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  • >> Hi, good afternoon.

  • We would like to welcome you all to our update for private sector

  • organizations.

  • on the 2019 coronavirus response or COVID-19.

  • We are grateful for all you are doing to keep your employees and

  • communities safe and we are pleased to have Dr. Jay Butler here to give

  • updates from CDC and thank you all for who submitted questions in

  • advance.

  • We approximately appreciate your engagement.

  • I would like to introduce Dr. Jay Butler.

  • He brings a lot of expertise.

  • You probably heard him from previous phone calls as well.

  • He is the deputy director for infectious diseases.

  • he provides leadership to the three infectious disease centers and hopes

  • to -- and he brings experience, 30 years of experience both in the field

  • and here at CDC so has a lot of great perspective.

  • I will turn it over to him to provide an update on where we are at with

  • the coronavirus

  • >> Good afternoon and good morning to those on the west coast.

  • Today is March 30th.

  • It's interesting to think it was December 31 that the world was first

  • notified of the cluster of.

  • pneumonia cases that occurred in but, China -- but- Wuhan China.

  • We are here to talk about a pandemic caused by a virus and disease that

  • we didn't know existed only three months ago.

  • It's both humbling and fairly stunning to think how much the world can

  • change.

  • in only three months.

  • Of course, as of today, the virus has spread pretty much around the

  • world.

  • There are laboratory confirmed cases in over 200 countries now.

  • There is almost certainly some bias in that depending where testing

  • capacity is, but the virus has now been documented for several weeks on

  • all the -- all of the inhabited continents of the earth.

  • The majority of cases right now are being reported in Europe, but also

  • every jurisdiction in the Americas is involved now.

  • The United States actually has the most laboratory confirmed cases of

  • any country.

  • including more than were confirmed in China as well.

  • Here in the United States, there have been over 140,000 confirmed cases,

  • probably closer to 150,000 by now.

  • Unfortunately there have been over 2400 deaths.

  • Every state has seen cases.

  • Some more than others.

  • There are certainly hot spots.

  • New York City, the chief among them.

  • Also seeing some fairly dramatic increase in the activity in the Boston

  • area New Orleans and in other areas around the country.

  • I recognize that depending where you are at, it may look very different,

  • but there is a slough of information that's available on the status of

  • the epdicking at CDC.gov/COVID-19.

  • And also that page will be getting considerable remake later in the

  • week.

  • We want to provide useful data in a graphically -- in way that

  • graphically.

  • is presented to be able to facilitate communication.

  • Please do keep an eye on that website.

  • We continue to find that the people at highest risk of severe illness

  • and fatal.

  • outcome are those who are older, particularly over age 70 to 80.

  • And that people with underlying heart/lung/kidney disease are at higher

  • risk as well as those with diabetes.

  • There will be a descriptive paper coming out in the MMWR later this

  • week.

  • highlighting some of the risk factors for more severe disease.

  • Now that said, I think it is a couple of paradoxes here that are always

  • tricky in the communications.

  • The vast majority of people who are infected with the SARS COV2 virus

  • will recover completely.

  • We are learning more and more about the mild manifestations in some

  • people and also asichmatic infection.

  • However, younger people are not completely immune to more severe

  • disease.

  • We occasionally learn of unfortunately people in their 30s and even 40s

  • winding up in the ICU with COVID-19.

  • Let me walk through some of the emerging hot topics.

  • One of the issues that I just touched on is what appears to be a more.

  • likely roll of pre-symptomatic transmission, and even asymptomatic

  • transmission where we have data from cohorts of people who have been

  • exposed with testing.

  • We are finding it's not uncommon to have fairly high amounts of virus

  • present in the nose and throat before onset of symptoms.

  • In fact, people who develop symptoms, the highest amount of virus is at

  • the time.

  • of the onset of symptoms with some decline afterwards.

  • It may be a bit of a game changer for us as we look forward in terms of

  • trying to determine what are the best ways to mitigate transmission and

  • to slow the spread of the virus.

  • I think everyone is aware of the goal of flattening the curve.

  • That's become a household term now.

  • The overall goal there is to distribute the impact of the pandemic over

  • as long a period as possible in order to maintain critical

  • infrastructure, and particularly to keep the health care system from

  • becoming overwhelmed.

  • So one of the issues that we are also looking at because of that is

  • whether or not.

  • use of face covering might be of utility in the community to prevent

  • transmission from people who are either not yet symptomatic or

  • asymptomatic.

  • We don't know what role asymptomatic infection might play, but as we

  • look at some of the experience around the world in areas where face

  • masks are oftentimes worn more often for the wearer's protection, there

  • may be a benefit because of source control with this particular virus.

  • So we are looking hard at the possibility of using face covering or non-

  • medical masks as a method to basically as an environmental control, if

  • you will.

  • Again, not something that necessarily protects the wearer, but something

  • that would be an additional tool in the toolbox of community mitigation

  • measures in addition to what's been done already for social distancing.

  • I imagine everyone is aware, speaking of social distancing that

  • guidelines coming from the White House task force have been extended

  • through the month of April.

  • As we look around the country, I think there are 17 states now that have

  • had some type of stay at home order statewide.

  • 49 states that have closed schools statewide.

  • 9 only state that hasn't -- the only state is -- 99% of the schools have

  • closed based on decisions made at the local level.

  • These community mitigation measures are part of what we do -- an

  • important part of what we do to flatten the curve until we know more

  • about the status of any chemo prophylactic agents.

  • right now there are basically none.

  • There are therapeutic agents that are under study.

  • we certainly can talk more about that if you would like.

  • A vaccine that's probably at best 12 to 18 months down the road before

  • that would be available for more widespread use.

  • I was talking about face covering.

  • It's important to recognize the importance of maintaining personal

  • protective equipment for health care workers.

  • There has been a lot of work done and the response that's now led out of

  • FEMA and the national response coordination center to be able to tap

  • into the strategic national stockpile and also to be able to receive

  • donations of PPE and other equipment such as surgical masks to be able

  • to get them out into the communities where they are needed by health

  • care providers.

  • Another real hot spot of concern is the long-term care facilities.

  • I was mentioning earlier, the persons at highest risk of severe illness

  • are older persons and persons with chronic underlying conditions.

  • Many people in long-term care facilities are both older and have under

  • lying conditions.

  • Some of the worse situations we've seen in terms of outbreaks have been

  • in long-term.

  • care facilities.

  • As of now we are aware of over 400 long-term care facilities.

  • that have had cases in a large number of states.

  • It's an area where we are doing everything we can to provide technical

  • assistance to our partners at the state and local level.

  • Regarding testing, testing using the PCR and other nucleic acid assays

  • continues to become more available there are 20 platforms that have

  • emergency use auto sx granted by the FDA.

  • The number of tests that the test results that have come back are over

  • 400,000 so far.

  • There is a lot -- the capacity in the commercial labs is greater than in

  • the public health labs.

  • So far about a third of all of the tests that have been completed have

  • been in the public health labs.

  • So I really want to acknowledge the important role that commercial labs

  • have played in terms of meeting the demand for testing.

  • There are in addition to more than just traditional PCR, I was

  • mentioning nucleic acid assays, this is helping us move toward being

  • able to push testing as far out into the health care system as possible.

  • And also get a faster turnaround on results.

  • The latest EUA granted is for a nucleic acid assay that can be performed

  • in many laboratories that are present in larger community centers, and

  • perhaps in the larger specialty clinics and can return a result in as

  • little as 15 minutes.

  • Ultimately the goal will to be have some sort of true point of care test

  • that would be performed by a provider and have a result back before the

  • patient leaves either the emergency department or the clinic.