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  • It's BREAKING NEWS on exactly what you were discussing.

  • The U.K. and the Brexit negotiations. United Kingdom, it is official to trigger Brexit on March 29th.

  • That's according to the Prime Minister Theresa May's spokesperson.

  • So put that in your diary, the official negotiations for the U.K.'s exit from the European Union will begin on March 29th.

  • The one I bring in the guest is about Mateos y Lago of BlackRock,

  • and of course David Kohl of Julius Baer, head of currency research, do very much with us.

  • David I want to begin with you, the Brexit negotiation said to officially begin next week,

  • sterling negative drivers, is this going to be one, even though we knew it was coming?

  • I agree, I mean I think they proceed and saw the Brexit negotiation actually starting is well-discounted in sterling.

  • We think the only thing which can drive sterling even lower and we think this will happen,

  • is actually that we see a reaction in terms of money flows into the U.K..

  • Remember we have very strong foreign direct investment flows into the U.K.,

  • which are financing a huge current account deficits around 5,6 percent.

  • They have not slowed yet, so there have been no reaction yet.

  • We think this will happen later in the negotiation process,

  • and this will be a renewed weakness for the pounds.

  • So far we think that all this talk about hard-brexit and soft-brexit and more hard-brexit actually,

  • negotiation of strategy of the U.K. government is prized in the depressed level of the currency

  • so for now rather neutral outlook in the shorter term and the negative in the longer term.

It's BREAKING NEWS on exactly what you were discussing.

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