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  • Climate change is happening, and our cities need to adaptquickly.

  • The battle for climate change will be won or lost in cities.

  • Cities play an outsized role in climate change, consuming around 75% of the world's energy

  • and producing more than 70% of greenhouse gas emissions.

  • But they can also be part of the solution; creating meaningful impact while being small

  • and nimble enough to avoid the bureaucracy of global politics.

  • In fact, many have already started work.

  • 2022 marked some of the most extreme weather events on record, with wildfires and droughts

  • ravaging parts of Europe, the U.S. and Africa,

  • while Asia battled disastrous flooding and monsoon rains.

  • And experts warn it's just the beginning.

  • What we calculated and what we knew as, say, one-in-10-year events is now becoming one-in-five-years.

  • So, the frequency is increasing.

  • Our cities are at the forefront of those shifts.

  • Today, more than half of the world's population live in urban areas,

  • a figure that's set to rise to 68% by 2050.

  • This migration pattern is driven partly by the climate crisis, which, in turn,

  • creates new risks and stress for urban infrastructures.

  • Many of our world cities are built on river systems or on water, for example, and as global temperatures rise

  • we have a lot of sea level rise, a lot of issues related to flooding.

  • And so cities really feel the impacts there.

  • By the middle of this century, 1.6 billion people living in more than 970 cities

  • look set to face chronic extreme heat as a result of climate change,

  • with average summer temperatures surpassing 95 degrees Fahrenheit.

  • At the same time, 800 million urban residents could be affected by sea-level rise

  • and 650 million by water shortages.

  • That has major implications not only for the environment,

  • but also politics, the economy, and society at large.

  • Urban infrastructure and systems are typically closely interconnected, meaning a failure

  • in any part of the network may be contagious, multiplying the damage.

  • If London was to flood, then the cost would be immense.

  • London Underground, DLR stations, hospitals, schools, the list goes on.

  • So, what can our cities do to respond to, and reduce, the rising risks of climate change?

  • Terri Wills, former director for global initiatives at C40 Cities,

  • a global network of cities aiming to tackle climate change,

  • and now urban strategy leader at design firm Arup, explained more.

  • There's quite a few cities that have really interesting approaches and initiatives.

  • We always hold up the example of Rotterdam. The Netherlands have reclaimed land from the sea.

  • What Rotterdam is doing is welcoming the water and basically building infrastructure

  • that will take in the water and use the water when it's there

  • but have different uses for the spaces when the water isn't there.

  • They might have public spaces that, when the waters come, you can enjoy the water,

  • you can use boats.

  • But when the water isn't there, it's more of a public realm space

  • for sitting and eating and that kind of thing.

  • Here in London, the Thames Barrier, one of the largest movable flood barriers in the world,

  • was launched in 1982 to protect the U.K. capital

  • and its citizens from high tides and storm surges.

  • The tides that go in and out of London each day aren't a threat to the city.

  • They're contained within the flood defense walls on either side of the river.

  • But if we get a surge element that allows a hump of water to be formed that can add

  • one meter, two, 2.5 meters on top of the tide, and it's that element that would overtop the defenses.

  • Consisting of 10 steel gates spanning the width of the River Thames, when closed,

  • the barrier can stand as high as a five-story building, providing protection

  • to 125 square kilometers, nearly 50 square miles, of central London.

  • The Thames Barrier effectively puts a wall of steel right across the river.

  • We bring the smaller gates into the defense position, and then the larger gates,

  • before we slow the river down.

  • And then we finally bring the gates up into the full defense position

  • and hydraulically stop the flow of the river.

  • Hydrological and meteorological data is fed into the Barrier's control room every minute

  • from a broad network of tide and river pressure and water gauges.

  • Any decision to close is based on a combination of three factors:

  • the height of the tide, the height of tidal surge and the river flow entering the tidal Thames.

  • We've had 206 flood-defense closures since 1983.

  • Our busiest flood season was when we had 50 closures in a three-month period.

  • Elsewhere, in the equatorial city-state of Singapore, water scarcity concerns

  • over the past several decades, have compelled the government to shore up water reserves

  • and reduce their dependence on imports from neighboring Malaysia.

  • They designed the water system that maximizes all the possible resources they can get.

  • So, they still import, but much less.

  • They collect all the rainwater into the storages and reuse that water.

  • They collect and treat all the wastewater and recycle quite a large part of that

  • and reuse it. And they also use saline water, so they have the desalination plant.

  • Singapore has also created a fund to combat rising sea levels, with an estimated $100 billion

  • needed in its war chest over the next century to protect the island.

  • Drought and inland flooding are two of five major hazards presented by climate change,

  • alongside extreme heat, wildfires and coastal flooding and storm surges.

  • In a 2021 report on how cities can adapt to climate change, consultancy firm McKinsey, alongside C40 cities,

  • outlined 15 high-potential actions that can help reduce such risks.

  • Those include four actions all cities can implement to build resilience,

  • such as raising public awareness and boosting financing.

  • The other 11 actions aim to reduce the impact of specific threats

  • and improve a city's ability to recover from them.

  • Cities at risk from extreme heat, for instance, can apply cool surface treatments

  • like white paint to roofs, walls and sidewalks to help reflect sunlight and reduce urban heat.

  • Others facing wildfire risks can focus on prevention such as planting fire-resistant vegetation

  • and creating breaks to slow or control fires.

  • Meanwhile, those vulnerable to coastal flooding and storm surges can invest

  • in flood- and storm-resistant buildings and coastal barriers.

  • In seeking solutions, it's also important to ensure the cure isn't worse than the cause,

  • and that any adaptations don't create more climate risks.

  • That's where nature-based solutions, or so-called blue-green design, can come in.

  • Blue-green design fundamentally says that we should build with the environment.

  • Having new developments which, ideally, would have the systems that recycle the water,

  • maximize the use of the rainwater, so that's the blue bit.

  • And then the green bit is the systems that have, say, green roofs,

  • lots of green space around the buildings.

  • Planting trees and installing green roofs and walls, for instance, can reduce temperatures,

  • capture water and provide sustainable urban drainage solutions.

  • This is not to say that nature-based solutions can solve everything.

  • But there is much more, I think, opportunities to really combine grey infrastructure with

  • green spaces and then have that blue element, where we think about maximizing the use of

  • the local resources and recycling it as much as possible.

  • Still, the threat of climate change is ever evolving.

  • So what more might cities and their citizens start doing now to evaluate and respond to those risks?

  • They can look at, OK, we've put in this much blue and green infrastructure,

  • we've installed this storm water management system, but how do you know that those are actually

  • having a result? As a community, have some of the temperatures lowered in a particular area

  • compared to previous years when the temperatures were at a similar level?

  • So understanding the results of those interventions is going to be really important and Arup wants

  • to provide our cities with kind of the measurement frameworks that they'll need

  • to be able to assess that, which then helps with planning.

  • Such measures aren't just environmental; they make political and economic sense too.

  • According to the World Bank, investing in more resilient infrastructure globally

  • could save as much as $4.2 trillion in climate change damages.

  • The cost of installing some of this infrastructure might be seen as excessive.

  • But then the damages often felt by extreme flooding, by the heat stress that we're seeing,

  • can often be greater than the cost of the interventions.

  • The U.K.'s Environment Agency is now exploring how the Thames Barrier might need to be expanded

  • to safeguard the 1.4 million people and £320 billion of property

  • and critical infrastructure it protects.

  • The Environment Agency has got an adaptive strategy.

  • And that plan, based on data, will react to what's actually happening to sea level rise,

  • rather than predictions.

  • And that will offer a range of solutions.

  • But the likely solution for the protection of London is Thames Barrier Two,

  • probably built around 2070, probably downstream of where we are now.

Climate change is happening, and our cities need to adaptquickly.

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