Name: 【TED】David Lee: Why jobs of the future won't feel like work (Why jobs of the future won't feel like work | David Lee)
Uploaded: 2017-11-03T16:05:15.000Z
Duration: 10 min 7 s
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So there's a lot of valid concern these days

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that we've put ourselves on the path to a jobless future.

And I think the example of a self-driving car

So these are going to be fantastic for all kinds of different reasons.

But did you know that "driver" is actually the most common job

What's going to happen to these jobs when we're no longer driving our cars

Well, a recent study from Forrester Research

goes so far to predict that 25 million jobs

that's three times as many jobs lost in the aftermath of the financial crisis.

And it's not just blue-collar jobs that are at risk.

On Wall Street and across Silicon Valley, we are seeing tremendous gains

in the quality of analysis and decision-making

So even the smartest, highest-paid people will be affected by this change.

What's clear is that no matter what your job is,

is going to be done by a robot or software in the next few years.

And that's exactly why people like Mark Zuckerberg and Bill Gates

are talking about the need for government-funded minimum income levels.

But if our politicians can't agree on things like health care

I just don't see a path where they'll find consensus

on something as big and as expensive as universal basic life income.

Instead, I think the response needs to be led by us in industry.

We have to recognize the change that's ahead of us

and start to design the new kinds of jobs

that will still be relevant in the age of robotics.

The good news is that we have faced down and recovered

the percent of American workers based on farms fell by 90 percent,

the percent of Americans working in factories

The challenge we face this time, however, is one of time.

We had a hundred years to move from farms to factories,

and then 60 years to fully build out a service economy.

suggests that we may only have 10 or 15 years to adjust,

that means by the time today's elementary-school students

we could be living in a world that's robotic,

largely unemployed and stuck in kind of un-great depression.

and part of my job is to shape how large companies apply new technologies.

are even specifically designed to replace human workers.

But I believe that if we start taking steps right now

we can not only create environments where people love coming to work

but also generate the innovation that we need

to replace the millions of jobs that will be lost to technology.

I believe that the key to preventing our jobless future

and to create a new generation of human-centered jobs

that allow us to unlock the hidden talents and passions

But first, I think it's important to recognize

that we brought this problem on ourselves.

And it's not just because, you know, we are the one building the robots.

But even though most jobs left the factory decades ago,

We still define jobs around procedural tasks

and then pay people for the number of hours that they perform these tasks.

like cashier, loan processor or taxi driver

and then asked people to form entire careers

These choices have left us with actually two dangerous side effects.

The first is that these narrowly defined jobs

will be the first to be displaced by robots,

because single-task robots are just the easiest kinds to build.

so that millions of workers around the world

Let's take the example of a call center agent.

Over the last few decades, we brag about lower operating costs

because we've taken most of the need for brainpower

out of the person and put it into the system.

For most of their day, they click on screens,

And unfortunately, over the next few years,

they, along with people like clerks and bookkeepers,

will see the vast majority of their work disappear.

To counteract this, we have to start creating new jobs

that are less centered on the tasks that a person does

and more focused on the skills that a person brings to work.

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【TED】David Lee: Why jobs of the future won't feel like work (Why jobs of the future won't feel like work | David Lee)

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