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It’s pretty hard to imagine a world without microchips.
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They’re not just in tech like your phone and computer, but in pretty much every electronic
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you’ll encounter today: refrigerators, washing machines, strings of LED lights, electric
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toothbrushes, cars, and so much more.
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They used to be so easy to get they cost only about a dollar each, but right now they’re
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going for as much as 150 bucks a pop because there’s a huge shortage,
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a shortage that isn’t entirely
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due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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So why are these microchips so useful, and so in-demand?
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Well, they’re Moore’s Law made real—tens of billions of transistors packed into a space
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about as big as your pinky fingernail.
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A transistor is essentially a tiny electrical switch that lets electrons flow when open
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or stops them when closed.
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These transistors are layered over and around one another on a wafer of silicon to
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create a network that functions together as a circuit.
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The pattern of electrons flowing through these gates, plus sensors and other stuff, allow
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you to communicate with the device.
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But these chips are getting smaller and smaller, packed with more and more processing power.
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When we’re talking about ten of billions of transistors in the space of a few nanometers,
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the manufacturing becomes hugely complicated and time-consuming.
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We’re talking cleanrooms with air 10,000 times more filtered than normal room air,
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etching the transistors with super precise lasers.
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So, a facility capable of producing chips like this costs tens of billions of dollars to
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get up and running, so…it's just a little tough.
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And during the COVID-19 pandemic, many of those invaluable chip factories had to close,
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along with the rest of the world.
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But the demand for chips didn’t slow down—in fact, it exploded as devices became our main
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way of continuing to work, entertaining ourselves, and connecting with one another.
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With this mismatch of supply and demand…chips have become more precious.
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But it’s not just the facilities that have been affected—these chips (and the materials
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used to make them) also have to be shipped all over the world.
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As ports struggle with staff shortages and the bottleneck of goods caused by shutdowns,
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getting things from one place to another takes a lot longer and is more expensive than it
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used to be.
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But the world’s chip shortage can’t only be blamed on the pandemic—this has been
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brewing for a while.
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Chip manufacturing is dominated by just a few companies in just a few countries.
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TSMC, a Taiwanese chip manufacturer, makes 92% of the world’s most sophisticated chips,
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60% of the chips used in cars worldwide, and 30% of the simpler chips used in everyday
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items.
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Now, the US develops and sells the most chips overall,
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but the vast majority of the world’s advanced chip manufacturing
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happens either in Taiwan or South Korea.
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Shortages have occurred in the past when these places have been hit by natural disasters.
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So, it was a precarious infrastructure in the first place.
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And the number of these manufacturing facilities hasn’t grown as fast as our digital landscape
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has: with the launch of 5G technology, more demand for smarter devices, more use
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of cloud computing, the move to electric cars... all of this added on to how expensive and difficult
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chip factories are to build, and you have a perfect storm for shortage.
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And then COVID-19 hit.
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The impacts of all this are being felt across all kinds of industries.
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Auto companies are rolling out millions less cars in 2022.
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Some products from companies like Apple and Playstation are going to be delayed, and consumers
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may see less variety on shelves, longer wait times between clicking order and the item
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actually arriving, plus potentially larger price tags.
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Now, if you’re not in the market for this newer tech, you’re still outta luck.
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Older chip technology is actually the hardest to come by.
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The industry has been so busy investing in the super complex and fancy chip manufacturing
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that older manufacturing equipment has fallen by the wayside, making it harder to keep up
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with demand for the chips that go in simpler devices.
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It’s not just consumer tech that’s feeling the squeeze, either.
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Some of the world’s premiere scientific institutions have also had to delay the launch of the most
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powerful supercomputers to date because of…chip shortages.
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And experts think it’s gonna be a while before the industry works through the backlog
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of orders that’s piled up—like, things might be back to normal in chip world by early
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2023…but this is optimistic.
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Some experts say it’s unrealistic to expect production to catch up to demand before 2030.
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As countries feel the pinch they’re thinking more about investing in domestic chip production
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so that outside forces don’t have as much impact on the market.
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More factories in more countries with more capabilities are on their way, but like we’ve
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said, the science and tech required is not quick’n’easy to implement so...
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hence the 2030 prediction.
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In the meantime, the factories that are able to produce them are slowly chipping away
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at the orders that are still flooding in.
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If you want more on Moore’s Law and computer chips, then check out this video here, and
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keep coming back to Seeker for all your semiconductor news.
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If you have another tech topic you want to see us cover, leave us a comment down below
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and as always, don’t forget to subscribe and thanks for watching.
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I’ll see ya next time.