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  • Okay.

  • Here we go.

  • Parties, Polls, and Personalities.

  • Do you think we feel as if we're getting towards the end?

  • I don't know.

  • I'm so desperate for us to speed up towards the finishing post.

  • Well...

  • It feels like a penultimate stage.

  • Chronologically... chronologically speaking,

  • we're closer to it than we were last time.

  • Yeah.

  • Okay.

  • Okay.

  • We're in the final strait.

  • That's absolutely true.

  • We are less than two weeks from polling day now.

  • Right.

  • So...

  • And I think the whole shape of it is becoming fairly clear.

  • Absolutely.

  • So it feels to me as if a lot of it

  • is coalescing around the characters and personalities

  • of the main parties.

  • Mhm.

  • So, I think today we should try out our portraiture skills.

  • Okay

  • Okay.

  • I'm going to do Boris Johnson.

  • Okay.

  • Here we go.

  • Okay, do you... would you like to do Jeremy Corbyn?

  • I'm going to...

  • ...for me?

  • ...I'm going to step in here with Jeremy Corbyn.

  • Okay.

  • Look at this.

  • We have reaped... we have finally,

  • through the miracle of technology,

  • we've reached my level of artistry.

  • This is brilliant.

  • I feel... hang on, I know... oh, you know Jones would insist

  • on this.

  • Yep.

  • Do you want to maybe just add a little bit of beardedness

  • there.

  • I think that would help.

  • Red beard.

  • Red beard.

  • And, of course, someone who's not

  • having the best election so far, but there's still a little way

  • to go, is Jo Swinson of the Lib Dems.

  • Here she is, in stick man style.

  • She can have a little skirt.

  • And then some other players, of course, we've got...

  • You've got Nigel Farage.

  • You are...

  • would you want to do Nigel Farage?

  • And I will do...

  • I can do Nigel Farage.

  • Nicola.

  • Now less...

  • Yeah.

  • ...he's less crucial to this conversation.

  • So we'll make him smaller because...

  • We would argue that he is literally a diminished figure

  • in this contest.

  • Yes.

  • He's opted out of fighting 317 seats.

  • And we've got Nichola Sturgeon, who

  • is having an extremely good campaign,

  • if we can make anything of the TV appearances so far.

  • Yeah.

  • So here we go, SNP, Lib Dem.

  • So, first...

  • Can you believe they actually pay people

  • to do this stuff rather than us?

  • I think we can branch out.

  • Everyone needs a side hustle a little bit.

  • Okay.

  • And this is ours.

  • So we've got this really dramatic poll that landed

  • in the middle of the week.

  • The MRP poll.

  • The MRP poll from YouGov.

  • And this showed that Boris, here we have our Boris,

  • is on course to romp home.

  • Yeah.

  • To a comfortable majority.

  • A 68-seat majority.

  • I think the Tories went up to 359, didn't they?

  • And Labour lost about 50 seats.

  • Yeah.

  • So, a poll that would reassure anybody who wants a majority

  • Conservative government slightly bothers

  • the Conservative strategists because they

  • don't want it to look like they're winning by too much.

  • They want people to think it's close so that they

  • stick with the Conservatives.

  • What the poll, and it is only a poll of how we are two weeks

  • out from the election rather than the election...

  • Yes.

  • ...suggests is that the Tories have got their strategy right,

  • that the Labour party has got it strategy quite badly wrong.

  • And the Lib Dems are miles off.

  • Flatline, flatlining.

  • Just terrible.

  • Not doing anything, really.

  • Yeah.

  • So, that inevitably leads all of them

  • to rethink some of their strategies.

  • And that's...

  • Do you think it would be going too far?

  • A frown?

  • Yes.

  • So I think they, they're all looking

  • at this now and thinking, okay, where does this take us?

  • Right.

  • And each of them has a set of problems

  • and a set of possibilities.

  • And I think that's... that's...that's where we got

  • to.

  • Lib Dems were down, I think, was it 14 seats

  • that we're going to be down to?

  • It was a really terrible week.

  • No.

  • So, the Lib Dems, actually, under this MRP model.

  • And, of course, it's a snapshot.

  • It's not a prediction.

  • Yes.

  • Of what will happen on polling day and, apart from anything

  • else a dramatic poll like this can actually shift voter

  • behaviour.

  • Right.

  • Absolutely.

  • So we must sort of caveat the whole thing.

  • But what it showed, as you said, is the comfortable majority

  • for the Tories, Labour actually going backwards in quite

  • a significant and dangerous way for the Labour leadership.

  • And the Lib Dems picking up three or four seats,

  • but losing others, and ending up only

  • adding one seat to their tally from 2017.

  • Absolutely.

  • SNP making gains.

  • Yeah.

  • Brexit party, no wins at all.

  • Yeah.

  • Yeah.

  • Yeah.

  • So which party do you want to start

  • with as we think about what this tells us

  • for the next couple of weeks?

  • Well, I think we should centre it on our current prime

  • minister.

  • Yes.

  • So it seems to me one of the things that's happening

  • is that all the main party leaders.

  • I am still awed by the sophistication of this.

  • But, sorry, carry on.

  • The...

  • the...

  • you've really put me off my stroke there.

  • All the main party leaders--

  • All the main party leaders are very divisive,

  • it turns out, in terms of the electorate.

  • So it's not, in a sense, a competition

  • between positive visions.

  • It's who do you dislike more.

  • Yeah.

  • And, therefore, whose arms are you

  • being pushed into as a voter.

  • And you've got some data here on there.

  • And they're kind of favourable, haven't you?

  • I have got some.

  • I have got some data.

  • So lots of headlines have been written

  • about quite how unfavourably the general public see

  • Jeremy Corbyn.

  • Okay?

  • So the latest is that you've got...

  • Now unfavourable