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  • >> Bob Simon: Good Afternoon and welcome

  • to the White House.

  • Welcome, too, to those who are viewing our event today

  • on the web via livestream.

  • >> Male Speaker: Is that mic on?

  • (inaudible)

  • >> Bob Simon: Yes, it is.

  • >> Male Speaker: Okay (inaudible).

  • >> Bob Simon: Yes, it's on.

  • >> Male Speaker: Okay.

  • >> Bob Simon: We're glad that all of you are able

  • to share in the event today.

  • Today we're pleased to discuss a major new

  • scientific assessment that has been completed on the

  • impacts of climate change on human

  • health in the United States.

  • This report has been three years in the making and

  • its scientific assessment of what is known about the

  • impacts of climate change on human health and the degree

  • of confidence that one can have in that knowledge is a

  • significant contribution to the science on this subject.

  • Today's introduction and discussion of this new

  • report will begin with a conversation between

  • Dr. John Holdren and EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy.

  • Dr. John P. Holdren is the President Obama's

  • Science and Technology Advisor and the

  • Senate-confirmed director of the White House

  • Office of Science and Technology Policy.

  • In this capacity he's responsible for the

  • administration's National Science and Technology

  • Council which oversees the U.S. Global Change Research

  • Program which produced today's report.

  • His involvement today is only appropriate as he is a

  • leading climate expert.

  • Prior to being appointed as the President's science

  • advisor, Dr. Holdren spent most of his career as a

  • faculty member at the University of California,

  • Berkeley and Harvard, leading into disciplinary

  • programs focused on energy and technology and policy,

  • environmental change, nuclear arms control and

  • non-proliferation, and science and

  • technology policy.

  • Gina McCarthy is administrator of the U.S.

  • Environmental Protection Agency,

  • appointed by President Obama in 2009 as the assistant

  • administrator for EPA's Office of Air and Radiation.

  • She has been a leading advocate for common sense

  • strategies to protect public health and environment.

  • Previously Administrator McCarthy served as

  • commissioner of the Connecticut Department of

  • Environmental Protection.

  • During her career which spans over 30 years she has

  • worked at both the state and local level on critical

  • environmental issues and has helped to coordinate

  • policies on economic growth, energy, transportation,

  • and the environment.

  • Please join me in welcoming them both to the stage to

  • start our discussion this afternoon.

  • (applause)

  • >> John Holdren: Well, thank you, Bob,

  • and thanks to all of you for being here today.

  • It's a pleasure to be up here with my friend and

  • colleague Gina McCarthy to talk about the new

  • scientific assessment of climate change and its

  • impacts on human health in the United States.

  • If not a whole of government effort,

  • this was certainly a much of government effort with eight

  • departments and agencies involved,

  • over 100 scientists.

  • The leadership of the study came from EPA, from HHS,

  • from NOAA, all under the auspices,

  • as Bob Simon has already mentioned, of the U.S.

  • Global Change Research Program and it really

  • demonstrates I think the capacity of the

  • U.S. Global Change Research Program not only to fund

  • research on aspects of global environmental change,

  • but to convene experts from across the government

  • to combine their knowledge, to assess critically what

  • is out there in the literature, and then to

  • build on that with new analyses, new assessments,

  • as this particular study has done.

  • Before we get into the details of this new

  • assessment and hear from some of the authors and hear

  • some more from Administrator McCarthy about EPA's

  • perspective on this work, I want to start by providing

  • just a little bit of context in terms of what we actually

  • know about climate change.

  • Interestingly enough, understanding that

  • increasing the atmospheric concentration of carbon

  • dioxide would influence the Earth's climate goes back

  • to the middle of the 1800s.

  • Some people imagine that this is a new idea;

  • it is not a new idea; it was recognized by farseeing

  • scientists in the middle 1800s and the era in which

  • the scientific community began to take on board

  • that this was not just a theoretical problem,

  • but a real problem in the real world,

  • really began in the late '50s, early 1960s.

  • So we've got basically 50 years of increasingly

  • intense study of the climate change issue and those five

  • decades and more of intensive observation,

  • monitoring, analysis, have led to the establishment of

  • I would say five crucial facts that are indeed today

  • established beyond reasonable doubt.

  • The first of those is that the Earth's climate is

  • changing at a pace and in a pattern that is not

  • explainable by our well-understood,

  • natural influences on climate.

  • Climate has been changing of course for millennia under a

  • variety of natural influences.

  • Those are reasonably well-understood;

  • they do not explain what we have been seeing

  • in recent decades.

  • A second fact is that what does indeed explain what we

  • have been seeing is the buildup of atmospheric

  • carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases and

  • particles resulting from human activities,

  • primarily the combustion of fossil fuels and

  • land use change.

  • The third fact established beyond reasonable doubt is

  • that climate change is already causing harm to

  • people, to economies, and to ecosystems in many parts of

  • the world and we'll come back to that,

  • of course in the U.S.

  • context, in a minute.

  • The fourth fundamental fact is that that harm will

  • continue to grow for some time to come,

  • both because of the time lags and inertia built into

  • the Earth's climate system, but also the inertia in

  • civilization's energy system.

  • We are not able to transform civilization's

  • energy system overnight.

  • The fifth insight, and this is very important,

  • is that the amount of harm to be expected going forward

  • will be much smaller if society takes aggressive,

  • effective action to limit the amount of harm than if

  • we don't; big difference in the expected consequences

  • based on the action that we do or do not take.

  • The recent observed and measured changes in climate

  • around the world include a multi-decade increase in the

  • global average surface air temperature,

  • but they are not limited to that.

  • That's what most people talk about,

  • how many degrees warming have we seen,

  • how many will we see, but in fact the changes also

  • include increased temperatures in the ocean,

  • a decline in Arctic sea ice extent,

  • accelerated sea level rise, increased moisture in the

  • atmosphere accompanied by an increase in torrential

  • downpours and associated flooding,

  • increased numbers of extremely hot

  • days, and in some regions increases in drought,

  • wildfire, and unusually powerful storms.

  • The reality of those changes and the conclusion that

  • human influence on climate is the principal culprit

  • rest on an enormous number of measurements and

  • observations made by thousands of scientists at

  • tens of thousands of locations around the world,

  • recorded in an enormous number of peer-reviewed

  • publications and reviews of reviews of reviews of the

  • scientific validity of that body of work.

  • The key findings, the findings that I have just

  • summarized, have been endorsed by every major

  • National Academy of Sciences in the world,

  • including those of China, India, Russia, Brazil,

  • as well as that of the United States,

  • have been endorsed by nearly every U.S.

  • scientific professional society,

  • by the World Meteorological Organization,

  • by the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on

  • Climate Change, and by our own "Third National Climate

  • Assessment" which we released just two years ago.

  • Those changes have a broad range of impacts across many

  • sectors of American society in virtually every region of

  • the United States, as the "Third National Climate

  • Assessment" documented, but now in the new report we

  • have a fresh assessment of the impact of these changes

  • on an aspect of human well-being whose importance

  • everybody understands: that is human health.

  • The assessment that we are releasing today is based on

  • review and analysis of over 1, 800 peer-reviewed

  • publications, but also an overlay

  • of additional study, analysis,

  • modeling, and conclusions that in turn have been

  • reviewed -- peer-reviewed by the National Academy of

  • Sciences, among others.

  • So, Gina, let me turn to you as the head of the EPA and

  • ask you what kinds of impacts are we seeing from

  • climate change as recorded in this study that concern

  • you from a public health perspective?

  • >> Gina McCarthy: Well, John, thank you for

  • the introduction.

  • I was going to say happy National Public Health Week,

  • but it sounds kind of like I shouldn't do that, but --

  • (laughter)

  • -- it's not -- it's not unhappy

  • news, because for the first time we really -- this

  • document provides a really comprehensive scientific

  • foundation that will tell us what the damages,

  • what the concerns are with public health and climate in

  • a way that it can feed into policy folks,

  • feed into government entities, NGOs,

  • individuals who really want to know what the future is

  • going to look like, what we're already seeing in

  • terms of impacts, and what we might do to mitigate and

  • adapt to those impacts, but this is the first time

  • I think in history we've been able to really look at this

  • and show that it's not just about polar bears and

  • melting ice caps.

  • >> Male Speaker: Yeah.

  • >> Gina McCarthy: It's about our kids;

  • it's about families; it's about our future;

  • it's about what our core value is and what

  • we do to meet our moral responsibility to our kids

  • in that future.

  • So this is a really great document to sink

  • your teeth into.

  • While you won't be reading happy news,

  • if knowledge is power, we need it and that's what we

  • have here for the first time and, John, I want

  • to thank you for all of your leadership with the

  • team and also the folks at EPA, because

  • I can remember in 2013 when EPA was putting

  • out our "Climate Indicators" report,

  • the one indicator that was the weakest was

  • the one that I wanted to be the strongest,

  • which was the public health indicators and we're all

  • sitting there, scratching our heads,

  • saying "How come you can talk about precipitation,

  • intense storms, sea level rise" -- you know,

  • we could talk about a lot of those things,

  • but quantify none of the public health impacts

  • directly and so it's been a remarkable journey over the

  • past two years to actually get this science under our

  • belt in a way that even the National Academies have

  • reviewed and provided input on.

  • So it's a -- it's a -- it's a great thing and frankly it

  • is a wakeup call, because there are a number of

  • impacts that we are seeing here that we're already

  • feeling and a number of impacts so that you can

  • virtually see that every human being in every part of

  • the United States is impacted now by climate and

  • will get increasingly impacted if we do not take

  • action now to try to reduce those impacts.

  • So we're talking about everything from impacting

  • our food, our water, our air,

  • and our weather and if that's not enough,

  • it's probably impacting how happy you are every day and

  • what your mental health status is.

  • So if you take a look at this, we're seeing things,

  • John, that I think you know well,

  • which is you're seeing an actual increase in deaths

  • and illnesses resulting from increased challenges to meet

  • our ozone standard, because as the weather gets warmer

  • we see significant challenges in meeting

  • the health-based standards that we have set for

  • ourselves that is resulting in significant,

  • quantified impacts on public health that are

  • in this document.

  • You are seeing for the first time a lot of better

  • articulation of the challenge of wildfires

  • associated with this, which is actually fairly

  • frightening, to look at what are we going to do to manage

  • our forests better, recognizing that you're

  • going to see a lot of naturally-occurring,

  • significant damage as a result of wildfires and

  • all of the trauma that that causes.

  • You are looking at waterborne illnesses

  • and increases in waterborne illnesses.

  • You're looking at challenges that are related to more

  • intense floods and droughts.

  • So you're looking at whether or not we can deliver clean

  • drinking water and whether there is drinking water to

  • drink that's available.

  • We're seeing those challenges today;

  • it means in a changing climate they are going

  • to be more severe as we move along.

  • For the first time, John, I am seeing --

  • and this is -- we talked about this.

  • There's always something new to learn,

  • which is really kind of fun.

  • We're looking at food safety issues.

  • We're looking at foodborne illnesses potentially

  • becoming much more serious.

  • We're looking at the instability in food supplies

  • that can happen as a result of extreme weather events

  • and we're looking at the fact that increases in CO2

  • actually can rob proteins and significant minerals

  • that we're now getting in our -- in our food supply,

  • like wheat and rice, and if that is lower in its

  • nutritional value what does that mean overall?

  • So it documents these not only, in many cases,

  • in terms of our quantified results,

  • but for those where we cannot,

  • we can look at the changes that we see over time and

  • hopefully it will guide in our ability to take action

  • in the U.S., which we know under this President we are

  • doing, action that has spurred international action

  • as well, but it also challenges us to look at the

  • costs associated with inaction and what that means

  • for the future of our kids.

  • >> John Holdren: Great.

  • Well, Gina, you gave us quite a tour of the health

  • impacts of climate change.

  • I would mention just a couple of others: one is

  • allergens; longer, more intense allergy seasons with

  • particular effects on the very substantial number of

  • Americans and particularly young Americans who have

  • asthma aggravated by these allergens.

  • A second one worthy of further mention is

  • vector-borne diseases.

  • In the study, the principal focus on vector-borne

  • diseases was on tick-borne Lyme disease and

  • mosquito-borne West Nile virus,

  • simply because those have been extensively studied,

  • but the report points out that we can expect further

  • changes in the seasonality and the geographic range of

  • a number of vector-borne diseases

  • as climate change proceeds.

  • The last one that I would mention,

  • that is very striking I think in this report,

  • is heat-related illness and death.

  • The report projects that under middle of the road

  • emissions scenarios, we can see from thousands to tens

  • of thousands additional heat-related deaths in the

  • United States each summer and the numbers are really

  • very striking and it comes from the fact that modest

  • increases in average temperature are associated

  • with large increases at the tails of the distribution

  • and that means big increases in extreme heat events,

  • extremely hot days and heat waves,

  • which mean five or more extremely hot days in a row.

  • In some parts of the world, when you look more broadly

  • at this question, you see the likelihood that in the

  • hottest times of the year it will be simply

  • physiologically impossible to work outdoors;

  • that means agriculture; that means construction.

  • People who try to work outdoors will basically be

  • unable to control their body temperature and will die.

  • This is a really, really big deal and it's going to be a

  • big deal in the hottest parts of the United States

  • as well as in the Middle East, in South Asia,

  • and other places.

  • >> Gina McCarthy: John, I would also add that I think

  • this report does a really good job at looking at

  • vulnerable populations, not just by looking at those

  • populations, but looking at how each of these

  • health-related impacts will impact different populations

  • differently, but it shows that while everybody will be

  • impacted, you have some significant populations,

  • kids, pregnant women, the elderly, low-income,

  • some minorities, that really will be disproportionally

  • impacted by these health consequences and it really

  • sort of reminds ourselves I think that we have

  • significant job to do to figure out how we adapt to

  • a changing climate and what those adaptation strategies

  • might be, but also it is a real wakeup call for

  • innovating and investing in a low-carbon future today

  • and not waiting and I think, John,

  • you know that the President has called in

  • his Climate Action Plan not only for really good science,

  • which this represents, but really good responses to

  • that science and EPA's moving forward in a bunch

  • of different fronts, which we can get at

  • if anybody's interested.

  • >> John Holdren: Yeah, let's --

  • >> Gina McCarthy: I always like to talk about that.

  • (laughter)

  • >> John Holdren: Well, let's come back to that

  • in a minute.

  • I just -- I just want to amplify something you just

  • said, Gina, which is when the President released his

  • Climate Action Plan a couple of years ago now

  • and followed it up with the extraordinary leadership

  • that the United States showed,

  • moving into the Conference of the Parties -- the 21st

  • Conference of the Parties of the U.N.

  • Framework Convention on Climate Change in Paris this

  • last December and achieved this remarkable result where

  • 196 countries have stepped up with their own targets of

  • how much they're going to reduce their emissions by

  • 2025 or 2030 and commitments from the developed countries

  • to assist countries in need, both with investments in

  • mitigation and in adaptation.

  • Basically what that reflected was as

  • understanding that the whole panoply of impacts of

  • climate change requires not just national,

  • but global action and it requires action both on

  • the mitigation front, on reducing the offending

  • emissions, but also on investing in increased

  • preparedness, resilience, and adaptation to deal with

  • the changes in climate and their consequences in the

  • human health domain, in the ecological domain,

  • in the infrastructure domain,

  • changes in climate that are no longer avoidable.

  • There is a huge difference between the amount of

  • climate change and impact we'll have to deal with

  • under high emission scenarios versus under low

  • emission scenarios, but we cannot avoid impacts

  • altogether and we're going to have to deal with those

  • by investment on the preparedness, resilience,

  • and adaptation front, but let me come back to you,

  • Gina, and EPA.

  • Doesn't this all simply reinforce the 2009

  • "Endangerment Finding" that EPA made and which is really

  • the underpinning of EPA's approaches to dealing with

  • these challenges?

  • >> Gina McCarthy: Well, it's really -- I'm so glad

  • you mentioned that, because we were talking about that

  • -- just when we were leaving the early press release I

  • was talking to a couple of the EPA folks and it seems

  • like decades ago we did the "Endangerment Finding."

  • Does it seem like it to anybody else?

  • (laughter)

  • Let's hope the Supreme Court remembers all

  • those good decisions --

  • (laughter)

  • -- because it was -- it was a remarkable

  • accomplishment and it does actually underscore it.

  • It's just building on the wealth of evidence that we

  • have here and I think one of the things I like best about

  • this report is that we quantify where we can,

  • but we also express this in terms of our confidence in

  • the likelihood -- you know, our confidence in the data

  • and the evidence and the likelihood that the impacts

  • we're anticipating will happen.

  • This gives people a really good sense of what the

  • consensus is of all of the top science on this and

  • scientists and I mean it's expressed the same way as

  • the IPCC assessment and it really shows the strength of

  • the data and I'm hoping that it continues to jumpstart

  • the conversation about the dangers of inaction and the

  • absolute essential nature of the call to action that this

  • -- that this public health impact is going to sort of

  • ignite and I'm hoping it results in really

  • innovation, it results in investment in a low-carbon

  • future, and it provides the support we need as

  • policy-makers and as leaders in government to actually

  • take the action we need that's commensurate with the

  • core values we all hold dear and the challenge to those

  • core values that climate change poses.

  • >> John Holdren: Great.

  • Well, thank you, Gina; really appreciate your being

  • here to discuss the broad contours of this new report

  • and its relation to what EPA's mission of protecting

  • human health primarily is.

  • I also want to note that we have been joined by Senator

  • Ed Markey, one of the great leaders in the United States

  • Senate on the issue of climate change -- (applause)

  • -- and we're certainly all looking forward to hearing

  • Senator Markey's perspective on these issues a little

  • later in the program.

  • For now though we are going to launch into some of the

  • comprehensive scientific findings in this assessment

  • in more detail with a panel on the key findings.

  • That panel will be moderated by Christine Blackburn of

  • the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

  • I think if you look at your program,

  • you will note and even if you don't,

  • you will soon discover the multi-agency character of

  • this panel; that mirrors the multi-agency expertise that

  • was brought to bear on this study being launched today.

  • So with that, let me thank you again, Gina,

  • and ask all of you to join me in welcoming Christine

  • and the panelists to the stage.

  • >> Gina McCarthy: Thank you, Doc.

  • (applause)

>> Bob Simon: Good Afternoon and welcome

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