Name: Trump Now Leads Biden in Poll of Six Swing States: Five Key Takeaways | WSJ
Uploaded: 2024-04-07T07:51:51.000Z
Duration: 5 min 59 s
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- [Narrator] Former President Donald Trump

of the seven most competitive states in the 2024 election.

and most likely to determine the outcome.

The Poll found that in a head-to-head matchup,

Trump leads between one and six percentage points

is that President Biden has a significant challenge

in holding together the coalition that elected him in 2020.

- [Narrator] In that same survey, voters were quizzed

on which of the two candidates they'd prefer

when it came to the economy, immigration, abortion,

and mental and physical fitness needed to be president.

On these three voters preferred Trump over Biden

The only issue Biden pulled higher on was abortion,

where he led Trump by 12 percentage points.

- People have a lot of things in their minds,

and it's the job of the campaign to make the issue

that's most favorable to them, top of mind and voters.

You'll see them out there talking quite often about

Donald Trump's role in nominating Supreme Court justices

- At the same time you see Donald Trump out there trying

to make immigration the most salient issue,

- It's a border bloodbath and it's destroying our country.

- And which issue is dominant as voters go

to vote could determine for undecided voters

One thing that screams out from this poll is the broad

dissatisfaction that voters have with the economy.

And in fact, in these seven swing states,

and more sour over the economy than are voters nationwide,

The economy is strong by traditional measures,

but people aren't giving the president credit for it,

and that's something he's gonna need to address.

- [Narrator] The survey also found an unusual dynamic.

Voters in these battleground states say the national economy

is in bad shape, but conditions in their home

- This is one of the puzzles that we see in polling,

not just in this poll, but in many polls.

People say that the economy is doing poorly,

but they quite often say that their own finances

and their own part of the economy is doing fine.

- [Narrator] Third-party and independent candidates

represent an unpredictable element in the election.

or an independent candidate like Robert F. Kennedy Jr

who right now say they're gonna support Trump

or Biden say that it's possible, they'll vote for them,

You get as much as a third of the electorate,

- [Narrator] When asked who they would vote for

in a 2024 election that included third-party

and independent candidates, voters again favored Trump.

In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada,

and Pennsylvania, Kennedy is seeing the most support in

- Robert F. Kennedy represents a real wild card

to Republican voters than the Democratic voters.

That suggests that if he gets on the ballot in these states,

he could take more votes from Donald Trump

But there are gonna be other candidates on most

Green Party candidate, maybe Cornell West,

another independent, and those as a group seem

If you ask about all these candidates together,

their effect seems to cancel each other out.

- [Narrator] But the pollsters consider voters

who back these candidates to be persuadable

and potentially open to backing either Trump or Biden.

The voters most up for grabs view Biden, Trump

and the economy more unfavorably than do voters overall.

Some 74% rate the economy as poor or not so good

compared with 63% of battleground state voters overall.