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  • Shoppers at the M outlet of Kindshome DIY confronted at the door by glaring red sign asking how solid is your negative interest rates strategy?

  • Underneath it is a selection of attractively priced safes.

  • The display is not exactly a buzz with custom.

  • Negative interest rates, NIRP, has certainly thrown things off-kilter.

  • But for now, at least there's no mathematically compelling reason

  • for ordinary Japanese to spend 25,000 yen on a metal box to keep their cash at home.

  • The 0.001 percent rate, Japanese banks offered a normal deposit account remains minutely above zero.

  • And the Bank of Japan's policy has been crafted to ring fence individuals.

  • The big unanswered question, most pertinently for the yen, was it reels around in search of a natural post-NIRP range against the US dollar.

  • It's what those Japanese individuals are actually doing with their cash.

  • The enigma has deepened following the ministry of Finance's most recent weekly portfolio data.

  • For the week ending on February 19th, a week that saw the NIRP coming into force

  • and spectacular Japanese net buying on foreign bonds and foreign stocks.

  • The former was the largest readings since the date it became available in 2005.

  • And the latter represented a 500 percent increase, over the previous week.

  • What will market can only nervously guess at?

  • Until March 8th; however, is the breakdown of that buying.

  • The crucial answer to how much of the action was banks' pension funds

  • and the sort of investment products that Japanese individuals tend to favor.

  • The bank's purchases would tend to be currency hedged.

  • While the pension funds and investment trusts would not.

  • If the breakdown shows out the bias were banks', the yen may belly twitch from its 112 to 113 range against the dollar.

  • But if it emerges that the outflows came from trusts, boiled with money that s* refuses to sit in the safe,

  • the market may but heavily on weeks more of large, yen depressing unhedged outflows.

Shoppers at the M outlet of Kindshome DIY confronted at the door by glaring red sign asking how solid is your negative interest rates strategy?

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