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  • Hello friends

  • As on 5th February, 2020, due to the widely spreading corona virus all over the globe ,

  • more than 24,000 people have been infected

  • and more than 494 people have died

  • Is it really that dangerous? Do you really need to be afraid?

  • Or is the media making a mountain out of a molehill and creating an atmosphere of fear?

  • Come let us see

  • The first thing you need to understand is that Corona Virus is not the name of a single virus

  • The name Corona Virus has been assigned to a family of viruses

  • Should I tell you an interesting fact?

  • The common cold- the cough and cold that you catch during winters- that too, is a type of Corona Virus

  • In 2002-03, a SARS virus had become widespread, if you remember. That too, was a type of Corona Virus

  • And what is affecting the people right now is a new type of Corona Virus

  • There's a place in China called Wuhan

  • It was found there on 31st December, 2019

  • This new strain of Corona Virus has been named N-COV - Novel Corona Virus

  • Novel means new

  • This strain is so new that they could not even think of a name

  • So they named it Novel Corona Virus

  • The new Corona Virus looks somewhat like this

  • The original source of most of the Corona Viruses is mostly some animal

  • which affects a human and then later through human to human contact

  • and through human to human transmission, these corona viruses spread amongst humans

  • For example, in the case of SARS, the original source was a bat

  • MERS is another similar Corona Virus which spread in the Middle East during 2012-13

  • The original source of that was a camel

  • The exact original source of the new Corona Virus which has not yet been discovered

  • Some scientists suspect that the original source might be snakes

  • But some scientists believe that they might be bats again

  • because there are 96% similarities in the new corona virus as compared to the Corona Virus that came from bats

  • The symptoms of all these Corona Viruses are very similar to each other

  • For example, cough, cold, headache, fever, chills, sore throat-

  • All these happen to you even when you catch a cough and cold normally or when you catch a seasonal flu

  • And these are the symptoms of the New Corona Virus too

  • This is an unfortunate thing because due to this, it is very difficult to recognize

  • when you have contracted a normal seasonal flu and when you have contracted the New Corona Virus

  • When there are extreme cases of Corona Virus, then one may contract pneumonia too

  • But generally, the doctors have to perform a laboratory test to recognize whether it is a normal flu or

  • the New Corona Virus

  • The incubation period of the Novel Corona Virus is between 2-11 days

  • that is, if you are infected, it might take 11 days for the symptoms to show up

  • This basically means that in the last two weeks

  • if you haven't been to China or haven't been in touch with a Chinese person

  • and despite that you're showing these symptoms, then you have no cause to worry

  • This means that you have not contracted the Novel Corona Virus

  • How dangerous is this virus, actually?

  • How fatal is it for you?

  • In order to know this, I'd like to show you some facts

  • The total number of infected people until now are 24,579

  • Out of these, around 494 people have died

  • And 955 people have recovered after becoming infected

  • So looking at the total number infected people and the total number of deaths as a proportion,

  • then this comes out to be approximately 2%

  • This 2% is the mortality rate

  • Mortality rate means that incase you contract the infection or the Novel Corona Virus,

  • then what are the chances that you are going to die because of it?

  • 2% means that there is a 98% chance that you are not going to die because of it

  • but you will eventually recover

  • In fact, upon studying the cases until now, it has been found out that

  • most of the people that died due to the Novel corona Virus

  • already had weak immune systems due to some other reasons

  • Most of these people were elderly and old

  • or their immune system was already weak beforehand for example, a heart disease or any other problem

  • An interesting thing about viruses is that the virus that spreads more easily and is more contagious

  • in general, its mortality rate is automatically less

  • And the Viruses that have a higher mortality rate are less contagious

  • For example, ebola

  • The mortality rate of Ebola was 70%

  • That is if you contract Ebola, then there are 70% chances that you are going to die because of that

  • But only 3,000 cases were reported. So Ebola was not that contagious

  • On the other hand, take the example of common cold or chicken pox

  • Both of them are highly contagious

  • Both chicken pox and common cold spread very easily

  • But in case you contract it, then the mortality rate of common cold is 0.01%

  • So all of this can be represented on a graph

  • The mortality rate is plotted on the Y axis

  • and the contagiousness, that is, how easily it can spread is plotted on the x axis

  • Mortality rate is measured in percentage

  • and there is a number to measure contagiousness

  • This number means that one infected person will infect how many other people on an average

  • For example, look at the contagiousness number of common cold- it is 6

  • This means that if a person contracts common cold,

  • then on average, he will infect 6 more people

  • This is very high contagiousness

  • The contagiousness of chicken pox is even more- around 8.5

  • As for other examples, consider Swine flu. Its contagiousness and mortality rate both are very low

  • It has a contagiousness of a mere 1.5

  • and it has a mortality rate of a mere 0.2%

  • Consider rabies. Rabies does not spread very easily but in case you contract it,

  • and you do not get it treated in time,

  • then there are almost 100% chances that you might die because of this infection

  • The SARS of 2003 had a mortality rate of 10%

  • So it is being estimated that the mortality rate of the Novel Corona Virus will amount to around 2%

  • but enough data is not available in order to measure how contagious it is

  • So we cannot exactly say where it will be placed on the graph

  • A range has been designated that the Novel Corona Virus will fall within it

  • So by this, we can conclude that in comparison to the SARS, Ebola and MERS, the Novel Corona Virus

  • is less deadly because it mortality rate is lesser than all of these

  • but it might be more contagious than them

  • Because when SARS had become widespread,

  • then it had infected around 8000 people globally within 8 months

  • and this Novel Corona Virus has already infected 24-25,000 people-

  • three times more people have been infected

  • And unfortunately, a lower mortality rate does not mean that fewer people are going to die in total

  • For example, take the example of Spanish Flu

  • which happened in 1918-20, if you have read it in the history books

  • The mortality rate of this Spanish flu was merely 10%

  • But it became so contagious worldwide, or maybe the era that time was such that

  • it spread so easily that 500 million people got infected because of this Spanish flu

  • And since its mortality rate was 10%, upto 50 million people died because of this flu

  • despite its mortality rate being so low

  • The infection of the Novel Corona Virus spreads the same way that cough and cold spreads amongst people

  • If someone coughs or sneezes

  • then the bodily fluids of the infected person reach the other people

  • and they too, get infected

  • So the ways of prevention are the same as that of a common cold

  • World Health Organization recommends washing hands at the right time

  • and washing hands very frequently in the proper manner

  • Whenever you cough or sneeze, then make use of tissue papers and handkerchiefs

  • If they are not available, then you can make use of your elbow like this

  • so that the body droplets do not disperse wide and infect the rest of the people

  • This is valid for everything, by the way, not only for Corona Virus

  • If you have a cough or a cold or any other form of Corona Virus, then do not spread it to others

  • Surprisingly, the World Health Organization has said that masks are not very effective

  • in protecting you from the infection

  • So do not think that whenever you can go to a public place wearing a mask, then you would feel safe

  • It would not make much of a difference

  • They say that washing hands with soap is more effective in comparison to masks

  • And masks should be used only by those that are infected themselves

  • so that they do not spread their bodily fluids to others

  • So if you are suspected to be infected, then it would be proper to use a mask

  • A lot of treatment and cures have gone viral on social media to treat the Corona Virus

  • For example, a Whatsapp forward reads

  • Good news! Wuhan's Corona Virus can be cured by one bowl of freshly boiled garlic water

  • Old Chinese doctor has proven its efficiency. Many patients have also proven this to be effective

  • Consume garlic and treat your Corona Virus

  • Some state that consuming bleach will treat the Corona Virus

  • Some say that consuming organic oil will cure it

  • Our own government says that the Corona Virus can get cured by homeopathy and Ayurveda

  • A Hindu Mahasabha President says that consumption of Gaumutra and cowdung can cure the Corona Virus

  • The truth remains that all of these people are talking rubbish

  • Nobody has any cure available with them

  • As of now, no vaccine exists against the Corona Virus

  • Neither does any treatment exist

  • Only if your immune system is strong, then it can fight it and you can recover from it

  • The vaccine is currently under development

  • It has been estimated that it might take around an year to introduce its vaccine

  • When SARS broke out in 2002-03, then it took 20 months to introduce its vaccine

  • The governments across the world are working towards the containing the spread of this virus

  • And I feel that they have been successful to a large extent

  • because 99% of the cases of infection that we have seen, all of them are concentrated in China

  • And 90% of the cases in China too, are concentrated within just one region- Wuhan

  • China had quarantined the entire region to prevent anyone from going in or going out

  • 50 million people have been put in quarantine

  • And the rest of the world are trying to do the same

  • For example, Australia and Singapore have banned Chinese tourists

  • Russia, Mongolia and Nepal have sealed their borders with China

  • So in my opinion, the people living outside of China have nothing to worry about

  • Maintain precautions but do not panic

  • There has been so much of fear mongering by the media

  • an atmosphere of panic is being created almost as if the new virus is akin to a zombie apocalypse

  • It is not that big of a deal like I have shown you in this video

  • Presently, all of these things are concentrated within China

  • Economically, it might have a deleterious effect not only on China but also the world economy

  • It has been estimated that China might face a loss of upto 60 billion dollars due to this Novel Corona Virus

  • and the GDP growth rate might diminish by 1.5%

  • If you found this video to be informative and knowledgeable then share this video

  • with your friends and family for public awareness

  • And if you want to support my work then you can do so on Patreon.com/DhruvRathee

  • or by becoming a member on YouTube by clicking on the join button

  • so that I may continue to make such videos for you in the future

  • We will meet in the next video

  • Thank You

Hello friends

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