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  • Donald Trump certainly thinks so, and whether he's right

  • is probably the most important economic question of the moment.

  • I'm Noah Feldman. This is The Method,

  • where I break down hard questions into the ideas and values behind them.

  • Start with the president's view.

  • TRUMP: We have a $500 billion trade deficit with China.

  • TRUMP: It's the greatest theft in the history of the world.

  • A trade deficit simply measures how much stuff our country is buying, from other countries,

  • and how much stuff they're buying from us.

  • That's the number that a trade deficit gives you,

  • And according to the president, it's a powerful symbol

  • indicating that the United States when we're in deficit

  • isn't making enough stuff.

  • If we don't make enough stuff, runs the argument,

  • we're going to lose manufacturing jobs.

  • Manufacturing jobs are what make a country great,

  • by giving us a good and powerful middle class.

  • And what's morethe United States should use all of the power at its disposal to try to force other countries

  • into reducing their trade deficits with us,

  • because that is supposed to create more jobs.

  • On the other hand, most economists think that a trade deficit is almost completely unimportant,

  • because in the end, if we're buying stuff from other countries,

  • we're buying that with money that we have, that we've earned.

  • By other countries investing in us ,

  • and by not focusing on the purchase of stuff,

  • our economy is freed up to do a lot of other things

  • to build the internet, to build technology, to deliver services

  • all the kinds of things that our modern economy does that go way beyond stuff.

  • And after all, the problem with stuff is

  • someone else can almost always make it more cheaply.

  • According to this view it's a big mistake to focus symbolically on how much stuff you make.

  • It's guaranteed to push your economy backwards rather than pushing it forwards.

  • So do you think that trade deficits are a very useful symbol of making stuff,

  • and that if you don't make stuff your country declines?

  • Or do you think that ultimately, economics is about more than stuff,

  • but actually about goods, services and investment.

  • Make your choice, and you'll know who you are.

  • What do you think? Let us know in the comments,

  • and by all means tell us if you have ideas or questions for future episodes.

  • Thanks for watching.

Donald Trump certainly thinks so, and whether he's right

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