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  • Welcome to Trading Nation, I'm Michelle Caruso-Cabrera

  • let's take a look at Apple.

  • Because the stock is on track for its best week in over a year,

  • this after straight weeks of loses.

  • So, should investors trust this bounce?

  • Larry McDonald publishes The Bear Traps Report

  • and Phil Striegels is with RJO futures.

  • Phil, what do you think?

  • You know I'm not completely sold on Apple

  • if you look at the performance for the year

  • we're only up about 1% whereas the NASDAQ

  • the board index is up 5.

  • You know it's a tough game being a tactical trader,

  • picking one stock out.

  • You know Apple could face a lot of headwinds,

  • we do have that, you know potential suit that could go down

  • is the result of them lagging some of the phones out there.

  • It's just too much companies specific risk.

  • I think you'd be better of looking at the complete NASDAQ,

  • and looking at the entire market, the board diversification.

  • Larry, what do you think?

  • Well, keep in mind, Apple has one of the largest bond portfolios

  • on the planet Earth, I mean, Apple's bond portfolios is bigger than

  • many mutual funds, and you know rates have just

  • gone up on ten years, from 2% to near 3%.

  • So they've got some mark-to-market losses there

  • and the equity market cap is 900 billion dollars.

  • And the way trade Apple over the years is,

  • every like 18 months or so Apple goes on sale,

  • and literally in 2013 nobody wanted to buy this stock, nobody.

  • And it had like a 40% draw down because of

  • a transition in the business.

  • So you have to wait for that moment for Apple,

  • you can't chase Apple up at 900 billion dollars market cap

  • make no senses, it's screaming seller.

  • OK, and wait for much better entry point.

  • Gentlemen, thank so much. Our thanks to Larry and Phil.

Welcome to Trading Nation, I'm Michelle Caruso-Cabrera

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