like the amount of dark energy,

  • are right for our form of life to take hold.

  • And this is the compelling but highly controversial picture

  • of the wider cosmos

  • that cutting-edge observation and theory

  • have now led us to seriously consider.

  • One big remaining question, of course, is,

  • could we ever confirm

  • the existence of other universes?

  • Well let me describe

  • one way that might one day happen.

  • The inflationary theory

  • already has strong observational support.

  • Because the theory predicts

  • that the Big Bang would have been so intense

  • that as space rapidly expanded,

  • tiny quantum jitters from the micro world

  • would have been stretched out to the macro world,

  • yielding a distinctive fingerprint,

  • a pattern of slightly hotter spots and slightly colder spots,

  • across space,

  • which powerful telescopes have now observed.

  • Going further, if there are other universes,

  • the theory predicts that every so often

  • those universes can collide.

  • And if our universe got hit by another,

  • that collision

  • would generate an additional subtle pattern

  • of temperature variations across space

  • that we might one day

  • be able to detect.

  • And so exotic as this picture is,

  • it may one day be grounded

  • in observations,

  • establishing the existence of other universes.

  • I'll conclude

  • with a striking implication

  • of all these ideas

  • for the very far future.

  • You see, we learned

  • that our universe is not static,

  • that space is expanding,

  • that that expansion is speeding up

  • and that there might be other universes

  • all by carefully examining

  • faint pinpoints of starlight

  • coming to us from distant galaxies.

  • But because the expansion is speeding up,

  • in the very far future,

  • those galaxies will rush away so far and so fast

  • that we won't be able to see them --

  • not because of technological limitations,

  • but because of the laws of physics.

  • The light those galaxies emit,

  • even traveling at the fastest speed, the speed of light,

  • will not be able to overcome

  • the ever-widening gulf between us.

  • So astronomers in the far future

  • looking out into deep space

  • will see nothing but an endless stretch

  • of static, inky, black stillness.

  • And they will conclude

  • that the universe is static and unchanging

  • and populated by a single central oasis of matter

  • that they inhabit --

  • a picture of the cosmos

  • that we definitively know to be wrong.

  • Now maybe those future astronomers will have records

  • handed down from an earlier era,

  • like ours,

  • attesting to an expanding cosmos

  • teeming with galaxies.

  • But would those future astronomers

  • believe such ancient knowledge?

  • Or would they believe

  • in the black, static empty universe

  • that their own state-of-the-art observations reveal?

  • I suspect the latter.

  • Which means that we are living

  • through a remarkably privileged era

  • when certain deep truths about the cosmos

  • are still within reach

  • of the human spirit of exploration.

  • It appears that it may not always be that way.

  • Because today's astronomers,

  • by turning powerful telescopes to the sky,

  • have captured a handful of starkly informative photons --

  • a kind of cosmic telegram

  • billions of years in transit.

  • and the message echoing across the ages is clear.

  • Sometimes nature guards her secrets

  • with the unbreakable grip

  • of physical law.

  • Sometimes the true nature of reality beckons

  • from just beyond the horizon.

  • Thank you very much.

  • (Applause)

  • Chris Anderson: Brian, thank you.

  • The range of ideas you've just spoken about

  • are dizzying, exhilarating, incredible.

  • How do you think

  • of where cosmology is now,

  • in a sort of historical side?

  • Are we in the middle of something unusual historically in your opinion?

  • BG: Well it's hard to say.

  • When we learn that astronomers of the far future

  • may not have enough information to figure things out,

  • the natural question is, maybe we're already in that position

  • and certain deep, critical features of the universe

  • already have escaped our ability to understand

  • because of how cosmology evolves.

  • So from that perspective,

  • maybe we will always be asking questions

  • and never be able to fully answer them.

  • On the other hand, we now can understand

  • how old the universe is.

  • We can understand

  • how to understand the data from the microwave background radiation

  • that was set down 13.72 billion years ago --

  • and yet, we can do calculations today to predict how it will look

  • and it matches.

  • Holy cow! That's just amazing.

  • So on the one hand, it's just incredible where we've gotten,

  • but who knows what sort of blocks we may find in the future.

  • CA: You're going to be around for the next few days.

  • Maybe some of these conversations can continue.

  • Thank you. Thank you, Brian. (BG: My pleasure.)

  • (Applause)

A few months ago

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