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  • Uber is going public at a valuation of over $75 billion dollars.

  • The world's biggest ride-hailing business is hitting the market just weeks after smaller rival Lyft.

  • When you think about the excitement surrounding Lyft, multiply that for Uber.

  • This is more global.

  • It's diversified.

  • So there's certainly a lot of excitement from public market investors.

  • Uber is far from making money.

  • It reported an operating loss of $3 billion dollars in 2018, after losing more than $4 billion in the prior year.

  • During its roadshow, Uber compared itself to Amazon as it explained its money-losing business to investors.

  • Why Amazon?

  • Because the now wildly successful company didn't make a profit for several years after it went public in 1997.

  • But Uber isn't Amazon.

  • For one, Amazon had little competition in the e-commerce space when it IPO 'd.

  • It also had a valuation of $438 million, compared to Uber's $75 billion.

  • Still, some investors are far from being scared away from Uber's red ink.

  • In the U.S. alone, Americans spend about $1.2 trillion dollars on personal transportation, and Uber really is at the forefront of this move from a personal car ownership model to more of transportation as a service.

  • And I think investors really do believe that humans will one day forgo owning their physical cars in favor of an on-demand service, like, like Uber or Lyft.

  • Uber was founded as UberCab in 2009 by Garrick Camp and Travis Kalanick.

  • The app launched in San Francisco in July 2010.

  • It allowed users to hail, via an app, black town cars but was still more expensive than taking a taxi.

  • It then dropped cab from its name and launched in New York City and Paris.

  • But in 2012, another ride-hailing company entered the market.

  • You had Lyft come into the picture and they came around and said you know we're going to give Uber some competition on the lower priced end of things.

  • And from that came UberX, which is now sort of Uber as we know it, the cheap alternative to hailing a taxi.

  • Uber now operates in 63 countries, 700 cities and has completed over five billion rides.

  • There are also more than three million Uber drivers worldwide.

  • Taxis accounted for 99 % of ride-sharing trips in the U.S. in 2012.

  • And now, with the rise of Lyft and Uber, taxis represent just 12.5%.

  • So why is Uber losing so much money?

  • First, they have to pay drivers.

  • And now drivers are asking for more.

  • Drivers united will never be defeated.

  • Increased competition with Lyft has created tensions with drivers who complain of low pay rates and unfair compensation.

  • It's expensive to navigate the regulatory environment in each city and to ensure the business.

  • Insurance costs for Uber ride-sharing products increased $1.3 billion from 2016 to 2017.

  • Credit card processing fees and driver incentives also drain the company of money.

  • On the rider side, they also have to make it appealing.

  • Entice the rider to come to Uber and use its platform instead of going to Lyft.

  • So in this way, Uber and Lyft both spend millions and millions of dollars to attract and keep people on their platforms.

  • Uber's growth to number one has been riddled with controversy.

  • In 2017, after multiple scandals, Uber founder Travis Kalanick stepped down.

  • Uber CEO Travis Kalanick is out, after shareholders staged a revolt.

  • Meanwhile, Lyft gained a reputation for being the friendlier of the two.

  • Uber has certainly had a more troubled history than Lyft.

  • Lyft has had a better reputation with drivers, for instance they introduced tipping from the very beginning, Uber only introduced tipping a few years ago.

  • At IPO, Lyft was valued at just over $20 billion dollars but its stock has had a rocky start.

  • The Lyft IPO has been a bit challenging. And the revenue multiple that people are using to value Lyft, people, are, will sort of look to apply that to Uber, as, as a way to get a sense for valuation.

  • Also, some of the trends that were outlined in Uber's S-1 filing can raise some questions.

  • Specifically, the fact that you've seen a pretty sharp slowdown in revenue growth at Uber over the last few quarters and significant declines in its take rate.

  • Uber's total revenue for 2018 was $11.3 billion dollars, with ride-sharing bringing in over 80%.

  • Uber Eats is the second biggest source of revenue for the company at $1.4 billion.

  • But Uber has put a lot of focus on diversifying into bike sharing, scooters, Uber Freight, air taxis and even its own autonomous driving technology.

  • All of which require a lot of investment and has slowed growth towards profitability.

  • If you believe that this industry and Uber and Lyft are going to be profitable, you believe that at some point in the future self-driving cars are going to help them get there.

  • Uber's Advanced Technologies Group or ATG, which works on self-driving vehicles, recently announced a $1 billion dollar investment from SoftBank, Denso and Toyota.

  • A sign investors may see it's serious about long-term growth.

  • ATG took a hiatus after one of Uber's self-driving cars killed a woman in Arizona last year.

  • Uber's rapid growth in many directions has meant a lot of spending.

  • However, some analysts predict Uber will become profitable eventually.

  • In terms of when Uber could achieve profitability, we're still several, several years away.

  • I'd say four or five years away at least.

  • Uber is part of a big wave of Silicon Valley companies rumored to go public in 2019.

  • So will it be a smart investment?

  • Uber really is the number one player in virtually all of the markets where operates a ride-sharing business and an online food delivery business.

  • And over time that number one kind of leadership position in those respective markets should translate into a more resilient business, a more profitable business.

  • I think the important thing for investors to know is that this is a bet on a company that aims to be the so-called Amazon of transportation.

  • They have humungous aspirations.

  • They don't want to focus on just the U.S. market.

  • They want to be global.

  • They want to be diversified.

  • They're looking at a $5.7 trillion dollar addressable market.

  • So when you look at Uber, you're really betting on the future of transportation not just ride-sharing.

Uber is going public at a valuation of over $75 billion dollars.

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