Name: 【TED】Dan Gilbert: The psychology of your future self (The psychology of your future self | Dan Gilbert)
Uploaded: 2014-06-27T14:53:09.000Z
Duration: 6 min 50 s
Description: Thousands of YouTube videos with English-Chinese subtitles! Now you can learn to understand native speakers, expand your vocabulary, and improve your pronunciation...

Future simple

we make decisions that will profoundly influence

Present continuous

the lives of the people we're going to become,

we're not always thrilled with the decisions we made.

Middle-aged people rushed to divorce people

what middle-aged adults worked hard to gain.

The question is, as a psychologist,
that fascinates me is,

is that we have a fundamental misconception

Every one of you knows that the rate of change

that your children seem to change by the minute

but your parents seem to change by the year.

But what is the name of this magical point in life

is that all of us are walking around with an illusion,

an illusion that history, our personal history,

the people that we were always meant to be

Let me give you some data to back up that claim.

as you age, the balance of these values shifts.

how much their values would
change in the next 10 years,

how much their values had
changed in the last 10 years.

And this enabled us to do a really
interesting kind of analysis,

because it allowed us to compare the predictions

and to do that kind of analysis
throughout the lifespan.

because it doesn't slow nearly as much as we think.

At every age, from 18 to 68 in our data set,

people vastly underestimated how much change

they would experience over the next 10 years.

We call this the "end of history" illusion.

To give you an idea of the magnitude of this effect,

and what you see here is that 18-year-olds

Now it's not just values. It's all sorts of other things.

Many of you know that psychologists now claim

that there are five fundamental
dimensions of personality:

agreeableness, extraversion, and conscientiousness.

Again, we asked people how much they expected

and also how much they had
changed over the last 10 years,

well, you're going to get used to
seeing this diagram over and over,

You can ask people about their likes and dislikes,

"Do you think that that will
change over the next 10 years?"

"Did that change over the last 10 years?"

And what we find, well, you've seen it twice now,

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【TED】Dan Gilbert: The psychology of your future self (The psychology of your future self | Dan Gilbert)

people

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