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  • with Primary Night in America here on ABC News Live with some breaking news ABC News can now project Joe Biden will win the Missouri Democratic primary here.

  • This is a huge win for Joe Biden.

  • Hillary Clinton won this state four years ago, but just barely.

  • This was a state that both candidates him and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders were competing in up until the end.

  • And right there, Joe Biden with a big win in Missouri.

  • We could also project tonight that Joe Biden has one in the state of Mississippi.

  • This was unexpected win.

  • Not a huge surprise here, but nonetheless, between those states, we have more than 100 delegates tonight.

  • Joe Budden winning in both those states.

  • And we're also watching Michigan the big prize tonight.

  • Too close to call right now.

  • Not enough the vote in right there.

  • But you can see these.

  • They're only separated by about 5000 votes right now.

  • Of course, Bernie Sanders one here Four years ago, this was his big upset.

  • He's hoping for a win tonight.

  • Polls show Joe Biden it could be a night for him, but again, still so early tonight.

  • And we're also getting voter data coming in from exit polls.

  • Lindsay Davis, You want to talk about Mississippi tonight?

  • Sure.

  • You know, I'm reminded of the South Carolina representative James Clyburn a few weeks ago when he endorsed Joe Biden.

  • He said, I know Joe, we know Joe, but Joe knows us, and that is certainly a message that seems to have resonated with black people across the country.

  • I mean, if you look at Mississippi, this is his biggest win yet with black voters.

  • This is bigger than what we saw in Alabama, Virginia, South Carolina.

  • He is one with 86% of the black vote in Mississippi, and we're talking.

  • About 64% of Democratic voters there in Mississippi are black, and then take a look at this.

  • This was also interesting coming out of Mississippi.

  • When they were asked if they wanted a return to Obama policies for the next president, 61% said yes, so it makes sense.

  • Then 61% of them 90% of that 61% then voted for Joe Biden, but again just overwhelming support.

  • 86% of black boots and it shows that black voters are staying with Joe Biden.

  • They're happy with him.

  • They're happy with what he's selling so far.

  • And Joe is building a coalition of the entire South, and I know we're just getting started tonight, but in a week we have Florida, which is attached to all these other states, and we have Louisiana down the road.

  • But this is all a very good sign for Joe Biden, as we head into the future of this campaign is certainly a good son.

  • And people are thinking many people are thinking this is gonna be 1/3 Obama term, right?

  • And that's what they're basically signing up for and saying, Yes we want.

  • And when you look at these states going forward, Sanders, they're not necessarily states that are either very supportive of him or very delegate rich.

  • All right, Lindsay, with that, we want to go over to Nate Silver from our partners at FiveThirtyEight.

  • Nate.

  • So So we're calling Mississippi.

  • We're calling Missouri.

  • We're projecting those were wins for Joe Biden.

  • What does this tell you so far?

  • Not very much, because these are states where you would expect Joe Biden to do will probably eventually win every single state in the South.

  • I'm starting much Michigan, their arm or votes coming in than you would think.

  • Biden's up about 13 points in our count.

  • Of course, Michigan is a lot of regional variation, But look, the thing about this, let's say Bernie Sanders is a miraculous comeback in Michigan, despite the early returns in the polls.

  • If he wins Michigan by a point and biting winds, Mississippi by 50 and Missouri by 20 and he's looking at one that probably more delegates on the evening.

  • So this is partly about the moral victory now for Bernie, with with Missouri Mississippi being called early enough where we're gonna probably assume a fairly big biting delegate, they gain there.

  • Talk to me about the path for people who've been watching the race, but they haven't been following it as closely as we have.

  • Why does it get so hard for Bernie Sanders after Michigan if he doesn't win there?

  • Because the next set of states are mostly pretty bad for for For Bernie, right?

  • You have Florida, where you have a lot of old people.

  • Old people do not like Bernie Sanders.

  • Very much 200 something delegates and buying is gonna win a huge majority of delegates.

  • There you have Georgia, which resembles South Carolina the week after next, which is gonna go very strongly in all probability for Joe Biden.

  • So Bernie can't break even in states like Michigan.

  • He has to win Michigan by 10 points or something has to in Washington by 15 points.

  • Remember in 2016 all those Western states for caucuses, winning by 30 or 40 points, getting huge numbers of delegates keeping comparative.

  • So we see Washington and even Idaho be close, then that's that's on track with a with a biting majority of burning majority.

  • Hi, everyone.

  • George Stephanopoulos here.

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with Primary Night in America here on ABC News Live with some breaking news ABC News can now project Joe Biden will win the Missouri Democratic primary here.

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