I told you that the statistics of the world

have not been made properly available.

Because of that, we still have the old mindset

of developing in industrialized countries, which is wrong.

And that animated graphics can make a difference.

Things are changing

and today, on the United Nations Statistic Division Home Page,

it says, by first of May, full access to the databases.

(Applause)

And if I could share the image with you on the screen.

So three things have happened.

U.N. opened their statistic databases,

and we have a new version of the software

up working as a beta on the net,

so you don't have to download it any longer.

And let me repeat what you saw last year.

The bubbles are the countries.

Here you have the fertility rate -- the number of children per woman --

and there you have the length of life in years.

This is 1950 -- those were the industrialized countries,

those were developing countries.

At that time there was a "we" and "them."

There was a huge difference in the world.

But then it changed, and it went on quite well.

And this is what happens.

You can see how China is the red, big bubble.

The blue there is India.

And they go over all this -- I'm going to try to be

a little more serious this year in showing you

how things really changed.

And it's Africa that stands out as the problem down here, doesn't it?

Large families still, and the HIV epidemic

brought down the countries like this.

This is more or less what we saw last year,

and this is how it will go on into the future.

And I will talk on, is this possible?

Because you see now, I presented statistics that don't exist.

Because this is where we are.

Will it be possible that this will happen?

I cover my lifetime here, you know?

I expect to live 100 years.

And this is where we are today.

Now could we look here instead at the economic situation in the world?

And I would like to show that against child survival.

We'll swap the axis.

Here you have child mortality -- that is, survival --

four kids dying there, 200 dying there.

And this is GDP per capita on this axis.

And this was 2007.

And if I go back in time, I've added some historical statistics --

here we go, here we go, here we go -- not so much statistics 100 years ago.

Some countries still had statistics.

We are looking down in the archive,

and when we are down into 1820,

there is only Austria and Sweden that can produce numbers.

(Laughter)

But they were down here. They had 1,000 dollars per person per year.

And they lost one-fifth of their kids before their first birthday.

So this is what happens in the world, if we play the entire world.

How they got slowly richer and richer,

and they add statistics.

Isn't it beautiful when they get statistics?

You see the importance of that?

And here, children don't live longer.

The last century, 1870, was bad for the kids in Europe,

because most of this statistics is Europe.

It was only by the turn of the century

that more than 90 percent of the children survived their first year.

This is India coming up, with the first data from India.

And this is the United States moving away here, earning more money.

And we will soon see China coming up in the very far end corner here.

And it moves up with Mao Tse-Tung getting health,

not getting so rich.

There he died, then Deng Xiaoping brings money.

It moves this way over here.

And the bubbles keep moving up there,

and this is what the world looks like today.

(Applause)

Let us have a look at the United States.

We have a function here -- I can tell the world, "Stay where you are."

And I take the United States -- we still want to see the background --

I put them up like this, and now we go backwards.

And we can see that the United States

goes to the right of the mainstream.

They are on the money side all the time.

And down in 1915, the United States was a neighbor of India --

present, contemporary India.

And that means United States was richer,

but lost more kids than India is doing today, proportionally.

And look here -- compare to the Philippines of today.

The Philippines of today has almost the same economy

as the United States during the First World War.

But we have to bring United States forward quite a while

to find the same health of the United States

as we have in the Philippines.

About 1957 here, the health of the United States

is the same as the Philippines.

And this is the drama of this world which many call globalized,

is that Asia, Arabic countries, Latin America,

are much more ahead in being healthy, educated,

having human resources than they are economically.

There's a discrepancy in what's happening today

in the emerging economies.

There now, social benefits, social progress,

are going ahead of economical progress.

And 1957 -- the United States had the same economy as Chile has today.

And how long do we have to bring United States

to get the same health as Chile has today?

I think we have to go, there -- we have 2001, or 2002 --

the United States has the same health as Chile.

Chile's catching up!

Within some years Chile may have better child survival

than the United States.

This is really a change, that you have this lag

of more or less 30, 40 years' difference on the health.

And behind the health is the educational level.

And there's a lot of infrastructure things,

and general human resources are there.

Now we can take away this --

and I would like to show you the rate of speed,

the rate of change, how fast they have gone.

And we go back to 1920, and I want to look at Japan.

And I want to look at Sweden and the United States.

And I'm going to stage a race here

between this sort of yellowish Ford here

and the red Toyota down there,

and the brownish Volvo.

(Laughter)

And here we go. Here we go.

The Toyota has a very bad start down here, you can see,

and the United States Ford is going off-road there.

And the Volvo is doing quite fine.

This is the war. The Toyota got off track, and now

the Toyota is coming on the healthier side of Sweden --

can you see that?

And they are taking over Sweden,

and they are now healthier than Sweden.

That's the part where I sold the Volvo and bought the Toyota.

(Laughter)

And now we can see that the rate of change was enormous in Japan.

They really caught up.

And this changes gradually.

We have to look over generations to understand it.

And let me show you my own sort of family history --

we made these graphs here.

And this is the same thing, money down there, and health, you know?

And this is my family.

This is Sweden, 1830, when my great-great-grandma was born.

Sweden was like Sierra Leone today.

And this is when great-grandma was born, 1863.

And Sweden was like Mozambique.

And this is when my grandma was born, 1891.

She took care of me as a child,

so I'm not talking about statistic now --

now it's oral history in my family.

That's when I believe statistics,

when it's grandma-verified statistics.

(Laughter)

I think it's the best way of verifying historical statistics.

Sweden was like Ghana.

It's interesting to see the enormous diversity

within sub-Saharan Africa.

I told you last year, I'll tell you again,

my mother was born in Egypt, and I -- who am I?

I'm the Mexican in the family.

And my daughter, she was born in Chile,

and the grand-daughter was born in Singapore,

now the healthiest country on this Earth.

It bypassed Sweden about two to three years ago,

with better child survival.

But they're very small, you know?

They're so close to the hospital we can never

beat them out in these forests.

(Laughter)

But homage to Singapore.

Singapore is the best one.

Now this looks also like a very good story.

But it's not really that easy, that it's all a good story.

Because I have to show you one of the other facilities.

We can also make the color here represent the variable --

and what am I choosing here?

Carbon-dioxide emission, metric ton per capita.

This is 1962, and United States was emitting 16 tons per person.

And China was emitting 0.6,

and India was emitting 0.32 tons per capita.

And what happens when we moved on?

Well, you see the nice story of getting richer

and getting healthier --

everyone did it at the cost of emission of carbon dioxide.

There is no one who has done it so far.

And we don't have all the updated data

any longer, because this is really hot data today.

And there we are, 2001.

And in the discussion I attended with global leaders, you know,

many say now the problem is that the emerging economies,

they are getting out too much carbon dioxide.

The Minister of the Environment of India said,

"Well, you were the one who caused the problem."

The OECD countries -- the high-income countries --

they were the ones who caused the climate change.

"But we forgive you, because you didn't know it.

But from now on, we count per capita.

From now on we count per capita.

And everyone is responsible for the per capita emission."

This really shows you, we have not seen good economic

and health progress anywhere in the world

without destroying the climate.

And this is really what has to be changed.

I've been criticized for showing you a too positive image of the world,

but I don't think it's like this.

The world is quite a messy place.

This we can call Dollar Street.

Everyone lives on this street here.

What they earn here -- what number they live on --

is how much they earn per day.

This family earns about one dollar per day.

We drive up the street here,

we find a family here which earns about two to three dollars a day.

And we drive away here -- we find the first garden in the street,

and they earn 10 to 50 dollars a day.

And how do they live?

If we look at the bed here, we can see

that they sleep on a rug on the floor.

This is what poverty line is --

80 percent of the family income is just to cover the energy needs,

the food for the day.

This is two to five dollars. You have a bed.

And here it's a much nicer bedroom, you can see.

I lectured on this for Ikea, and they wanted to see

the sofa immediately here.

(Laughter)

And this is the sofa, how it will emerge from there.

And the interesting thing, when you go around here in the photo panorama,

you see the family still sitting on the floor there.

Although there is a sofa,

if you watch in the kitchen, you can see that

the great difference for women does not come between one to 10 dollars.

It comes beyond here, when you really can get

good working conditions in the family.

And if you really want to see the difference,

you look at the toilet over here.

This can change. This can change.

These are all pictures and images from Africa,

and it can become much better.

We can get out of poverty.

My own research has not been in IT or anything like this.

I spent 20 years in interviews with African farmers

who were on the verge of famine.

And this is the result of the farmers-needs research.

The nice thing here is that you can't see

who are the researchers in this picture.

That's when research functions in poor societies --