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  • Silicon Valley Bank is no more.

  • And in the last 24 hours, many founders, investors that I've talked to have been

  • desperately trying to get their money out.

  • Our banking system is in is in a fundamentally different place than it

  • was, you know, a decade ago.

  • Many economists are now asking if the Fed will hit pause on further rate

  • increases.

  • The question now, though, is whether the collapse of this tech friendly regional

  • bank is the start of something more serious, or just what happens when

  • higher interest rates give companies less room for error?

  • Silicon Valley Bank wasn't like other banks.

  • It dealt primarily with startups, tech companies and venture capital investors

  • who funded those kinds of businesses.

  • Not only does Silicon Valley Bank or Silicon Valley Bank provide services to

  • tech startups, they provided financial services to big tech, to venture capital

  • firms and even the individual GP's and high net worth individuals that often

  • made their money from tech would use Silicon Valley Bank in multiple ways.

  • Startups are a risky bet in the best of times, but when interest rates start

  • creeping up, they get even riskier.

  • Interest rates represent the cost of borrowing money, and fast growing tech

  • companies need to borrow a lot of money to keep growing and in some cases to

  • stay alive before their business models can start turning a profit.

  • And with the Fed hiking interest rates in order to fight inflation, that means

  • riskier areas of the financial system like crypto and tech, are prone to

  • getting hit the hardest.

  • This is really a story of an entire regional banking system that was in

  • peril. And the canary in the coal mine may have been Silicon Valley Bank.

  • And we're going to we're going to investigate.

  • There's going to be plenty of things that all of these banks did wrong.

  • But this parabolic move in rates.

  • Right. Really dismantled the hold to maturity portfolios of these banks.

  • Its startup clients needed cash to shore up their books because of high interest

  • rates. So they started withdrawing money at Silicon Valley Bank.

  • At the same time, Silicon Valley banks reserves were also vulnerable to

  • interest rates. The bank's reserves were mostly backed by US government

  • bonds that SVB bought when interest rates were much lower around one and one

  • half percent when.

  • Money came gushing in during the COVID crisis.

  • With all of the stimulus money, Silicon Valley Bank put a lot of that to work

  • and in what were at the time high yielding assets that averaged only 1.6

  • or 1.7% when the.

  • Fed began hiking interest rates to four and one half percent to fight rising

  • inflation, the value of those bonds took a big hit, and since SVB owned so

  • many of them, so did its balance sheet.

  • Things came to a head after the collapse of crypto focused Silvergate

  • Bank on Wednesday, March 8th.

  • High profile venture capitalists like Peter Thiel began telling people on

  • social media to take their money out of Silicon Valley Bank.

  • That kicked off a Twitter fueled bank run, forcing SVB's CEO to tell customers

  • to, quote, stay calm during an emergency call Thursday afternoon, the

  • same day SVB was forced to sell all the bonds it could at a $1.8 billion loss to

  • help cover the run on deposits.

  • Customers had withdrawn $42 billion from Silicon Valley Bank by Thursday

  • evening. The bank's balance sheet was deep in the red, a negative cash balance

  • of $958 Million.

  • The bank's stock nosedived until Friday morning.

  • Silicon Valley Bank was done for if a buyer didn't materialize.

  • And it didn't. Contagion was spreading.

  • Signature Bank was the next firm to go under.

  • Federal regulators quickly stepped in to make sure depositors could access

  • their money. Depositors at Silicon Valley Bank have up to $250,000 in

  • protection per account ownership category from coverage through the

  • Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or FDIC.

  • But because the clientele at Silicon Valley Bank weren't like regular bank

  • customers, they were venture capitalists or tech startups.

  • Many depositors had more than a quarter million dollars in deposits.

  • Many of these depositors, as with one of your earlier guests, are basically

  • running small and medium sized businesses.

  • They're they're startups with with a few dozen, maybe people on the payroll.

  • So we shouldn't think of these as all large and sophisticated.

  • Over the weekend, the US Treasury Department designated both Silicon

  • Valley Bank and Signature as systemic risks, allowing the government to come

  • up with a plan that fully protects all depositors.

  • Now, almost immediately, some criticized this move as another bailout

  • of the banks, just like in the financial crisis of 2008.

  • But unlike 2008, when taxpayers covered the bill to bail out bank giants like

  • Wells Fargo, JPMorgan and Citigroup by the billions, SVB is still closing and

  • taxpayers aren't on the hook for the cost to protect deposits.

  • No losses.

  • And this is an important point No losses will be borne by the taxpayers.

  • Wall Street will pay the bill instead.

  • The deposit insurance fund, which is funded through quarterly fees imposed on

  • FDIC backed banks, is covering SVB deposits.

  • At the same time, the Fed is offering new short term loans to banks to help

  • them fight off any contagion.

  • The large banks do not have a problem.

  • I mean, with all of the capital standards that they have been subjected

  • to since 08-09, they actually been too flush with deposits.

  • They don't want to make that many loans.

  • You're not going to see a smooth transition.

  • This will be very bumpy.

  • But within the year, to your point, I think these banks will obviously

  • maintain profitability and build up confidence in the system.

  • Now that contagion is what everyone is watching for now.

  • That's why other regional banks like First Republic Pac-west and UMB saw huge

  • losses on Wall Street as investors feared more bank runs alongside the new

  • lending program from the Fed and the deposit protection from the FDIC.

  • These banks are shoring up their reserves.

  • First Republic, for example, told CNBC it wasn't seeing that many deposits

  • leave, but it still received new liquidity from the Fed and Jp morgan.

  • Just to be safe.

  • Americans can have confidence that the banking system is safe.

  • Longer term regulators and the Biden administration are already talking about

  • stronger regulations to prevent another SVB.

  • Now, at the same time, The Wall Street Journal reports that SVB faces

  • preliminary investigations from the SEC and the Justice Department to find out

  • what went wrong at Tech's favorite bank.

  • And the one.

  • Thing you can count on, Andrew, we're going to see a lot of criminal

  • allegations with regard to the management of both banks.

Silicon Valley Bank is no more.

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