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  • on the numbers.

  • The number continues to increase.

  • We're up to 8658 new cases.

  • Overall, we have 130,000 people tested positive.

  • 16,000 people in our hospital system, 13,000 people have been discharged.

  • Number of deaths?

  • Yeah, once again, number of people.

  • We lost a number of New Yorkers 4758 which is up from 1 59 but which is effectively flat for two days.

  • While none of this is good news, uh, the flattening possible flattening of the curve is better than the increase is that we have seen total number of hospitalizations are down, the I.

  • C U admissions, air down and the daily intubation zehr down those roll good signs and again would suggest a possible flattening of the curve of the number of discharge is down.

  • But that reflects the overall reduction in the numbers.

  • The question that we're looking at now is what What is the curve?

  • And we've been talking about cases increase increase, increase until they don't when they stop increasing, then what happens on the projection models have a number of alternatives.

  • Some suggest basically the curve goes up and then drops precipitously, some suggest, is a slight pause at the top.

  • Some suggest there's a longer pause at the top, which is effectively a plateau, uh, effect or, again, the straight up and straight down precipitous drop, which is the peak effect.

  • No one can tell you which will occur, they say.

  • Any one of the three options you study other countries, you've had a combination of the above.

  • If we are Platt towing, we're proud towing at a very high level and is tremendous stress on the health care system and decided to this health care system, which is at maximum capacity today, Right?

  • This is a hospital system where we have our foot to the floor and the engine is at red line and you can't go any faster.

  • And by the way, you can't stay at red line for any period of time because the system will block and that's where we are.

  • We are at red line.

  • People can't work any harder.

  • The staff can't work any harder, and staying at this level is problematic.

  • And if we are plateau going, it's because social distancing is work.

  • So we have to make sure the social distancing actually continues.

  • Plateau, not plateau.

  • We still have to extend New York pause because if that curve is turning, it's turning because the rate of infection is going down.

  • One of the reasons the rate of infection is going down is because social distancing is working.

  • We have to continue the social distancing schools and nonessential businesses will stay closed until April 29th.

  • I know that a negative for many, many reasons.

  • I know what it does to the economy.

  • But as I said from day one, I'm not going to choose between public health on DDE economic activity because in either event, public health still demands that we stay on pause.

  • With businesses closed and schools closed, whether we've hit the apex or whether we haven't hit the apex, you'd have to do the same thing.

  • There's also a real danger in getting ah overconfident too quickly.

  • This is an enemy that we have underestimated from day one, and we have paid the price dearly.

  • Well, the numbers look like they may be turning.

  • Yea, it's over.

  • No, it's not.

  • And other places have made that mistake.

  • Hong Kongers made that mistake.

  • South Korea has made that mistake on Dhe.

  • We're not going to make that mistake.

  • The weather is turning.

  • People have been locked up.

  • We've been talking about cap and fever.

  • Now it's a nice day.

  • I'm going to get out.

  • I'm gonna go take a walk.

  • Now is not the time to do that.

  • And frankly, there has been a laxness on social distancing, especially over this past weekend, that is just wholly unacceptable.

  • I want local governments to enforce the social distancing rules.

  • The local governments are charged with enforcement.

  • I want them to enforce them.

  • And I want to be, frankly, Maura aggressive on the enforcement because all the anecdotal evidence is people are violating it at a higher rate than before, so we're going to increase the potential maximum fine from 500 to $1000.

  • But it's not really about the fine.

  • Nobody wants the money.

  • We want the compliance.

  • We are serious and again, if it's not about your life, you don't have the right to risk someone else's life and you don't have the right, frankly, to take health care staff and people who are literally putting their lives on the line and be cavalier or reckless with him.

on the numbers.

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