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  • Good morning everybody and welcome to the closing plenary.

  • I think my job as moderator today is to -

  • with the help of four fellow revolutionaries

  • I hope on this podium, blow any holes

  • that might still be in the complacency of Europe’s...

  • and we really want to be as challenging as possible

  • about what in the light of the events of the last few days here in Europe,

  • what is working and what is isn’t and what are the really tough challenges,

  • Europe needs to face to get back to growth.

  • And in that sense I want to see if we can start picking up

  • some of the themes I’ve heard uttered by many of you in the

  • home sessions and corridors.

  • Where you don’t buy the idea that Europe will just weather this crisis.

  • It was like a bad cold and business will be back to how it was before.

  • I think many of you have been saying this was a pretty major

  • thing and it’s brought long term consequences

  • and I want to try and get at some of that in this closing plenary.

  • Weve got just the right people to help us do it.

  • From the left, if I can - or from my right rather, your left,

  • if I can introduce Bozidar Djelic, the Deputy Prime Minister

  • for European integration and Minister of Science and Technological

  • Development of Serbia and a young global leader -

  • Six more months.

  • Six more months.

  • For six more months, yes.

  • So still a youth voice for six more months.

  • Let me explain I’ll move from young global leader to middle-

  • aged in one day so that’s okay.

  • Valdis Dombrovskis, the Prime Minister of Latvia;

  • Dalia Grybauskaite, the President of Lithuania,

  • Vincent Van Quickenborne, the Minister of Economy and

  • Reform of Belgium.

  • So weve got four leaders and I'm going to, if I may,

  • Madame President, start with you and I'm going to throw a tough one

  • at you which I'm going to repeat to several others on the panel

  • which was youve worked very hard for Lithuania to

  • get into Europe.

  • Given the events of the last few days where after all

  • what was the prize you were seeking, stability, growth, reform,

  • those were supposed to be the rewards of getting into Europe?

  • Was the journey worth it?

  • Looking today, did you get what you expected?

  • I think we got everything we expected and more.

  • In addition, of course the journey was long, about 10 years,

  • for us and in our region we did a huge amount of reforms,

  • democraticize our society, and practically introduce market economy.

  • But of course it was a fast, very rapid, robust,

  • and socially tense period. It cost a lot.

  • And we thought that after we joined the European Union

  • at least the hardest work will be done but it looks that

  • everyday new challenges are falling on us and the road

  • towards membership was worth mainly because we were capable

  • to reform ourselves as much as we would like and as deeply

  • as it was necessary.

  • And this experience of reforming fast, taking challenges,

  • openness, and courage to talk with people openly what is

  • necessary to do, helping already now than all of us in our region

  • started to feel global problems and failures already by

  • the end of 2008.

  • And having that in mind and having this experience of

  • managing ourselves, already in 2009 we took initiatives and adjusted

  • our economy and reduced our spending through all our economy

  • including real salaries, real pensions, real pays in

  • social benefits by 4% of GDP in one year.

  • And of course our economy is very small, of course we are a

  • very open society and economy, of course we depend very much

  • on external markets but still taking into account global pressures,

  • national governments and national politicians

  • with their clear responsibility

  • can still manage a lot inside the country if decisions are at least

  • reduced from a political populace.

  • This is not easy, any government pays the price.

  • My neighbor paid for free government,

  • I think, for that, were still not paying

  • for free governments but were already losing and our government is

  • losing credibility because of difficult measures but necessary measures.

  • So from outside we look as country which is capable to manage,

  • inside people are angry but that probably is an objective reason

  • how it is happening.

  • Why I'm saying that the road towards membership was perfect

  • school which helped us to manage today’s situation where

  • we understood that we can rely first on ourselves, only then

  • second on the European Union and that is an experience which

  • is very useful still.

  • Well that’s of course fascinating but not the answer one might have

  • expected a year or so ago because basically you're arguing the journey

  • to join Europe was what sort of gave you the training

  • and hardened you and gave you the political capacity to take difficult

  • and unpopular decisions but Europe itself is not the prize that’s worth it,

  • it was the journey that gave you these strengths and capabilities.

  • Yes and no, our journey was important but also if to take

  • the messages now that for example during the huge downturn and fall,

  • today annually the assistance from the European funds, for example,

  • practically amounts to 25% of annual our budget, that’s significant assistance.

  • Clearly you cannot deny it.

  • Yeah. Thank you.

  • Prime Minister, you have been - and Latvia have been very,

  • very anxious about joining the Euro.

  • Does that look quite such a good idea as it did a few months ago?

  • Well certainly, our plans as regards Euro has not changed,

  • we still intend to meet most of the criteria in 2012 which means that

  • we could join Euro in January 1st, 2014 given that the current rules are held.

  • So there are two worries as regards Eurozone,

  • the first part is the credibility of the Eurozone itself where

  • I think it’s a good news that yesterday there was this rescue

  • package for Greece and also proposed to guarantee mechanisms

  • to address the crisis in better manner.

  • In another front, what is really needed is control mechanisms within Eurozone

  • to make sure that countries in Eurozone have to follow most of the criteria.

  • There was such a control mechanism, sanctions mechanism in our stability

  • and growth but it was scrapped in 2003.

  • Not apparently the time has come to re-introduce this control mechanism.

  • Second is what we hear and what worries us somewhat is the debate

  • that there should be some postponement of the Eurozone enlargement

  • or amending of the criteria so that countries could not enter

  • and I think it’s quite a misguided debate because the problem of the

  • Eurozone is not new countries because there it’s quite clear,

  • you either meet most of the criteria or you are not allowed in.

  • The problem is lack of control mechanisms within Eurozone and the fact that

  • most of the Eurozone countries do not follow most of the criteria.

  • So really we hope this debate will not move into not allowing

  • Eurozone enlargement and... will come pretty soon with

  • the case of Estonia it’s a matter of coming weeks and months.

  • I Both of you made this dramatic adjustments to restore your public

  • finances and yet you didn’t sort of stop the Euro in the way that the Greece crisis has

  • and yet you may be penalized because you may not be allowed into the Euro.

  • Do you feel it’s a double standard?

  • Well this we will see pretty soon.

  • And I think the real test is in Estonia which had the 15% recession last year

  • and yet 1.7% of GDP budget deficit.

  • So they clearly met most of the criteria, they're physically one of the most prudent

  • countries and there we will see if Eurozone is willing to stick

  • to its own rules or it will invent new rules not to allow Estonia in.

  • And of course it will come of how implications for Latvia and...

  • also Lithuania in the sense that if there is a credibility that Eurozone

  • enlargement is an open process, it’s also incentive and possibility

  • for us to explain to the people that measures we do are needed.

  • We will join Eurozone in due time.

  • Whereas if this will not be the case then it will become also more difficult

  • to explain why, for example,

  • we need to make most of the criteria in 2012.

  • Why a budget deficit of 3% and not 3.5%?

  • Djelic, you - I mean Serbia has really this issue of accession

  • and has been a driving dynamic of your country’s politics

  • for quite a few years now to meet Europe’s demands if you like.

  • Do you sort of look now and wonder whether the price

  • is going to be worth it?

  • Well for sure the enlargement is going to become more demanding,

  • the criteria for countries to join Europe and to join the Eurozone

  • are going to be tougher but at the same time that’s not necessarily

  • a bad thing as long as there is a win-win solution.

  • Europe has still its soft power aspect and definitely for the Western Balkans

  • history never stops.

  • Either we have the European agenda or if we don’t, then you will probably

  • have another agenda.

  • So that’s why it’s always an important thing to keep this European integration

  • process going.

  • I was last week in Berlin and I was testifying in front of the Bundestag

  • the day when the Greek package was being voted.

  • And of course in opening... to the members of parliament

  • "Ladies and gentlemen, just what you wanted,

  • another Balkan country. Here we are."

  • And yet - then I told them that we froze wages and pensions

  • in October of 2008, having done a precautionary program with the

  • IMF and the EU in 2007, that our total debt to GDP is 32% of GDP,

  • that were the only country upgraded by the OACD last year,

  • and that the capital...

  • ratio of our banks, 80% of them Euro- based of