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  • The Euro is enjoying a summer of love.

  • Back in June the clear risk was that the UK's vote to leave the EU

  • would end up hitting the Eurozone economy harder even than the UK's,

  • and the Euro more than Sterling.

  • That hasn't quite worked out.

  • While focus has been elsewhere on the pound's plunge, the dollar's mood swings and the Yen's stop and ascent.

  • the common currency has cranked out a very respectable rally.

  • One Euro now buys around 86 pence, not far off the levels it hit

  • when the UK really landed in hot water in 2008.

  • That's enough to leave British holidaymakers choking on their sangria in the sun.

  • The currency's rallied by some 18% against the pound so far this year,

  • and the Brixit-inspired drop against the dollar in June has now evaporated almost entirely.

  • Now we have fresh preliminary data on the state of Eurozone businesses in August,

  • and it looks surprisingly rosy.

  • The latest Purchasing Managers' Index is only slightly higher, but, a win's a win.

  • And economists were expecting a slump.

  • It seems Eurozone businesses are really taking the Brexit vote in their stride.

  • And the growth rates could blow away expectations.

  • This log of data has already led JP Morgan to rethink what it sees as the next steps

  • for the European Central Bank.

  • It has scrapped its call for another rate cut, and thinks the Central Bank

  • would put off any expansion or extension of its bond-buying program.

  • Now, of course, that may end up being an isolated view, and moreover, it's Jackson Hole Week,

  • there's every chance that the Fed could pull the rug from under the Euro's rally

  • by firing up the buck with fresh talk of rate rises before the year is out.

  • But for now, the Euro is basking in the sunshine.

The Euro is enjoying a summer of love.

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