Subtitles section Play video Print subtitles STOCKS CLOSING HIGHER THIS AFTERNOON, EDGED HIGHER BY ENERGY SHARES. STOCKS,IGHS ACROSS U.S. BUT IS THIS STILL A HEATED BULL RALLY? WE WILL GIVE YOU THE EVIDENCE AND LET U.S. -- LET YOU DECIDE. JOE: PLUS, A NEW KIND OF GLOBALIZATION. MARK: AND WE WILL LOOK AT THE RESULTS FOR WALMART MEAN FOR RETAIL. SCARLET: WE BEGIN WITH OUR MARKET MINUTE. OIL AND HEARD A BULL MARKET. IF YOU LOOK AT EQUITIES. IT WAS KIND OF MEANDERING FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. JOE: MEANDERING IS RIGHT, BUT I WOULD SAY IT'S A CONTINUATION OF WHAT WE SAW DURING THE FED MEETINGS YESTERDAY. ESSENTIALLY, IT WAS A SLOW-MOTION CONTINUATION. MARK: I THINK MEANDER IS A GOOD WORD FOR STOCKS. I WANT TO START WITH A GROUP THAT LED THE MARKET HIGHER. WE TALKED ABOUT OIL GETTING INTO A BULL MARKET. HERE WE GO. THE ENERGY INDEX HAS BEEN A PRETTY BIG PART OF THE RALLY. YOU CAN SEE HOW MUCH IT GAINED TODAY. IT WAS UP 60 BASIS POINTS AT ONE POINT. HIGHER, NOTMARKET AS MUCH WEIGHT ON THE S&P AS IT USED A HAVE, BUT STILL AN IMPACT. WE HAVE UTILITIES AND FINANCIALS. THE TWO THAT MAKE HEADLINES EVERY DAY. IT DEPENDS ON HOW THE MARKET FEELS ABOUT INTEREST RATES RIGHT NOW. RIGHT NOW, WORK EXPECTATIONS HAVE GONE DOWN. FINANCIALS STILL HANGING IN THERE. I HAVE TWO COUP KIND OF FUN STOCKS THAT POPPED UP TODAY. STOCKS -- WE GOT NEWS TODAY THAT PRIVATE PRISONS WILL SHORTLY BE NO MORE OR AT LEAST CEASED TO EXIST IN THE WAY THEY DO NOW. THE PRICE OF PRIVATE PRISONS GOT CRUSHED. DAY ON THE QUIET GOVERNMENT BOND MARKET, CONTINUING YESTERDAY'S TRENDS. AND 10 YEARAR YIELDS AS EXPECTATIONS OF SAID POLICY CONTINUE TO EASE. EASE, ANDONTINUE TO THE DOLLAR DECLINED AS WELL. THE POUND WAS A BIG JUMPER AS HARD DATA OUT OF THE U.K. SHOWED ONCE AGAIN THE ECONOMY HOLDING UP BETTER THAN EXPECTED AFTER THE BREXIT VOTE. YOU TALLIED UP, INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS, AND RETAIL SALES HAVE ALL DONE BETTER THAN FEARED. THE YEN IS CURRENTLY BELOW 100. YOU CAN SEE THE HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN OUT THERE. THE NECKLINE THERE, AND FXORDING TO BLOOMBERG'S CURRENCY TOTHE NEXT WATCH IS DOLLAR-YEN. JOE: BOYLE IS UP 30% ON THE AIR. IT FELT LIKE JUST A FEW DAYS AGO WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THE OIL BEAR MARKET. NOW, IT IS BACK IN A BULL MARKET, UP 22% FROM ITS LOWS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE MONTH. IT IS AMAZING TO ME HOW FAST THE STORY CHANGES. JUST A FEW MONTHS AGO, WE WERE LIKE, THERE IS ALL THIS SUPPLY, INVENTORY, SPILLING OUT OF THE TANKS. SAW WHAT HAPPENED EARLIER THIS YEAR ON SPECULATION. MARK: IT'S A PRETTY BIG MOVE ON HOPE. SCARLET: YOU JUST NEED PEOPLE TO BELIEVE IN IT. THAT IS YOUR MARKET MINUTE. LET'S TAKE A DEEP TIES INTO THE BLOOMBERG. YOU CAN FOLLOW THE FUNCTIONS AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN. TRY LOOKING INTO THE RETAIL RUMBLE. TARGET SALES DISAPPOINTED IN THE COMPANY SAID U.S. SHOPPERS ARE CAUTIOUS. MEANWHILE, WALMART SAID CONSUMERS ARE OK. WALMART SHARES HAVE OUTPERFORMED TARGET, AND YOU CAN SEE IT IN THE RELATIVE SHARE VALUATION. , SHARES LINE GOES UP ARE INCREASING. RIGHT NOW, WALMART'S SHARES ARE AT A 20% PREMIUM TO TARGET SHARES. >> EACH HAS ITS OWN ISSUES. LISTEN CAREFULLY WHEN SOMEONE SAYS CONSUMERS ARE CAUTIOUS. MARK: TARGET IS STILL TRADING BELOW AVERAGE. SCARLET: GOOD POINT. AT INITIALOOKING JOBLESS CLAIMS AS I DO EVERY THURSDAY. THEY KEEP IMPROVING. THE WHITE LINE IS NOT JUST SEASONALLY ADJUSTED CLAIMS. THE DOTTED LINE IS THE MOVING AVERAGE. MOVING OUT TO GET A BROAD TREND. ANOTHER POST CRISIS LOW ON THIS MEASURE. WE JUST DON'T SEE ANY SIGNS OF LABOR MARKET WEAKNESS. IT GOING TO BE A BIGGER DEAL WHEN THE LINE STARTS TO MOVE UP OR WHEN IT STARTS FALLING? JOE: IT TICKS UP FROM TIME TO TIME, BUT THE DEGREE TO WHICH IT IS CONSISTENT IS PRETTY ASTOUNDING. MARK: IT LOOKS LIKE THE WORLD'S MOST BORING ROLLER COASTER. JOE: GOOD ONE. MARK: I AM GOING TO LOOK AT A CHART THAT LOST, BUT I AM GOING TO DOUBLE DOWN, RMB ON THE US -- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT ON THE S&P 500. I AM LOOKING AT THIS WITH THE HELP OF MY COLLEAGUE, KEVIN KELLY. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN COMPANIES AREN'T SPENDING AS MUCH AS THEIR PROFIT MARGINS ARE FALLING. WE ARE BASICALLY SHOWING PROFIT MARGINS GETTING THINNER AND THINNER. THIS IS A NORMALIZED CHART BACK TO 2014. PROFIT MARGINS HAVE SHRUNK BACK TO 14%. ONE THING HAS EXPANDED QUITE A BIT, AND THAT IS RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT. YOUR BALANCE ON SHEET AND WILL EAT AWAY THAT PROFIT MARGIN.