Name: March 10, 2020 Initial Election Results - Primary Election Initial Results - MI, MO, MS, ND, ID, WA
Uploaded: 2020-03-16T19:52:27.000Z
Duration: 3 min 28 s
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Wanted to touch on the initial election results that we're getting here on March 10 2020.

If you'd like to track these numbers for yourself with the resource that I'm using Ah, link it right at the top of the video description based on what the exit polls were telling us.

The states of Mississippi as well as Missouri have already been called for the former vice president, Joe Biden.

And I'm also here to say that it seems extremely likely that Michigan is probably gonna be going to Joe Biden as well.

It has not been called, but the reason why I think it's pretty straightforward that Biden is gonna go on and win the state of Michigan is because let's just take a look at an area like Ken County.

So Bernie Sanders, it's a very populous area.

You might think, Well, that's pretty decent.

But if we go back to 2016 in his election against Hillary Clinton, this is a county that he won by about 25% points so you can see quite a significant shrinking in that gap.

I believe this is where the University of Michigan as Bernie Sanders in that area.

We go back to 2016 and this was a county that he won by 12% points.

And it's that way across the board, essentially with every single county.

Sanders is not doing as well with the margin that he had in his very close victory over Hillary Clinton in that 2016 matchup.

So with that being the case, it would seem like Joe Biden is very likely to go on and carry the all important state off Michigan.

And something that I think isn't being discussed as much as it probably warrants is the fact that we don't have a competitive primary on the Republican side.

This go round in 2020 for the presidential race.

So with that being the case in a lot of the states that have open primaries or independence can choose which side they want to go to, or the Republicans could even decide that they want to participate in the Democratic primary, then they have the option to do that.

So we're actually seeing quite a bit of higher turnout among voters over the age of 65 which is generally the type of voters that you get in these primaries as opposed to the general election, where younger people turn out a bit Maurin those in contrast to the primaries.

So these older voters, they don't really have anything to vote on.

On the Republican side, they know Trump is going to be the nominee, so they're crossing over voting in the Democratic primaries.

And this is an age demographic of voter that's much more likely to go to Joe Biden than Bernie Sanders.

So when we see these numbers that it shows in relation to 2016 the vote over the age of 65 is quite a bit higher.

This is the reason why I think that's playing out.

I don't think that's the only reason that Joe Biden is going on and winning this thing and rather convincingly at this point in time.

But it's potentially ah, contributing factor.

So those are the three states that we're seeing this far.

It looks like Joe Biden is gonna be able to pick up each of them.

The state of North Dakota, which is a caucus.

We have Idaho in Washington, which were caucuses in 2016.

And they're gonna be primaries this time around in 2020 so their polls are gonna close later on.

 So again, if you'd like to track this election for yourself, the results that we get to the rest of the night all length this particular resource right at the top of the video description And when we get closer to having the full results and start getting an idea of how many pledged delegates the candidates are going to get, I'll update you guys with some or videos, as well as recapping the predictions that I had made it coming in to these elections. 