Placeholder Image

Subtitles section Play video

  • He's one of our own.

  • I'm holding my right.

  • Neil Channing, special hunter from dancing for you before we get into Wednesday's racing.

  • Just that you know that we're giving away 5 £100 Amazon vouches for Wednesday of the festival to enter the competition.

  • Simply placed anyone pounds or more.

  • Bet via LIAT.

  • Check up on that day to be in with a chance to win it.

  • Download the app.

  • Not having already you can go through for the races as we are talking about recording this on the Thursday before telling them recording at the Sydney Arms, London's finest racing heart by definitely recommend you come down here for the festival if you can't make it any day's rations.

  • Always with the racing on so fantastic food we just enjoyed. 00:00:59.120 --> 00:01:1.180 It was well on. 00:01:1.180 --> 00:01:5.150 Debts were going the week before, so we don't know what the going is going to be in the moment. 00:01:5.290 --> 00:01:15.850 It sounds like it's it's kind of soft on heavy in places, having places on the course and more rain forecast that suggests it's going to be anything better than soft.

  • So I've ruled out good too full you like.

  • It's fun to get to know if only there's an argument but into Wednesday's racing.

  • Then on Dhe, we kick off with the body more on DDE.

  • One of the festival hot Pots heads up the market in Envoy Alan.

  • We've spoken on the Tuesday show about how William Hill, a standout on most horses, given the fact that they are not non runner.

  • No bet that is not the case, then violin My.

  • They're the only firm who are odds.

  • On 10 to 11.

  • They are but 64 with Skye.

  • Bet likely had been.

  • Then Violent goes to the body more and not to the supreme.

  • Sporting John is 7 to 1, a stereo on for launch than current favorite on the exchange of the supreme. 00:01:57.730 --> 00:02:2.140 Next in an 8 to 1, the big getaway 8 to 1 big break away 9 to 1. 00:02:2.190 --> 00:02:8.010 Time Hill 12 to 1 16 to 1 bar envoy, and we have to start with here? 00:02:8.320 --> 00:02:14.240 Andi, I guess what I want to know if you guys is this one of the bank is at the festival or is this a horse we have to take on?

  • Not for May.

  • I laid him in the media aftermath of his win last time wasn't overly impressed by that.

  • I know he was very good that time before, but for May, he looked.

  • He looked.

  • It was a very labor performance.

  • He obviously he's on a break since end, so that might have seen come back to his earlier best.

  • And obviously he's won the bumper being really good style.

  • Last year in in what was pretty, they did well to win from from where he was for out.

  • But for May, I don't think he's got that much in hand of the driver was a market suggests I was happy to let thirteen's right.

  • You probably get that in the book a bit shorter now. 00:02:56.440 --> 00:03:3.780 I just think you've got some, you know, from very, very good horses against him and quite obviously, the one the most obvious is Sporting John. 00:03:4.120 --> 00:03:9.430 So I think that 7 to 1, I'd be surprised if it's still there I think. 00:03:9.780 --> 00:03:11.620 Yeah, again.

  • That's two points better than the nearest price.

  • I can't see that lasting.

  • I think that's a point bigger than the exchange as well.

  • So what time you listen to this?

  • I don't expect that to be there.

  • It has been new.

  • Would have got somebody to get the seventh for me anyway.

  • Cookie Operation?

  • Even so, I think, sport John, After what you did ask her out last time.

  • Hey was pretty Cheskin ist in the way that he quickened happen off the last ascot last time.

  • I think if he if he runs his race, I expect him to finish in the first free.

  • And I'm quite wouldn't be a total surprise.

  • It seems the big envoy Alan and obviously envoy Adam, we don't even know if it's gonna go for this race.

  • He's obviously highly likely to, but two miles and testing ground on the opening day, they might decide to go there. 00:03:57.670 --> 00:04:2.020 So for may, I think sporting Jolan Isa, stand out. 00:04:2.030 --> 00:04:4.170 I mean, there's still quite a few horses in here. 00:04:4.740 --> 00:04:17.850 You might get four places in the day, but for me, if you can get 5 to 1 free place is fine if you get Fight 14 places, even finer Sporting John for may be taking on the favor and I'll be laying him when in place.

  • I need you agree.

  • Um, no, Totally wholehearted.

  • Live on violin.

  • He's very hard to knock from figures perspective that that rule bombs still think he's fallen away.

  • That the best individual of orange form.

  • I think they've half kind of decided to come here to maybe to spit material.

  • Abracadabra.

  • We didn't talk about him actually in the super, and we should have done because I think he's a big player in that rice Elliot's probably felt well, I'll ruin him in that.

  • And I'll run Envoy Island in the two and 1/2 mile race because he comes from that kind of background, your point support winner.

  • The bumper.

  • Winnie usually wants further than two miles.

  • I think he probably could almost win both.

  • Anything I think were preventing proper ruling up to his absolute maximum. 00:04:59.430 --> 00:05:0.020 And this is my B. 00:05:0.020 --> 00:05:10.800 One of the reasons why they might switching back is if the grannies heavy or close to it on day 12 and 1/2 miles on heavy ground he's still on, tried on, So I think that's what Tony's gonna be hoping for.

  • One.

  • If he gets his wish, then I could certainly see why you'd want to be lying in the 64 as it stands at the moment I was back in, but I do think that time performance last time.

  • But I thought he was very labor night, so visually, I don't think it was very impressive.

  • Was that experimentation time, which is what they want a proper gallop that when it went a decent place, that everyone said he'd let the form down next time out.

  • But they went so slow in the next race that leopards down.

  • He pulled so hard and he was ineffective.

  • I think the guy to that form, his long house poet, ties in with all the top operation always isn't He was baiting 10 15 so there's a bit of substance that fall.

  • If you look deep enough, I think sporting Johnny's the obviously each way here this race.

  • The cream often rise to the top. 00:05:56.900 --> 00:06:5.290 You don't often find 50 to 1 25 to 1 rags, winning it like the Albert Bartlett where you can get shocks the genuine Grade one horse has come to the fore. 00:06:5.720 --> 00:06:10.410 And even though he's an Irish and he isn't a Grade one winner, which is the statue should be looking at this right.

  • I think he could well be in time that he's gonna crept under the radar little bit throughout the season.

  • But he's knocked out some good numbers prior to his Ascot, Winwood, his ascot wind suggested to run even faster than when a good, honest place that day in deplorable conditions are soft on heavy ground.

  • He wouldn't want one mind one bit, and he has good attorney for which is something that you actually positive rather negative the two would be against because they've run no sort of numbers anywhere near the level of whatever violin have done supporting John, particularly the Big Getaway.

  • Van's been talking.

  • It's also, but he's time last time at it, nations so slow that I can't believe pulled a sudden he's gonna run that amazingly faster in a championship environment and the big break away. 00:06:54.990 --> 00:07:4.910 He's a really nice, tight for the future, but again, I just don't see him always form good enough to win a Valium or So the market for me is absolutely on the button here. 00:07:5.110 --> 00:07:12.260 If they do stick with this race for N violin, then I think he's He's gonna be very difficult to pay.

  • But if he's getting, if he does get back, it'll be by sports and John and Tina's on each way better by trade.

  • I'd rather be back in here at 56 to 18 White and I would risking and voil and staying the trip on the ground at 74 for money trade, better by trade to another new.

  • Yeah, I agree with a lot of both what both of the guys have said, Really.

  • I mean, I I think if you're gonna lay something, you have to get into your mind that you're backing all the other horses.

  • Uh, if there are some of the other horses that you don't like or there's a lack of strength in the overall a bunch of other horses, then maybe laying is not the best way to approach it, you know, And he doesn't fancy the getaway, particularly at the prices. 00:08:0.790 --> 00:08:9.020 You know, there's a whole bunch of horses here that got targets for other races, you know, on Betfair right now. 00:08:9.370 --> 00:08:18.670 Uh, there's literally only the fire that the four kind of big name horses in the race, who anybody wants to bet less than 50 to work.

  • S O that told me that this race is gonna cut up.

  • Uh, you know, it could easily have less than eight runners.

  • I think if you want to oppose Envoy Island betting something each wiii one of those four or really one of those three is the way to do it.

  • And I think sporting Jonathan's like the obvious way I I think you should try generally in vetting to make bets that your bookmaker wouldn't really want you to.

  • Mike.

  • That's why you know, people talk about struggling to get on and whatever.

  • Most bookmakers not be too happy with you.

  • If you go and try and fix boring John each way.

  • So or he might say a good bet.

  • Hi, I have that thinking on now to the Chase in the second race on Wednesday on Champ is the current favor, at least with the bookies is a 2321 Manella Indo horse put up by Andy Eyes 7 to 2.

  • Currently, Copperhead all blue and old checker, but 9 to 2 is the best prices shortest.

  • 321 elsewhere.

  • Those that's a significant move a la ho at 11 to 2, that's what William Hill and then 12 to 1 bar.

  • So, really, for the top end of the market in the r s.

  • A really taking up most of the betting on most of the action here on the still sticking with Milena India.

  • Yeah, no real reason to change my views.

  • Or I actually think my opinion on him has been endorsed in the buildup to the racing fairness because I don't think it's a vintage hours.

  • I serving in numbers anyway, that's how I got the full decks.

  • But that doesn't appear to be too many dangerous floaters corner phrase. 00:09:57.440 --> 00:10:2.380 Um, I think, Yeah, that counted up here. 00:10:6.290 --> 00:10:7.320 You started it? 00:10:7.380 --> 00:10:8.180 Yeah.

  • Um, and they're pointed out.

  • If you are a liar that you want to be a also would I want to be backing certain horses or you are looking at the field Is a horse is potentially the bet on at this current moment in time, I think the biggest dangers, Father I could see, given the current conditions might well be Copperhead.

  • So think Champ could be, well, be once alike.

  • Even though Connection said that they mocked up last year, I should have run it.

  • Albert Violet, rather than the turnoff, might think she was a hell of a lot of spring myself.

  • He quickened up to get himself having uncompromising positions twice a season, of course, that he was gonna hit the deck when everything seemed to be rushing this guard until in extra rice in the Dipper, I almost done away.

  • That mistake came from, really?

  • So he's got a missed Heikkinen.

  • Um, on DDE. 00:10:58.860 --> 00:11:1.260 I think this race is well, it's it's nothing pointed. 00:11:1.260 --> 00:11:5.150 The best horse doesn't always win it, but what you want to be doing is back in the right horse to win it. 00:11:5.580 --> 00:11:7.160 The right horses that win this race. 00:11:7.170 --> 00:11:15.050 Our horses like Manila Riendeau, it would stay there, copper bottom stairs that got good mind and they jump solidly.

  • And he's also won the Albert Bartlett five of the last 10 winners of this race overall in the previous years, Albert Bartlett.

  • So you just feel a lot of the stats and profile like you're looking for from a traditional winning this race.

  • And, as I said, I think Copperhead on the back of his rental stand.

  • When when he grinded it out and jumped and traveled the best, I think he's the most likely Daniel.

  • He's got a touch of class.

  • Manila Endo.

  • So happy These classic run through of the day.

  • Yeah, one of a dozen.

  • Enough of the day, I think.

  • Turn.

  • Do you agree?

  • No, I if I was gonna have a bet on the race.

  • Copperhead, the prices, like, ebbed away.

  • But I think 92 is still fair each way. 00:11:56.060 --> 00:12:1.150 There's only 50 runners at the five day stage here and having a look at the bank, I think this could really cop. 00:12:1.600 --> 00:12:4.280 It wouldn't surprise me if there's a single single field. 00:12:5.300 --> 00:12:5.880 What? 00:12:6.030 --> 00:12:7.300 I'm just looking at it now. 00:12:7.310 --> 00:12:11.280 When I popped into the unit, Bet we'll have to say that.

  • Yeah, there, partner.

  • I popped in on the way back from doubling on.

  • I popped, and obviously Nikki was there, and the car was there on the panel there on dhe.

  • I asked about Ping before they went on there, and they said, Yes, we might run it, but they were a bit worried about the ground and they might wait for entry.

  • But they Pim hated the ground.

  • Apparently asked her last time behind carpet didn't run a race, a tool.

  • But if you go back to his earlier defeat off Imperial or Cheltenham, I think you could give him a decent shot in the figures.

  • And I'm actually a maid.

  • Is forties, all in with hills, which I wouldn't take said I think they might wait for entries.

  • But the Ferdi Frieda one known one another pin. 00:12:58.740 --> 00:13:2.490 We're free 65 each way Appeals greatly like so. 00:13:2.490 --> 00:13:10.260 If you go back, you know, he really finished off his race Well against Imperial War over the track on Aiken.

  • Definitely seeing filling The place is here.

  • We've got this champ I'd probably want to be against just on price grounds alone.

  • Miller and done.

  • And he's made a very good case that for he now thinks more likely to go to the Martian.

  • It's testing.

  • Hello.

  • We've already took.

  • We talked about him.

  • Slate house is another one that you could make an each way case for at his best at 16.

  • 12 for May.

  • If I was gonna have a bit in the race at the top end of the market be Copperhead.

  • But I would suggest that for the Frida one No one I know that pin is still there.

  • That would be the way I go.

  • That would be my main bet on the race and I'll be trying to get a little bit of that 30.

  • Freeze each where?

  • Just in case he does walk up, it might be a bit literally.

  • A bit too nothing.

  • You get your money back.

  • But Pima 30 freeze. 00:13:50.380 --> 00:14:3.750 Don't wanna bet the way the market is counting playing strange market 76 to 14 But the last trading price, Which is which is more relevant in an illiquid market. 00:14:4.160 --> 00:14:5.840 The wife or he's not great. 00:14:5.840 --> 00:14:8.200 It's a 1.2 night, nine points. 00:14:8.460 --> 00:14:10.620 That suggests to me that you practice the operation.

  • You suggested me.

  • You're on a live one anyway.