Placeholder Image

Subtitles section Play video

  • - The limits to computing are not the limits

  • of physical device.

  • They're not the limits of concrete or steel

  • or anything like that in the physical world,

  • the limits to computing are the limits of your imagination.

  • When the first computers began to appear

  • in the late 1940s, early 1950s,

  • people were fascinated by these incredibly complex machines

  • that could do things like process huge numbers

  • of mathematical equations incredibly quickly.

  • And so there was a buzz at the time

  • around these electronic brains.

  • Lots of people thinking around

  • could machines really be intelligent?

  • So Alan Turing, I think, was one

  • of the most remarkable people in the 20th century.

  • What he did was he invented a beautiful test.

  • He said, "Look, here is this test.

  • If we ever get something that would passes it,

  • then just stop asking that question

  • because you can't tell the difference."

  • He never really expected that anybody was seriously going

  • to try it out, but actually people did try it out.

  • But it's been wildly misinterpreted, I say since then.

  • What Turing's most famous for is working at Bletchley Park,

  • a code breaking center in the United Kingdom

  • throughout the Second World War.

  • And actually, if that was the only thing he'd done

  • in his life, he would have a place in the history books.

  • But almost as a side product of his PhD work,

  • he invented computers, which are just any one of

  • the most remarkable sort of, you know, quirks of history.

  • And with incredible precociousness,

  • he picked one of the biggest mathematical problems

  • of the age, the Entscheidungsproblem,

  • which means decision problem;

  • whether mathematics can be reduced to following a recipe.

  • So the question that Turing asked was, is it the case

  • that for any mathematical problem that you might come up

  • with, you can find a recipe which you can just follow

  • in the same way that you would follow for arithmetic?

  • Incredibly quickly, within about 18 months,

  • Turing solved it.

  • And the answer is no,

  • mathematics doesn't reduce to following a recipe.

  • But the interesting thing is what Turing did

  • is to solve that problem, he had to invent a machine

  • which could follow instructions,

  • and nowadays we call them Turing machines,

  • but actually it's basically a modern computer.

  • And he was one of the first serious thinkers about AI.

  • And so in 1950, he published what we think

  • is the first real scientific work

  • around artificial intelligence.

  • If we ever achieved the ultimate dream of AI,

  • which I call the Hollywood dream of AI,

  • the kind of thing that we see in Hollywood movies,

  • then we will have created machines

  • that are conscious potentially in the same way

  • that human beings are.

  • So Alan Turing, I think, was really frustrated

  • by people saying, "Well, no, of course these machines can't

  • be intelligent or creative or think or reason," and so on.

  • So Turing's genius was he invented a beautiful test.

  • We call it the Turing Test in his honor.

  • Okay, so here's how the test goes.

  • You've got somebody like me,

  • who's sitting at a computer terminal with a keyboard

  • and a screen, and I'm allowed to ask questions.

  • I type out questions on the keyboard,

  • but I don't know what's on the other end, right?

  • I don't know whether it's a computer program

  • or another human being.

  • So Turing's genius was this.

  • He said, "Well, look, imagine after a reasonable amount

  • of time, you just can't tell whether it's a person

  • or a machine on the other end.

  • If a machine can fool you into not being able

  • to tell that it's a machine,

  • then stop arguing about whether it's really intelligent

  • because it's doing something indistinguishable.

  • You can't tell the difference.

  • So you may as well accept that it's doing something

  • which is intelligent."

  • And I think Turing never really expected

  • that people would seriously try it out.

  • And so there are annual Turing Test competitions

  • across the world where people will enter computer programs,

  • and there will be judges who will try

  • and tell whether they're a computer program

  • or a human being.

  • Most of the entries in them are like these kind

  • of crude internet chat bots.

  • And what these chat bots do is they just look for keywords

  • like sad or family or lonely or drunk

  • or something like that.

  • And they plug that keyword into a canned response.

  • And so they're really just trying to fool the investigators.

  • And I have to say- there's not really much AI

  • in most of those programs because they're doing something

  • which is really much more superficial.

  • It's a boom period for AI now because a very narrow class

  • of techniques have turned out to be very successful

  • on a wide range of problems.

  • Modern AI is really focused on doing very specific tasks,

  • and in those specific tasks like playing a game of chess

  • or something, it might be better

  • than any living human being,

  • but it can't do anything else.

  • Those programs are just tuned, very finely tuned,

  • to do one tiny thing very well.

  • But going back to Alan Turing's invention,

  • he invented machines that for following lists

  • of instructions, but the computer

  • can adapt those instructions.

  • It can learn to adapt those instructions over time.

  • And that's basically what you're doing in machine learning.

  • He's one of the founders of the field,

  • not just of computing, but also of artificial intelligence.

  • One of the most remarkable people of the 20th century.

- The limits to computing are not the limits

Subtitles and vocabulary

Click the word to look it up Click the word to find further inforamtion about it