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  • Prohibitions do not eliminate the market for illicit goods. Prohibitions do, however, increase

  • violence and increase the risk of overdose. The recent history of the United States includes

  • two major periods of prohibition: federal alcohol prohibition from 1920 to 1933, and

  • the current war on drugs, which began in 1971. During both of these periods, we witnessed

  • increases in the homicide death rate that correspond to enforcement of these prohibitions.

  • Why do prohibitions lead to violence? First, we have to recognize that prohibiting the

  • production or consumption of a substance does not eliminate its use. Almost half of high

  • school seniors report using an illegal substance in their life. Prohibition merely drives the

  • market for drugs underground. Producers operate in a black market, and consumers conceal their

  • behavior. Economics predicts a variety of adverse effects

  • of black markets. The evidence confirms these effects. In a black market, when disputes

  • ariseóover sales territory, over product quality, over correct changeóthe legal system

  • is not available. Drug producers and consumers must resolve their own disputes and may rely

  • on violence to do so. The underground nature of black markets has

  • other negative effects. Consumers canít report their drug dealers to the Better Business

  • Bureau for having sold them low-quality cocaine. The lack of legal, visible options to impugn

  • the reputation of bad-faith drug dealers typically leads to lower quality, and importantly, less

  • predictable quality drugs, increasing the risk of poisoning and of overdose.

  • Further, law enforcement expends resources to enforce prohibitions. The time that police

  • officers spend chasing drug dealers and users is time not spent catching murderers, thieves,

  • or rapists. Prison space used to house drug dealers and users is space not available for

  • other, more serious criminals. One estimate suggests that homicide rates are 25 to 75

  • percent higher than they would be in the absence of drug prohibition.

  • If your goal was to reduce the consumption of marijuana, of cocaine, meth, or heroin,

  • there are other policy choices available. A policy regime such as the one we have with

  • tobacco of high tax rates, minimum smoking ages, and extensive education campaign, could

  • keep the consumption of these drugs relatively low while avoiding the violence and quality

  • issues associated with a black market. It might seem counterintuitive that prohibitions

  • are not the most effective way to reduce the consumption of a good, but economics points

  • out that prohibitions generate black markets, and black markets lead to other adverse effects.

Prohibitions do not eliminate the market for illicit goods. Prohibitions do, however, increase

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