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  • while the country worst affected by the Corona virus in Europe is Italy, where infections have jumped by 50% in 24 hours and 52 people have died.

  • The death toll worldwide has now surpassed 3000 with more than 89,000 infections confirmed.

  • Some the latest countries to report cases include Azerbaijan, Ecuador, Latvia and Senegal.

  • Iran is experiencing a severe outbreak.

  • 66 people are said to have died from covert 19 but there are fears that the government there has not reported its true scale.

  • In France, two more people have died from the disease, bringing its total to four forem, or have been diagnosed with Corona virus in England.

  • They're in Hartford share, Devon and Kent.

  • The total for the UK now stands at 40 and all four of the new U K cases had travelled to Italy.

  • I should tell, has the latest theme main government advice today a patriotic washing of hands.

  • As the prime minister check his first Cobra emergency meeting on the outbreak of Corona virus.

  • He's keen to battle a criticism that the government has been too slow and that he's been absent.

  • Yeah, I just shared a Cobra meeting on Corona virus.

  • And I think it's very important to stress that this is a problem that I think is likely to become more significant for this country in the course the next days and weeks on Dhe, therefore, that we'd be making every possible preparation for that.

  • The latest figures show that 40 people in the UK have tested positive up by four, including a pupil at this school in Devon, the head teacher said, the student is getting all necessary support and a Maidstone in Kent.

  • A confirmed case forced the local television news studio too close.

  • Across the country, schools, pubs and health centers have temporarily shut to try and stop the spread of the virus.

  • Head World British Legion Club is one of the latest case is forced to close because of Corona virus fears.

  • We spoke to a woman inside and she said that public health England got in touch because one of their members tested positive for the virus.

  • She said that they also sent instructions on how to do a deep clean themselves.

  • They've been scrubbing away since yesterday, but they're still unclear of when they're gonna open.

  • The first confirmed case in Surrey is the type that will cause health authorities the most worry with no apparent travel history to affected areas or known contact with people who had, he could be the first person to catch the virus within the UK Worldwide, nearly 90,000 cases have been confirmed and over 3000 people and known to have died.

  • But more than half of those who caught the virus over 45,000 have now fully recovered.

  • In China, where it all began, there seems to be more good news.

  • This 98 year old woman for Mu Han was filmed being discharged from hospital.

  • The vast majority of global cases are still confined to the Hoop a province, but in the last 24 hours there were almost nine times more new cases reported outside them.

  • Within mainland China.

  • President Ji is keen to send the message his country and they're aggressive.

  • Social control measures are slowly winning the battle against the virus away from China, the country with the second highest number of cases in the world.

  • South Korea.

  • Their fight is just getting started.

  • Soldiers armed with disinfectant, a daily sight on the streets of Dae Gu in Iran, which the World Health Organization are particularly worried about.

  • The official death toll has gone up to 66.

  • But there are concerns that the true figure could be in the hundreds.

  • Closer to home Corona virus has arrived in every Western European nation.

  • Italy the hot spot.

  • The death toll there escalated dramatically today to 52 people.

  • But as the virus spreads, life goes on around it.

  • In Israel, having their third election in less than a year, sanitized polling stations made sure that even those under quarantine could get their votes.

  • Politicians still keen to get the numbers they need The Corona thing is completely under control.

  • Today.

  • We're we've taken all the precautions that are necessary.

  • People can go and vote with complete confidence.

  • While people around the world is still figuring out how to cope with the new Corona virus.

  • Even world leaders aren't quite so sure handshake an elbow bump or pats on the back.

  • A look at how the virus might already be changing the very way we interact well as we've heard, the largest outbreak in Europe is in Italy.

  • Juliana D'Antoni returned home to London last week from a vacation in the most affected area in the north.

  • I spoke to her earlier and asked what would have been like in Italy?

  • The city that I was wasn't like.

  • Consider Red Zone.

  • But there is a lot off passions on the hospital in that city, and the cities, like close by was completely closed.

  • So trains was can sell or like they cannot receive no one else, like who is visiting.

  • Just friends of family cannot get out off the city's you.

  • And so what happened when you came home to Britain?

  • I received from my work, uh, noticed that I supposed to say it home for about 14 days, and in the meantime, I supposed to do the test, and I felt some symptoms like fever or cough was a really difficult night.

  • And I called 111 which was really difficult because I spent literally more than an hour in the phone like holding on the line.

  • And I tried to call many times on that in the afternoon, they pick up my coat on.

  • They say that they asked me about my symptoms.

  • Where have bean Italy?

  • They just came to my place on Saturday TS was a bit, uh, funny and carrying the same time because is like it was looking as, ah, sci fi film like the nursing come here.

  • Completely covert with the protection uniforms.

  • So basically, I need to wait for three or four days to get the results.

  • In the meantime, I'm self isolating myself.

  • So I have I share my fat with two people on, and these two people needs to stay in a different room than me.

  • So we cannot share the same room.

  • Or if you we are the same room.

  • Everything needs to be open.

  • We cannot approach ourselves more than two meters.

  • So how do you feel?

  • The system has worked for you.

  • I mean, do you feel safe?

  • No, really?

  • Because you know, it's a long time that I'm waiting for the results or like also for they come here.

  • And when you call, they have a lot like so long the holding line, like you need to wait for a long time to they finally pick up your coal.

  • So, you know, in the meantime, I think you feel nervous because you want to go out because at the end, you need to hold your job and all these things, like make yourself a bit stressful.

  • But it's like you are waiting for something that you're not 100% sure.

  • And you depend on it like Thio.

  • Keep going.

  • Your life I'm working remotely, but a TTE some point, I think also for human being you need to go out off your home or interact we to your flat maids or something like this.

  • So I need to wait into Thursday.

  • Do you have any results if yes or no?

  • In the meantime, an itch.

  • You wait.

  • Well, good luck.

  • I hope it goes well.

  • Thank you very much.

  • Well, we asked the Health Secretary to appear on the program, but we were told he was not available.

  • I am joined now by Neil Dickson, the Chief Executive, the N Hs Confederation, which represents hospitals and n hs bodies on Dr Helena McCord, a GP whose chair of the British Medical Association Dr Helen um corn First, just to get you to respond to what we just heard from Juliana.

  • Done tinny there.

  • She waited a long while for n hs woman want to respond, and she still hasn't got her test results.

  • Is that a fairly typical picture?

  • Do you think does n hs 11 have the resources we have heard at the British Medical Association that there is quite a long time for some patients to wait for a net chest 111 on?

  • I'm really sorry for Giuliana.

  • Waiting for the results as well.

  • On my understanding is over the last few days, Maur members of HS 11 have been drafted in to do extra hours to reduce this Wait.

  • And there's also the way that you can email any chest 111 But I would really urge that people are patient and do continue to do that because that's part of how we will contain this.

  • And containment is still a very real possibility.

  • Well, Neil Dickson we get the government's battle plan and inverted commas tomorrow.

  • What is the worst case scenario that you're preparing for?

  • Well, there's an escalation plan clearly, and one has to emphasize we're still in a containment face, I think one of the concerns overseas, there are two people that we know off who we are not sure where they got it.

  • It seems to have bean in Trier, Britain transmission, and that is a matter of concern trying to trace them.

  • The other cases are less of concern because we've managed to trace we know where they where they got the virus in the first place.

  • So I think the answer is that they will announce tomorrow, and I haven't seen the detail of it, um, escalation plan.

  • And that's what the N Hs is normally geared up for.

  • So, as Maur cases come in, then, of course, routine operations may have to be put off clearly that the routine clinics, anything that really can be deferred will be deferred.

  • Depending on the level of pressure.

  • New wards will be created in order to deal with patients who need treatment in schools.

  • No in hospitals.

  • That's where people will be treated if they are vulnerable and they need that special kind of treatment.

  • The good news again about this virus is that for the vast majority of people, it's a relatively trivial illness that that actually makes it more difficult to detect as well.

  • But it does mean that for most people accept the most vulnerable than it isn't so much of a problem.

  • How worried do you when you hear that?

  • How worried are you?

  • Is this something you're playing down?

  • Are you concerned that the press might be brought to its knees by that?

  • I'm very worried because I'm aware that if you go to an emergency department, if you go into a hospital, if you're trying to get a routine a point with your general practitioner that the service is what I would consider 99% full already.

  • I'm It is good to hear from Neil that there are spaces in hospitals that could be turned into wards.

  • However, I'm very concerned by the N.

  • H s staff survey only 10 days ago that 56% of our energy as stuff already going to work unwell on.

  • I cannot ask people to be doing that now because that would potentially spread illness on that.

  • The N hs already is causing stress in 40% of our workers.

  • And you talk about more wards.

  • I mean, in Wuhan, they built a whole series of new hospitals.

  • Are you confident that in a worst case scenario, it's suggested that one in 10 people could be hospitalized?

  • Do you have enough critical critical care beds in N.

  • H S.

  • England.

  • No, there will eventually come a time if the virus absolutely takes hold everywhere where, of course, the N hs will then have to prioritize further.

  • But we are somewhere in practice.

  • Well, that means in practice that you will say, for example, that you will be treating your prior ties.

  • Your patients are the most vulnerable.

  • Patients will get treatment.

  • Those who are less vulnerable are less likely to be treated.

  • That is the normal situation in which the N hs would normally deal with any crisis.

  • Situation is that the more people will die, though without wishing to be alarmist.

  • Well, it is inevitable that if this virus comes big time, then significant numbers of people will die just as they die from regular flu every year.

  • But I do think it is important.

  • First of all, to recognize the N.

  • H s is under enormous strain at the moment.

  • Actually, every hospital is full at the moment.

  • But what the N.

  • H.

  • S is good at is flexing so that it will then choose the most ill people and keep them in hospital.

  • Those who are less ill or those who are coming in for routine operations won't need that will create space in order to treat those who will need treatment At some point.

  • Of course, in maybe that there are just too many people requiring that former treat when you look at the figures for N HS England, there were only 1000 critical care beds available in December.

  • Is there a case?

  • Do you think for making hospital beds available elsewhere, schools requisitioning schools and turning them into hospitals?

  • Not necessarily.

  • But what really worries me is why do we have 1/4 off the number of intensive beds that Germany have, which is a similar economy?

  • Can you answer that?

  • No, I think we do need more intensive care beds.

  • The reality is that the health care system has bean consistently underfunded for a long period of time and only in recent times has sufficient invest orm or investment being put in.

  • But even that level of investment, I think, leaves us a long way to catch up in order to be able to provide the kind of service is we need.

  • So really, this pandemic, if it becomes a pandemic, has come at the worst possible time.

  • Well, I worry about my patients who come in to see me, who might be care workers on zero hour contracts.

  • I know already that if they don't go out to sea vulnerable patients in their homes, they may not have the money to buy food for their Children.

  • This is under investment, coming home to roost in both the health care.

  • On the social care service, the prime minister says that schools and public places will be closed on scientific advice.

  • What would your advice be to him about when that should be done to prevent the spread of this?

  • You're clearly worried about the implications of widespread spread.

  • How?

  • Nip it in the bud.

  • Well, I'm not a clinician, so I would absolutely rely on clinical advice as to when those measures should be taken.

  • There's no doubt there's quite a lot of people individually conduce at the moment, and I would say just in relation to 111 that there is now an online version, and that is a better form of, and you're likely to get a better answer more.

  • You are a condition, so you're very quick response to that.

  • We're close schools and public places.

  • So I will listen to the chief medical officer regarding schools.

  • But my GP practises.

  • My colleagues there need to be treated as professionals and allowed to make decisions about when they closed down things like direct upsets to face to face appointments.

  • So you do need to allow GP practises to make those decisions based on their knowledge.

  • Dr Helen in the Corner and Neil Dickson Thank you both very much.

  • Chris Ryanair has become the latest airlines A council flights Jews were dropping demand caused by the virus.

  • The Dublin based carrier said it's reducing frequencies on some routes by up to 25%.

  • British Airways and easyJet have also canceled a number of flights.

  • However, there was some relief for stock markets today after central banks, including the Bank of England, indicated they're prepared to step in to support the global economy.

  • Our Washington correspondent Yvonne Kennedy joins us now from the New York Stock Exchange of almost latest well, Christian and there is some welcome green on the screens as you can see all around me here as all the major stock indices have really rallied today after the carnage that we saw in markets last week.

  • It was the worst week for market since the financial crisis off 2000 and eight, all on fears, really, that the Corona virus would lead to a global economic slowdown.

  • Now those fears haven't got away.

  • There is still much uncertainty, but investors, as you said there, have taken some comfort from central banks around the world, from the Bank of England, from the Bank of Japan and from the Federal Reserve here in New York that they stand to step in tow, boost markets and to prop up their economies.

  • If things look like they could beginning worse.

  • And I have to say in the short term, it does look like things could continue to get worse.

  • That certainly seems to be one scenario painted by the economic think tank, the only CD, which said if there was a more intensive, it said outbreak off the virus than that could see global growth half this year to about 1.5% in terms of numbers here in the U.

  • S.

  • There now, 91 case is the first case announced right here in New York last night, and there have been two deaths so far.

  • Well, earlier I caught up with some of the traders here and I asked him what it would take to cause another panic selloff.

  • Here's what they had to say.

  • Expansion.

  • We continue to see the headlines that have identified the Corona virus in certain countries.

  • Now we're seeing it in certain states in the United States, and if we continue to see that expansion, I think that's when we'll get another round of fear.

  • I also think we'll get another round of fear If you know us government steps in and gets involved and start shutting down governmental offices or certain aspects of our day in and day out life, whether it's mass transit and stuff like that, I think that's what we will see.

  • Another line of fear.

  • I would imagine the cases will ramp up and hopefully the mortality rate decreases toe where we can find some kind of, um, belief that this isn't as bad as we thought and the panic would be over.

  • But we still have a lot of volatility up 3% is still volatile time, so I would think that someone, if they're not truly knowledgeable of the markets.

  • It's a scary time to invest, whether it's up or down traders here making the point that central banks could help to stabilize the situation here.

  • But this isn't a financial crisis.

  • Money isn't the cure here.

  • It's a vaccine that will be the cure.

  • That is why Donald Trump is using a scheduled meeting with the drug companies today to push them to speed up the delivery of a vaccine.

  • But we know still that that is a good year to a year and 1/2 away.

  • We know that he is desperate for the economy to be buoyed again.

  • He is very much penned the peg, the future of a successful reelection campaign on a strong economy.

  • So he will no doubt be happy to see these strings here behind me turn green.

  • But the traders don't forget a cautioning, but it will take several days off consistent, calm, consistent green screens to be able to declare that this panic for now is over.

  • Thanks, Evelyn.

  • Well, joining me now from Paris is long Spoon, chief economist at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Theory CD that has been making these predictions.

  • Could you just tell us.

  • What's the basis off them?

  • What are you assuming the scale off an outbreak would be in order to cause Ahh Harding of global growth?

  • And where would that Harding come from?

  • You know what would be hit?

  • So I don't know.

  • There's a lot of uncertainty about this health episode on how the epidemic is being translated through countries.

  • So we have a very scenario, which is a base case scenario which is based on the situation as it is roughly today.

  • So most of the opinion it contained in China and some clusters everywhere on with this scenario we actually project growth.

  • Global goes to be about 2.4% this year.

  • Now, given the uncertainty that's prevailing about how the virus is spreading, we have also drawn a downside scenario where the epidemic would be roughly similar.

  • Ah, I should say the measures to contain the epidemic would be roughly similar to China, but in North America, in Europe and in the rest of the northern mates in spare so Asia Pacific.

  • And in that case we have GDP growth, which is have to 1.5%.

  • And we have these two scenarios because There's a lot of uncertainty and we're trying to provide range off what's possible and then the police see that would address this wrench off.

  • Possible downturn Eso Which of the industry's or sex is that would be hit by a large scale corona virus pandemic.

  • So their sectors which are hit our first to reason and business, travel and students to reason this well, then you have everything which has a production chain that deeply integrated with China.

  • So you can think about your tumor buying sector.

  • And there's abusive the computer and electronic equip admin sector.

  • For example, the U.

  • S produces about 20% of the computer and electronic equipment and for that 24% off its input are coming from China on there's also the pharmaceutical sector and so, in order to get to 1.5% global growth, I know we're concentrating on the downside here, but presumably some countries would be in recession.

  • In that scenario, which countries do you think would you be looking at with shrinking economies?

  • So if we were to reach the downside scenario, we would see effectively a cut in our projection for regions like Europe.

  • Ah, old Japan and in North North America would be closer to zero.

  • I would sum be negative.

  • Yeah, and you're open in Japan, we would probably have negative number.

  • That's true.

  • But again, this is, you know, arrange with the downsides and I One thing that we haven't talked about is this is not the worst case scenario, because in our downsides, and I we don't we don't include a outbreak in the South and Ace misfire, right?

  • So it could be much worse.

  • Actually, you could be looking at global shrinkage if if it if it's spread all around the world.

  • I mean, for Britain's point of view, you know, we are also in a post Brexit scenario entering trade talks is this, uh, this puts us in a strong position to be able to plow our own course or a weak position.

  • And so they're a couple of things.

  • I think there was some relieve after Brexit was agreed last year, so we would have seen a slightly higher first quarter this year choir to the coronavirus episode at the same time.

  • You know, when the word is the type of containment measure that we have Ah, constraining trade, obviously, because you've got let's production supply chain disrupted on trade growth last year with negative on in both our scenario, the base case and the downside scenario trade both.

  • He's also negative.

  • And Britain, as you know very well, is a very open economy.

  • So it will be affected by this down to our entrance.

  • So, do you think Britain would be worse often the rest of Europe?

  • I'm not saying that.

  • I'm saying you know what?

  • We projected our base case scenario for the UK so 0.8% GDP growth.

  • In the downside scenario, when we have you a plunging by about 1.2 and below our base nine then the UK would also get close to zero.

  • Lawrence Putin, thank you very much indeed.

while the country worst affected by the Corona virus in Europe is Italy, where infections have jumped by 50% in 24 hours and 52 people have died.

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