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  • Here at the FT's Future of Europe Summit in London, Brexit is the big issue.

  • I'm here with Juergen Mier, the Chief Executive of Siemens in the UK,

  • and John Mills, chairman and founder of JML and deputy chairman of the Leave Campaign.

  • Um, well (you) you've both been taking partner session about the implications to the UK of a vote to leave the EU in the referendum in June.

  • Um, can I start with you, John?

  • Do you think that voters are getting the information that they need, um, before that referendum?

  • I think they're getting a cloud of assertions, some of which are well-founded, some of which aren't.

  • And I think there is a lot of confusion around.

  • In the end, I think, most voters are going to vote on how they feel, I think it's almost an emotional decision that they'll take.

  • I think it's largely going to be about control and cost, and a lot of these other really big issues that are going be difficult for a lot of people to get their heads around.

  • Juergen, do you think people are getting what they need?

  • What seems to be missing from the debate is just more facts, or at least opinions which are underpinned with facts.

  • So, you know, let me give you an example.

  • You know I hear a lot of the people who are on the Leave Campaign side saying,

  • "You know, it will be really easy to get a trade agreement if we Brexit."

  • Um, but the facts are, that nobody in the world has managed to do a reasonably-sized trade agreement in anyway near two years,

  • so to me that means there will be a huge amount of uncertainty, which is always bad for business.

  • I mean, one of the arguments that the Leave Campaign makes is precisely that,

  • that the UK will be in a better position to negotiate its own free trade deals both with Europe and with the rest of the world.

  • Um, why do you believe that's the case?

  • Well I think it cuts both ways. I mean I think the EU does have more clouts than the UK on its own.

  • On the other hand, the EU has had a lot of trouble negotiating deals because we're twenty eight different members all want something different,

  • it's been hard to get agreement on exactly what the deal should be.

  • And the EU has not got deals with China, or the United States, or India, or Australia,

  • and that shows that it is very tricky to get these deals together in if you're a very big organization.

  • What, um, I mean Siemens is obviously a very significant investor, particularly in manufacturing in the UK,

  • I mean, what will you do if we vote to leave? What will Siemens do?

  • Well, I've always said and in the debate today that, you know, to me this is not so much about the factories and the activities we (here) have here today.

  • You know, they will largely continue, we will serve the British market, exporting from those factories will no doubt be a little bit more difficult,

  • but the real issue here is, what I'd like to do, is to create more future investment, factories of the future, and that means you do R&D here in the UK.

  • And those sorts of things are going to be harder when we are outside of a European Union.

  • It's more likely that the research activities would be done in collaboration without Great Britain,

  • and if you're not in at the beginning, then the chances of you having a factory of the future are pretty small.

  • But the Remain Campaign paints a very doom-laden scenario for a post-Brexit UK.

  • I mean, you're not saying that Siemens will leave the UK, are you?

  • No no, that's what I'm saying. You know, we won't leave the UK, but I don't see any up side, you know,

  • and I'm not in business to carry on running a status-quo.

  • You know, we have been growing our workforce, our activity here in the UK consistently over the last 30 or 40 years.

  • There's a matter-of-fact longer than now.

  • We've been employing thousands more people.

  • We're recruiting a thousand people in Hull here in the United Kingdom right now,

  • and creating those sorts of investments are much easier as part of the European Union.

  • I mean, John, I know that you don't believe in the doomsday scenario if we vote to leave, um, I mean Juergen says he sees no up sides,

  • what for you, are to say, one or two of the biggest up sides of us voting to leave?

  • Well, we paid less into the European Union.

  • We're paying about 12 million pounds a year, billion pounds next possibly after taking in all the account, the values that come back in,

  • so I mean there are gains of that sort.

  • So I think the really big issue is whether the British economy is going to be more likely to grow, um, than if we're in the EU rather than outside.

  • And I would have thought that Siemens investment would depend very much on the assessment of that sort.

  • And I think that if there are liberal policies pursued by a post-Brexit government,

  • that the economy may well grow more rapidly than it would have done if we've stayed in.

  • The EU is not doing well economically and (we get) shackling ourselves to the EU, the slow-growth isn't the best solution.

  • Thank you both very much indeed for speaking to the FT today.

Here at the FT's Future of Europe Summit in London, Brexit is the big issue.

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