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  • Never before in human history have we been richer, more advanced or powerful.

  • And yet we feel overwhelmed in the face of rapid climate change.

  • It seems simple on the surface.

  • Greenhouse gases trap energy from the Sun and transfer it to our atmosphere.

  • This leads to warmer winters, harsher summers.

  • Dry places become drier and wet places wetter.

  • Countless ecosystems will die while the rising oceans swallow coasts and the cities we build

  • on them.

  • So why don't we just likeprevent all of that?

  • Well, it's complicated.

  • The public debate about stopping rapid climate change often focuses on a few key features,

  • like coal plants, cars or burping cows.

  • And so the solutions are often simplisticrows of solar panels, biking to work,

  • something something sustainability.

  • And a huge talking point is personal responsibility.

  • How YOU should change your lifestyle to prevent rapid climate change, which we will find out

  • together in the next few minutes.

  • This is one of those videos where we want to encourage you to watch to the end, because

  • to discuss real doable solutions, we first need to understand

  • the problem.

  • A Fuller Picture

  • Modern industrial society as we constructed it in the last 150 years, is inherently destructive

  • to the planet.

  • Basically everything we do to make our lives easier, safer and more comfortable is making

  • things worse for the biosphere.

  • The food we eat, the streets we walk on, the clothes we wear, the gadgets we use, the way

  • we move around and the pleasant temperatures we artificially create around us.

  • While most people know about the serious impact of energy, beef, cars and planes, many major

  • polluters are barely ever talked about.

  • The emissions leaking out of landfills are as significant as the emissions of all the

  • jets in the air.

  • More CO2 is released to run our homes than from all cars combined.

  • And the emissions produced when making a new car is equivalent to building just two metres

  • of road.

  • So it is nice to switch to electric cars but they won't solve anything if we keep building

  • roads the same way.

  • Fixing one small part of the industrial system is not enough.

  • Each of the many different parts needs its own solution and many of them aren't straight

  • forward.

  • But even where we know what to do, just because a solution exists doesn't mean we are able

  • or willing to implement it.

  • There are many gray areas in the fight against rapid climate change, the most prominent one

  • is the divide between rich and poor.

  • Emissions vs poverty

  • There is a clear connection between the prosperity of a nation and its carbon emissions.

  • In other words, richer people tend to cause more emissions.

  • So the key to fixing climate change is simply for the world's richest to cut back on their

  • extravagant lifestyles right?

  • While this would help, it wouldn't make the problem go away.

  • This is because 63% of global emissions come from low to middle income countries.

  • Countries where most people are not living extravagantly but are trying to escape poverty

  • at worst, and achieve a comfortable lifestyle at best.

  • The unfortunate reality is that, currently, escaping poverty and becoming middle class

  • creates unavoidable emissions.

  • So asking developing countries to cut emissions just looks like an attempt to keep them down.

  • It is very hard to argue that a region should protect their primeval forests and spend money

  • on solar panels instead of burning wood, when it can't meet basic needs for significant

  • parts of its population.

  • So, cutting back is not a popular demand, especially if the countries making these demands

  • got rich by causing environmental damage in the past.

  • For billions of people, more emissions are a good thing personally.

  • When we forget about this, we tend to propose unworkable solutions.

  • Take concrete.

  • 8% of CO2 emissions are released by the concrete manufacturing industry.

  • Ok cool, stop using concrete, right?

  • But right now, concrete is also a cheap and easy way for growing populations in developing

  • countries to build affordable housing.

  • And there are many examples like that.

  • Even rich countries aren't immune from disagreeing about rapid climate change solutions.

  • Banning coal, gas and oil from the energy mix is slowed down by heated discussions about

  • what should replace them.

  • Citizens can be strictly against nuclear power but also oppose wind or solar infrastructure

  • in their backyards.

  • In principle all of these issues can be overcomebut there are things we don't currently

  • know how to overcome.

  • The most problematic one is food.

  • Emit or Die

  • We will soon need to feed 10 billion people, and we don't know how to do that without

  • emitting greenhouse gases.

  • Because of the nature of modern food production that requires fertilizers or manure, it is

  • impossible to have zero-emissions food.

  • Rice alone emits so much methane each year that it practically equals the emissions of

  • all the air traffic in the world.

  • What's worse is that the foods we like the most emit the most.

  • 57% of food emissions come from animal-based foods, although they make up only 18% of the

  • world's calories, and 37% of its protein.

  • And as people across the world grow richer, they want more meat.

  • Traditional diets in most cultures were primarily plant based with a little meat on top.

  • But with the rise of industrial style meat production and factory farming, meat has become

  • a staple food; a regular indulgence in developed countries and a symbol of status and wealth

  • in developing countries.

  • Today about 40 percent of the world's habitable land is used for meat production in some form

  • or another, the size of North and South America combined.

  • This is land on which we could otherwise allow native ecosystems to regrow, like forests

  • in the Amazon, and suck carbon out of the atmosphere, but instead most of it is used

  • to feed animals.

  • The available solutions are uniquely able to make everybody on the political spectrum,

  • rich or poor, unhappy.

  • Meat is highly emotional and there are a lot of whataboutism arguments floating around,

  • like comparing it to the worst sources of emissions.

  • In the end it is pretty simple: eating less meat alone won't stop climate change, but

  • we also can't stop climate change without eating less meat.

  • The same holds true for other things that are less crucial to our survival but frankly

  • not realistic to make go away.

  • Like air travel, oversea shipping, mining and the production of devices that play youtube

  • videos.

  • So what does this mean?

  • Do we need to give up our way of life and can the poor never achieve it?

  • Can't some technology save us so we can continue to drive our big cars and eat meat

  • every day?

  • Solutions vs Expenses

  • In principle, this technology already exists: Direct Air Capture of CO2 draws carbon dioxide

  • from the air so that it can be stored underground or transformed into products.

  • So why aren't we implementing it in every industry, everywhere?

  • Because with the technology we have right now, this would cost some ten trillion dollars

  • per year, or half the United States' GDP.

  • This money has to come from somewhere and currently no-one is offering it.

  • Just dumping these costs on massive polluters like steel mills and coal power stations would

  • double the cost of their productsand so these industries that operate on very tight

  • profit margins would go bankrupt.

  • Getting the government to pay for it seems logical but a lot of state resources are actually

  • tied up doing the opposite, like subsidizing oil and gas.

  • Which seems counter intuitive but follows clear incentives.

  • By artificially keeping fuel prices low, shipping and everyday goods are kept artificially cheap

  • too.

  • Which has a major social impact on billions of people around the world.

  • That creates political lobbies and incentives that perpetuate this cycle that makes it so

  • hard to cut off fossil fuel production.

  • Meanwhile, very costly solutions for a far-off problem like carbon capture seem like they

  • can wait, as technically nobody benefits from it right now.

  • Some argue that a move away from capitalism is the only solution to this mess, others

  • insist that markets should be even freer, without any interventions like subsidies and

  • some suggest that we need what's referred to asdegrowthand to cut back as a

  • species overall.

  • But the truth is at least as of now, no political system is doing an impressive job at becoming

  • truly sustainable and none have really done so in the past.

  • We also don't have the time to figure this out and do a lot of experiments.

  • We must implement solutions now.

  • Not just to halt the release of all possible greenhouse gases, but also to start reducing

  • the amount of CO2 in the air.

  • It's too late to just mend our ways, we have to actively correct our past mistakes.

  • With every year we waste, more extreme changes will be unavoidable.

  • Ok.

  • Let's take a deep breath.

  • Rapid climate change and the world we live in are complicated.

  • So here is where YOU, dear viewer, come in again.

  • Could YOU please fix the climate?

  • A narrative of our time is that we are all responsible for rapid climate change.

  • That everyone needs to play their part.

  • Why don't you buy a new electric car?

  • Why don't you replace your gas stove with an electric one?

  • How about you double glaze your windows, stop eating meat and switch off your lights?

  • Shifting responsibility from the largest carbon emitters to the average person, you, is much

  • easier to do than solving problems.

  • There's an extra bonus if solving rapid climate change sells a new product.

  • If you don't have the money or time for these things, you should feel bad.

  • It's an effective message because it is true.

  • The quickest way to cut CO2 emissions would be if all rich populations on Earth drastically

  • changed their lifestyles and if the people on the rise would not seek to achieve it.

  • Favouring the climate over comfort and wealth.

  • If you are able to watch this video, this includes you.

  • But we've just witnessed a global experiment in staying at home, not using transport and

  • consuming less during the coronavirus pandemic.

  • And all it did was reduce CO2 emissions by 7% for 2020.

  • Asking average people to solve rapid climate change breaks down when we look at the scale

  • of the problem.

  • Personal contributions toward reducing greenhouse gas emissions are nice, but they are dwarfed

  • by the systemic reality of global emissions.

  • The concept of your personal carbon footprint was popularized by the oil producer BP in

  • a 2005 ad campaign.

  • Arguably one of the most effective and sinister pieces of propaganda that still seriously

  • distracts all of us from the reality of the situation.

  • If you eliminated 100% of your emissions for the rest of your life, you would save one

  • second's worth of emissions from the global energy sector.

  • Even the most motivated person can't even make a tiny dent.

  • When we put together the dangers of rapid climate change, the scale of emissions and

  • the lack of consensus over how to solve it, the challenge seems insurmountable.

  • It can cause decision fatigue and moral licensing, where you no longer feel bad about behaving

  • in a counter productive way.

  • We have struggled a long time with this, which is why this video took us so long to make.

  • So.

  • What can you actually do?

  • There are many different takes and they are passionately discussed.

  • We don't know who is right, so we can only offer you the Kurzgesagt perspective and opinion.

  • Opinion Part: What can you ACTUALLY do?

  • We need a different way to think and talk about rapid climate change.

  • An all-encompassing systemic approach, nothing less than changing the fundamentals of our

  • modern industrial societies.

  • As discussed in frustrating length, the personal responsibility angle is overplayed.

  • For systemic changes in technology, politics and the economy of this magnitude, we need

  • to influence the people at the levers.

  • Politicians need to know and feel strongly that the people care, that their own success

  • depends on tackling rapid climate change.

  • When governments and local politicians are reluctant to change laws that affect their

  • biggest tax contributors or campaign donors, we need to vote them out and vote in people

  • who respect science.

  • We need to hold them accountable for implementing the most effective climate change strategies.

  • Not waste our time with things like banning plastic straws but by moving the big levers:

  • Food, transportation and energy while not forgetting the smaller ones like cement or

  • construction.

  • When industries fight against changing their ways, for fear of losses or in an honest attempt

  • to protect their own, we need politicians to change the laws and incentivise the deployment

  • of existing technologies and massively invest in innovation for the fields where we don't

  • have great solutions yet.

  • There is no reason that the profit interests of industries could not match the need to

  • reduce carbon emissions as much as possible.

  • And if they still don't cooperate harsh punishments and regulation need to force or

  • bankrupt them.

  • It's still unrealistic that change of that scope can be forced onto a worldwide economy

  • quickly enough, because many low carbon technologies still need a lot of time and researchwhich

  • means they are expensive.

  • But more companies will make more efficient carbon capture systems, tasty meat alternatives,

  • better batteries, cement alternatives and so on, if there is a clear and growing demand.

  • And if you are affluent enough, you can do your part by investing in these things right

  • now while they're still expensive.

  • These are the mechanisms that will drive the prices down later on.

  • So this is basically what you can do.

  • Vote at the ballot, vote with your wallet.

  • There are too many opposing interests and complicated grey zones.

  • In the end if we truly get the systemic change we need, everybody will be unhappy about some

  • aspect of it.

  • Only if we all accept that some solutions will have negative impacts for us, can we

  • have an honest conversation and make progress.

  • Everybody will be a little unhappy.

  • And that is ok.

  • This is the best you can do.

  • You can deal with the reality of the situation and promote your priorities through your behaviour

  • and your actions.

  • And while you do so, you can eat less meat, fly less or get an electric car.

  • Not because you should feel guilty if you don't or because you naively believe that

  • you alone can stop rapid climate changebut to do your tiny, tiny part for the systemic

  • change we need.

  • This video was supported by Gates Notes, the personal blog of Bill Gates, where he writes

  • about global health, climate change, and more.

  • Check out gatesnotes.com to learn more about ways the world can work together to reach

  • zero greenhouse gas emissions, or use the link below.

  • And in the spirit of transparency, if you want to learn more about how we handle Sponsorships

  • like this one, we also have a medium article describing how we do it.

Never before in human history have we been richer, more advanced or powerful.

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