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  • So, how shall I begin?

  • This is the blurb for the course,

  • the blurb that's been in the Yale catalog for a long time.

  • This is a course on finance.

  • It has the word, "markets," in the name,

  • which suggest that it's about trading,

  • but I think it's a broad course in finance.

  • So the blurb says,

  • "Financial institutions are a pillar of civilized society,

  • directing resources across space and time to their best uses."

  • So this sounds broader.

  • I guess the course is broader.

  • I wrote the title of the course many years ago when I created this course,

  • and it's been a title for about...

  • To me, this course is about is how we get things done in our society.

  • That's how we incentivize people to do things.

  • Now, most of us are in our lives,

  • thinking about ourselvesthat's human natureand about

  • our particular place in the life cycle.

  • So, you may be a young person who's thinking about getting started in life.

  • But when you join a enterprise or an organization,

  • you have to do things for the organization and you have to take a different perspective.

  • You have to help manage a productive venture that involves many people.

  • So there aren't that many things that you can do as an individual that are useful,

  • you have to join an organization.

  • This is a fundamental principle of human life.

  • So this is a course about understanding how the institutions

  • work and how we can predict what will happen.

  • And things are rapidly changing in the Information Age that we live in now,

  • so that's what this course is about.

  • I don't consider this a vocational course because I

  • think it should be of interest to anybody who is interested in how things work.

  • On the other hand, this course comes across as more vocational than most Yale courses.

  • And in some sense, I pride myself on that,

  • although I consider myself an intellectual.

  • But, this is a relevant course, all right?

  • It's not about how to make money.

  • You might say it is, I suppose.

  • But, it's about making things work.

  • These are the topics in this course.

  • So, risk Insurance, diversification,

  • history of finance, innovation,

  • efficient markets, behavioral finance.

  • Actually, behavioral finance is a little bit more prominent than you

  • might think from its appearance as number seven on this list.

  • Behavioral finance is the application of psychology,

  • sociology, other social sciences to understanding financial events.

  • It's a revolution in finance that I have watched over the whole course of it because

  • I have organized conferences on behavioral finance starting in 1991,

  • working with Richard Thaler at University of Chicago.

  • We've been doing that for 25 years,

  • but we just bequeathed that there are regular seminars of professors too,

  • Nick Barberis here at the Yale School of Management.

  • But we'll talk about it because I kind of believe in a unity of knowledge.

  • So this course will differ from

  • many other finance courses in that I want to

  • talk about real people and how things really work.

  • Then we'll talk about debt, the stock market,

  • the real estate market, regulation.

  • Oh by the way, regulation is an interest of mine too,

  • more so than most people who teach

  • finance because I think that the markets need to be regulated.

  • Human beings have a tendency to be manipulative and tricky,

  • and finance is used to trick people.

  • That's why we need regulators.

  • So you shouldn't assume that I want to send you off to Wall Street.

  • I think that you might go to be a member of the right like

  • the Securities and Exchange Commission or something else as a job and be proud of it.

  • OK? It's important.

  • And then banking, futuresfutures market has a special meaning in finance,

  • monetary policy, endowment management,

  • investment banking, option, money managers, exchanges, public finance,

  • nonprofits, and finally, that last lecture will be on the purpose of all this.

  • So that's this course.

  • So, I wanted also to just reflect on the relative.

  • I said this course looks more vocational in a way,

  • but I don't consider this vocational school.

  • This is, I like to say, useful.

  • One thought, perspective I wanted to give you was how important is finance anyway.

  • Unless you go into academia,

  • you will get a job somewhere in the real world.

  • So where are the jobs?

  • Well, I looked up on

  • the Bureau of Labor Statisticsit was a publication of the U.S. government.

  • On their website, they have data on

  • just how many people are in different professions in the United States;

  • and they also have a forecast.

  • So what I'm showingthe latest data is for the year 2014,

  • and it has the number of people in thousands.

  • And then also on there we have the projection for 2024.

  • So, you note that at the top I've got financethese are specific finance profession,

  • not all finance professions.

  • Financial analysts, financial managers,

  • personal financial advisors, they all have hundreds of thousands of people.

  • But I wanted you to note,

  • what about the other majors that you have here?

  • I'm not diminishing them.

  • But economics, economists, not so many.

  • But you might also be interested in astronomy – I actually love astronomy.

  • When I was a kid, I thought I'd be an astronomer.

  • But I had to reach realitythere's lots of

  • exciting fields where there are almost no jobs.

  • How many astronomers are there,

  • sociologists, political scientist, or mathematicians?

  • This is not to diminish your majoring in this field,

  • but you just don't expect to get a job in those fields.

  • I also put down at the bottom massage therapist, OK?

  • I didn't know that was a profession,

  • but there is projected to be about 200,000 massage

  • therapists in the United States in 2024.

  • So we don't have a massage therapy major here,

  • but that's a sign of how the market makes things important.

  • Now run up, Farahar might be right about this.

  • There's something wrong with having so many finance peoplemaybe

  • we need more massage therapists than finance people.

  • But there's a sense of reality that I think

  • that part of the reason that there's so many of

  • them is that they deal with important issues that can't be quickly,

  • they can't be more easily solved;

  • we need all these people.

  • That's why I take some pride in this course in being connected to the real world.

  • There are real job opportunities in finance.

  • And there also I think in the new Industrial Revolution period, they will still be.

  • I think this is one of the fields that is not going to be totally replaced by a computer.

  • The problem with finance is a high inequality in this field.

  • Some people make a lot of money,

  • but on the other hand, you have to give it away.

  • This is another thing about this course.

  • If you make a lot of money in finance, it's a game,

  • you enjoyed it, now give most of it awaythat's going to be a theme.

So, how shall I begin?

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