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  • I used to think the question, “how much does the universe weigh?” had an easy answer:

  • It weighs everything.

  • But it turns out my glib deduction is not the one scientists have been looking for,

  • and they've been probing the cosmos searching for a quantifiable answer.

  • However, the results they've come back with are inconsistent depending on how they measure it,

  • and it's causing a bit of tension that may rewrite the Standard Model of Cosmology

  • Asking how much the universeweighsisn't really a question that makes sense.

  • After all, weight is calculated by multiplying an object's mass by the acceleration due to gravity

  • so how can youweighan object that's floating in space?

  • A better approach might be to ask what is the total mass and energy of the universe,

  • but that would be an incomprehensibly huge number.

  • Here's what it looks like anyway.

  • So, to make conceptualizing the mass of the universe a bit easier,

  • let's break it down and try to figure out the density of matter in the universe,

  • i.e. how much stuff there is on average in a volume of space.

  • That measurement, along with the degree to which stuff in the universe has clumped together,

  • is what's known as sigma-eight.

  • But there's a growing concern: two different approaches to measuring sigma-eight

  • have come back with two different numbers.

  • One method uses weak gravitational lensing.

  • You may be familiar with the concept of gravitational lensing,

  • which usually comes up when we talk about black holes.

  • It occurs when the gravitational pull from massive objects warp space and bend the path light takes,

  • distorting the image.

  • With black holes this distortion can be quite pronounced.

  • But matter and energy distributed throughout the universe bends light too, just almost imperceptibly.

  • So, to spot this weak-lensing effect,

  • astronomers observed millions of galaxies across about 350 square degrees of the sky.

  • The logic is that all these galaxies should be randomly oriented towards us,

  • so if nothing bends their image, the average shape should be nearly circular.

  • But thanks to matter and energy bending light's path in the space between the galaxies and us,

  • their shapes average out to be just slightly elliptical.

  • Taking that into account, along with the distances to the galaxies,

  • astronomers were able to get a figure for sigma-eight.

  • By their calculations it comes out to be about 0.74, in case you were wondering.

  • But another group of astronomers took a different approach,

  • one that uses the cosmic microwave background, or CMB,

  • which is the earliest light we can see from the start of the universe.

  • Using observations taken by ESA's Planck Satellite,

  • scientists mapped the temperature and polarization of the CMB,

  • then ran the clock forward to today, taking into account what we think the universe is made up of.

  • This ratio of ordinary matter to dark matter to dark energy in the universe

  • is what's known as the standard model of Cosmology.

  • Based on their data and assumptions, their calculations for sigma-eight came back with a higher value, 0.81.

  • That difference has been dubbed the sigma-eight tension,

  • and to longtime viewers of this channel the problem may sound vaguely familiar.

  • A similar tension has arisen around the Hubble Constant,

  • or the rate at which the universe is expanding.

  • Calculations of the Hubble constant using a variety of methods,

  • including gravitational lensing and the map of the CMB,

  • have come back with different results that are statistically significant.

  • There's a 1 in 3.5 million chance the discrepancy between calculations using the CMB

  • and those using gravitational lensing is a fluke,

  • and this so-called Hubble tension has left astronomers and cosmologists in a state of crisis.

  • Whether or not the sigma-eight tension turns out to be a crisis of the same magnitude remains to be seen.

  • Right now, there's only a 1 in 100 chance the mismatched results are due to a statistical quirk.

  • And it's possible one or both methods of finding sigma-eight had errors that would explain the difference.

  • Maybe the way the astronomers measured the distance to their millions of warped galaxies, which they acknowledge was less precise but more efficient, threw their numbers off.

  • Or maybe our estimates of the universe's makeup are wrong.

  • These results, along with the debate over the Hubble constant,

  • could lead us to revise the standard model of cosmology.

  • In the meantime, if somebody asks you how much the universe weighs,

  • just go ahead and sayeverything.”

  • No matter what the figure for sigma-eight really is, the universe as a whole is not very dense.

  • By one estimate, on average a cubic meter of the universe

  • contains the mass equivalent of just under 6 protons.

  • If you want to know more about the Hubble tension and hear a lot of puntastic scientific acronyms,

  • check out my video on it here.

  • Don't forget to subscribe, and thanks so much for watching. I'll see you next time on Seeker.

I used to think the question, “how much does the universe weigh?” had an easy answer:

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