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  • As you know from our policy statement released a short time ago,

  • the Federal Open Market Committee reaffirmed the current zero to quarter percent target range for the federal funds rate.

  • Recent global economic and financial developments are likely to put further downward pressure on inflation in the near term.

  • These developments may also restrain U.S. activity somewhat,

  • but if not led at this point to a significant change in the committee's outlook for the U.S. economy.

  • The committee continues to anticipate that the first increase in the federal funds rate will be appropriate when it is seen some further improvement in the labor market

  • and it's reasonably confident that inflation would move back to its 2% objective over the medium term.

  • I will note that the importance of the initial increase should not be overstated,

  • the stance of monetary policy would likely remain highly accommodative for quite some time.

  • after the initial increase in the federal funds rate, the committee continues to expect the moderate pace

  • of overall GDP growth, even though the restraint from net export is likely to persist for a time.

  • The labor market has shown further progress so far this year, the recovery from the great recession has advanced sufficiently far,

  • and domestic spending appears sufficiently robust,

  • that an argument can be made for a rise in interest rates at this time.

  • We discussed this possibility at our meeting.

  • However, in light of the heightened uncertainties abroad, and a slightly softer expected path for inflation,

  • the committee judged it appropriate to wait for more evidence, including some further improvement in the labor market

  • to bolster its confidence that inflation will rise to 2% in the medium term.

As you know from our policy statement released a short time ago,

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