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  • SUIT AGAINST THE AVIATION, THE HELICOPTER COMPANY.

  • HELICOPTER COMPANY. >> YEP.

  • >> YEP. >> ALL RIGHT.

  • >> ALL RIGHT. WELL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT.

  • WELL TALK MORE ABOUT THAT. AHEAD OF TONIGHT’S DEBATE IN

  • AHEAD OF TONIGHT’S DEBATE IN SOUTH CAROLINA, THOUGH, AND FOUR

  • SOUTH CAROLINA, THOUGH, AND FOUR DAYS BEFORE THE PRIMARY THE

  • DAYS BEFORE THE PRIMARY THE LATEST NBC NEWS MARIST POLL

  • LATEST NBC NEWS MARIST POLL SHOWS JOE BIDEN WITH A NIR OHARR

  • SHOWS JOE BIDEN WITH A NIR OHARR LEAD OVER BERNIE SANDERS IN THAT

  • LEAD OVER BERNIE SANDERS IN THAT STATE.

  • STATE. BIDEN 23%, SANDERS, 26%.

  • BIDEN 23%, SANDERS, 26%. SIX-POINT MARGIN OF ERROR

  • SIX-POINT MARGIN OF ERROR FOLLOWED BY TOM STEYER WHOSES

  • FOLLOWED BY TOM STEYER WHOSES $20 MILLION IN AD SPENDING

  • $20 MILLION IN AD SPENDING POWERED HIM TO 15% IN THE STATE.

  • POWERED HIM TO 15% IN THE STATE. PETE BUTTIGIEG NOW AT 9%.

  • PETE BUTTIGIEG NOW AT 9%. ELIZABETH WARREN AT 8%, AMY

  • ELIZABETH WARREN AT 8%, AMY KLOBUCHAR, 5%.

  • KLOBUCHAR, 5%. >> ALL RIGHT.

  • >> ALL RIGHT. SO WELL GO THROUGH INSIDE OF

  • SO WELL GO THROUGH INSIDE OF THE POLL, BUT BEFORE WE DO THAT,

  • THE POLL, BUT BEFORE WE DO THAT, STEVE KORNACKI LOOKING AT THOSE

  • STEVE KORNACKI LOOKING AT THOSE NUMBERS.

  • NUMBERS. FOR ME THE BIG QUESTION MARK IS

  • FOR ME THE BIG QUESTION MARK IS TOM STEYER.

  • TOM STEYER. HE HAD BIG POLL NUMBERS IN

  • HE HAD BIG POLL NUMBERS IN NEVADA, BUT NEVER TRANSLATED TO

  • NEVADA, BUT NEVER TRANSLATED TO VOTES.

  • VOTES. NOT SURE IF IT’S GOING TO HAPPEN

  • NOT SURE IF IT’S GOING TO HAPPEN THERE.

  • THERE. THIS, OF COURSE, CAME ON THE

  • THIS, OF COURSE, CAME ON THE HEELS OF A PPP POLL A COUPLE

  • HEELS OF A PPP POLL A COUPLE HOURS EARLIER SHOWING JOE BIDEN

  • HOURS EARLIER SHOWING JOE BIDEN WITH ABOUT A 15-POINT LEAD.

  • WITH ABOUT A 15-POINT LEAD. WHAT ARE YOU LOOKING AT WHEN YOU

  • WHAT ARE YOU LOOKING AT WHEN YOU LOOK AT THESE POLLS?

  • LOOK AT THESE POLLS? >> YEAH.

  • >> YEAH. LOOK, THIS IS SUPPOSEDLY THE

  • LOOK, THIS IS SUPPOSEDLY THE BIDEN FIREWALL STATE.

  • BIDEN FIREWALL STATE. HOW MANY TIMES HAVE WE HEARD

  • HOW MANY TIMES HAVE WE HEARD THAT OVER THE LAST SIX MONTHS?

  • THAT OVER THE LAST SIX MONTHS? SEVE MARGINS THE LAST SIX MONTHS

  • SEVE MARGINS THE LAST SIX MONTHS BIGGER THAN FOUR POINTS BUT IT’S

  • BIGGER THAN FOUR POINTS BUT IT’S GOOD NEWS FOR HIM COMING OFF THE

  • GOOD NEWS FOR HIM COMING OFF THE PERFORMANCE HE’S HAD IN THE

  • PERFORMANCE HE’S HAD IN THE FIRST FOUR STATES TO BE LEADING

  • FIRST FOUR STATES TO BE LEADING IN A POLL LIKE THIS.

  • IN A POLL LIKE THIS. THE BLACK VOTE, MORE THAN HALF

  • THE BLACK VOTE, MORE THAN HALF THE ELECTORATE WILL BE

  • THE ELECTORATE WILL BE AFRICAN-AMERICAN ON SATURDAY.

  • AFRICAN-AMERICAN ON SATURDAY. HE WHO A 15-POINT ADVANTAGE

  • HE WHO A 15-POINT ADVANTAGE THERE OVER BERNIE SANDERS, BUT

  • THERE OVER BERNIE SANDERS, BUT REALLY WHAT JUMPS OUT AT ME IS

  • REALLY WHAT JUMPS OUT AT ME IS HALF OF THIS POLL WAS TAKEN

  • HALF OF THIS POLL WAS TAKEN BEFORE THAT DEBATE LAST WEEK.

  • BEFORE THAT DEBATE LAST WEEK. AND HALF OF THIS POLL WAS TAKEN

  • AND HALF OF THIS POLL WAS TAKEN AFTER THAT DEBATE LAST WEEK.

  • AFTER THAT DEBATE LAST WEEK. AND IN THE PRE-DEBATE HALF OF

  • AND IN THE PRE-DEBATE HALF OF THE POLL, BIDEN’S LEAD OVER

  • THE POLL, BIDEN’S LEAD OVER SANDERS WAS TEN POINTS.

  • SANDERS WAS TEN POINTS. IN THE POST-DEBATE HALF, DEAD

  • IN THE POST-DEBATE HALF, DEAD EVEN.

  • EVEN. TELLING YOU THE DEBATES REALLY

  • TELLING YOU THE DEBATES REALLY CAN MOVE NUMBERS.

  • CAN MOVE NUMBERS. NOT ONE OF THESE BIG EARLY

  • NOT ONE OF THESE BIG EARLY VOTING STATES LIKE IN NEVADA

  • VOTING STATES LIKE IN NEVADA WHERE ALL VOTES WERE CAST BEFORE

  • WHERE ALL VOTES WERE CAST BEFORE THE DEBATE.

  • THE DEBATE. THIS DEBATE TONIGHT CAN MATTER A

  • THIS DEBATE TONIGHT CAN MATTER A LOT.

  • LOT. >> WOW.

  • >> WOW. >> YEAH.

  • >> YEAH. SO LET’S MOVE ON AND LOOK AT --

  • SO LET’S MOVE ON AND LOOK AT -- GO AHEAD.

  • GO AHEAD. >> AMONG VOTERS IN, BLACK VOTERS

  • >> AMONG VOTERS IN, BLACK VOTERS IN SOUTH CAROLINA, BIDEN HAS

  • IN SOUTH CAROLINA, BIDEN HAS 35%.

  • 35%. SANDERS, 20%.

  • SANDERS, 20%. STEYER, 19% AND WARREN 7%.

  • STEYER, 19% AND WARREN 7%. NO ONE ELSE GOT ABOVE 4%.

  • NO ONE ELSE GOT ABOVE 4%. >> WILLIE, THIS REALLY IS,

  • >> WILLIE, THIS REALLY IS, AGAIN -- THIS IS WHY YOU HAVE

  • AGAIN -- THIS IS WHY YOU HAVE MAYOR PETE, WHO DID SO WELL IN

  • MAYOR PETE, WHO DID SO WELL IN THE FIRST FEW STATES NOW, OF

  • THE FIRST FEW STATES NOW, OF COURSE, STRUGGLING.

  • COURSE, STRUGGLING. HE’S GOING TO BE STRUGGLING OVER

  • HE’S GOING TO BE STRUGGLING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS TO SHOW

  • THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS TO SHOW THAT HE CAN BE VIABLE

  • THAT HE CAN BE VIABLE NATIONALLY, BECAUSE HE JUST

  • NATIONALLY, BECAUSE HE JUST STILL IS NOT ABLE TO GET VOTES

  • STILL IS NOT ABLE TO GET VOTES AMONG MANY BLACK SOUTH

  • AMONG MANY BLACK SOUTH CAROLINIANS AND BLACK DEMOCRATS.

  • CAROLINIANS AND BLACK DEMOCRATS. SAME WITH ELIZABETH WARREN.

  • SAME WITH ELIZABETH WARREN. DOWN AT I -- WHAT IS SHE?

  • DOWN AT I -- WHAT IS SHE? 7%.

  • 7%. >> YEP.

  • >> YEP. >> SO RIGHT NOW IT IS BERNIE AND

  • >> SO RIGHT NOW IT IS BERNIE AND BIDEN AND STEYER WHO ARE DOING

  • BIDEN AND STEYER WHO ARE DOING PRETTY WELL WITH THE BLACK VOTE.

  • PRETTY WELL WITH THE BLACK VOTE. >> THE ARGUMENT FOR PETE

  • >> THE ARGUMENT FOR PETE BUTTIGIEG WAY BACK WHEN WAS, IF

  • BUTTIGIEG WAY BACK WHEN WAS, IF HE WINS DOES WELL IN IOWA, IN

  • HE WINS DOES WELL IN IOWA, IN NEW HAMPSHIRE, THE PRAGMATIC

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE, THE PRAGMATIC VOTERS IN SOUTH CAROLINA WILL

  • VOTERS IN SOUTH CAROLINA WILL TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT HIM AND

  • TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT HIM AND HELL DO BETTER.

  • HELL DO BETTER. WELL, HE DID WIN IN IOWA IN

  • WELL, HE DID WIN IN IOWA IN TERMS OF PLEDGED DELEGATES AND

  • TERMS OF PLEDGED DELEGATES AND STILL FLATLINING AMONG

  • STILL FLATLINING AMONG AFRICAN-AMERICAN VOTERS.

  • AFRICAN-AMERICAN VOTERS. OBVIOUSLY, A HUGE PROBLEM FOR

  • OBVIOUSLY, A HUGE PROBLEM FOR HIMMANTS

  • HIMMANTS HIM.

  • HIM. >> AND THE PROGRESSIVE GROUP,

  • >> AND THE PROGRESSIVE GROUP, ALL CLUMPED TOGETHER NOT SO LONG

  • ALL CLUMPED TOGETHER NOT SO LONG AGO WITH WARREN AND BUTTIGIEG,

  • AGO WITH WARREN AND BUTTIGIEG, AND SANDERS, BUT SANDERS

  • AND SANDERS, BUT SANDERS ACTUALLY HAS SEEN HIS SUPPORT

  • ACTUALLY HAS SEEN HIS SUPPORT AMONG BLACK VOTERS SLOWLY RISE

  • AMONG BLACK VOTERS SLOWLY RISE UP.

  • UP. >> THAT’S -- YEAH.

  • >> THAT’S -- YEAH. >> AND THE MAKING ALL THE

  • >> AND THE MAKING ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD RIGHT

  • DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD RIGHT NOW.

  • NOW. >> THAT’S THE INTEREST THING.

  • >> THAT’S THE INTEREST THING. WILLIE MENTIONS PETE BUTTIGIEG.

  • WILLIE MENTIONS PETE BUTTIGIEG. NEVADA HAS A SIGNIFICANT BLACK

  • NEVADA HAS A SIGNIFICANT BLACK POPULATION.

  • POPULATION. ONE IN TEN VOTES IN THE CAUCUSES

  • ONE IN TEN VOTES IN THE CAUCUSES WERE AFRICAN-AMERICANS.

  • WERE AFRICAN-AMERICANS. BUTTIGIEG GOT 2%.

  • BUTTIGIEG GOT 2%. MONTHS OF TALK ABOUT IOWA AND

  • MONTHS OF TALK ABOUT IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE ROLLING IT INTO

  • NEW HAMPSHIRE ROLLING IT INTO BROADER SUPPORT, GOT 2% IN THE

  • BROADER SUPPORT, GOT 2% IN THE FIRST TEST OF IT.

  • FIRST TEST OF IT. SANDERS IS INTERESTING.

  • SANDERS IS INTERESTING. THINK BACK FOUR YEARS AGO AT

  • THINK BACK FOUR YEARS AGO AT THIS TIME.

  • THIS TIME. WON NEW HAMPSHIRE NARROWLY LOST

  • WON NEW HAMPSHIRE NARROWLY LOST IOWA AND THE QUESTION FOR

  • IOWA AND THE QUESTION FOR SANDERS FOUR YEARS AGO WAS,

  • SANDERS FOUR YEARS AGO WAS, COULD HE ATTRACT SIGNIFICANT

  • COULD HE ATTRACT SIGNIFICANT AFRICAN-AMERICAN SUPPORT AGAINST

  • AFRICAN-AMERICAN SUPPORT AGAINST HILLARY CLINTON?

  • HILLARY CLINTON? MAKE IT A GAME IN SOUTH

  • MAKE IT A GAME IN SOUTH CAROLINA?

  • CAROLINA? MAKE IS A GAME WITH BLACK VOTERS

  • MAKE IS A GAME WITH BLACK VOTERS THROUGHOUT THE SOUTH IN

  • THROUGHOUT THE SOUTH IN PARTICULAR?

  • PARTICULAR? SOUTH CAROLINA WAS THE TEST OF

  • SOUTH CAROLINA WAS THE TEST OF THAT FOUR YEARS AGO, AND AMONG

  • THAT FOUR YEARS AGO, AND AMONG BLACK VOTERS, IT WAS HILLARY

  • BLACK VOTERS, IT WAS HILLARY CLINTON 86% TO 14%.

  • CLINTON 86% TO 14%. LOST THE BLACK VOTE BY 72 POINTS

  • LOST THE BLACK VOTE BY 72 POINTS FOUR YEARS AGO AND IS DOWN IN

  • FOUR YEARS AGO AND IS DOWN IN THIS ONE BY 15, BUT AN

  • THIS ONE BY 15, BUT AN OPPORTUNITY FOR HIM TO

  • OPPORTUNITY FOR HIM TO POTENTIALLY WITH A GOOD DEBATE,

  • POTENTIALLY WITH A GOOD DEBATE, THIS POLL, TAKEN BEFORE THAT

  • THIS POLL, TAKEN BEFORE THAT RESULT FROM NEVADA.

  • RESULT FROM NEVADA. IF THERE IS SOME KIND OF

  • IF THERE IS SOME KIND OF BANDWAGON EFFECT COMES FROM HIM

SUIT AGAINST THE AVIATION, THE HELICOPTER COMPANY.

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    林宜悉 posted on 2020/03/04
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