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  • Hi everybody

  • So this is a weird talk

  • I like that

  • Yeah, it's not going to give you any actionable insights into your business

  • Not predicting anything concrete for the future and there's also a bit offensive

  • Hope everybody's okay with that. If you're the type who gets offended by ideas, I would leave now

  • Don't worry the next slides not offensive see I like a little bit of time to leave so

  • If you could all this also, I'm not that much of a visual content producer you saw my first slide

  • So this this is going to require a bit of an active imagination and

  • We are all here together going on a journey. And for this talk to work you guys really need to

  • It's very easy to view these things as applying to the other. It's harder to see them as applying to you

  • Um, maybe another word that historically has been used. This is a bit of a religious talk

  • It's faith

  • now I

  • May be this word gets a bad rap, maybe faith usually is accepting things that aren't true or provably false

  • But you just have to accept them on faith and that's charlatanism

  • when I talk about faith, what I talk about is

  • Things that aren't provably true or false, um, and I can make arguments

  • But there is no concrete proof in any of this talk if I had concrete proof. I wouldn't tell you guys

  • They also might be watching

  • Like really

  • Ah, so just you know

  • Rose basilisk, I don't know if they'll reward you for this or punish you for this but they might be they might be watching right?

  • Just as if you're in the kernel it's easy for you to watch the memory of any user space process

  • to the years 2011

  • I got sued by Sony

  • Being in a lawsuit is a really trying experience. I had a panic attack. That's real scary

  • But you know, how do you deal with this kind of stuff? Right? I've made a rap song yelling at Sony

  • And then kind of you know attempt to prove that I

  • wasn't like

  • An unemployable outcast. I got a job at Facebook. I

  • Quit that job

  • They tell you they tell you the second day I'm at Facebook

  • They tell you that the truth, you know Google's all about. We're trying to organize the world's information

  • The second day. Are there a real slick marketing guy dressed in a suit?

  • This is back before Google went kind of the way they did now

  • Google still was kind of tech utopian a facebook says here's number of minutes. The world has spent on Facebook

  • It's your job as an engineer here to get this number to go up. This is 2011

  • So it's the end of 2011 and I'm at the movies

  • But I'm at a movie theater

  • And everyone's heard this simulation hypothesis. So I'll go through it quickly

  • Just in case you haven't and maybe because some of the arguments are kind of wishy-washy

  • So here we are on earth, and we've created a lot of worlds

  • you may argue that these worlds are not that complex, but

  • They are

  • worlds in and of themselves and

  • We did create them. So if you were

  • inside one of those worlds

  • It would be right for you to believe this simulation hypothesis

  • if you're Mario inside of Super Mario 64 the correct hypothesis to believe is the simulation hypothesis that you're a

  • simulation created by a higher world

  • So we can make this graph and put this down here and

  • Our world is likely a simulation created by no use the word. God. I

  • Think it's a good word for for our Creator. It's what?

  • They've been called historically and it stands to reason that they also probably created a bunch of other worlds

  • Now don't think of God as

  • Some mystical wizard one could even paint it like looks like Gandalf, right?

  • you don't think of God as a wizard think of God as a computer programmer because that's probably

  • Much more likely who created the worlds in our world computer programmers. So what is God God's probably computer programmer

  • I'm so the simulation hypothesis goes on to say there's this probably a big tree a God probably is not the root node

  • And so

  • What are the odds that wear this one?

  • Well, it seems pretty low. I don't know. Maybe there's like 40 nodes up on that thing. It looks like one in 40

  • It's probably actually a lot more nodes

  • You can draw a much bigger tree, but I can go kind of lose its effect on the slide

  • So yeah odds are we're in a simulation that's the simulation hypothesis 101, so I'm at the movies

  • I'm walking up to the ticket counter

  • 2011 was it was a rough year. I took something Jeff we could take kratom. It's good. I know it's kind of shitty but

  • I'm standing there. I'm walking up to the ticket counter

  • And this comes back to what I said before

  • It's when I first really realized that the simulation hypothesis applies to me

  • This isn't some

  • Hypothetical weird game that's being played here. This is actually my life that's being spoken about I am actually

  • in a simulation and so are you

  • I was raised atheist

  • probably most you all work -

  • I'm not gonna ask that as a poll question, but I

  • Was told about the big bang right your fool if you believe in creationism that the world was created

  • 6,000 years ago by uh by a God and I mean this is kind of probably pretty foolish

  • But then you're told this alternative thing. You're told about the Big Bang and the Big Bang is what created the universe

  • What created the Big Bang

  • This doesn't answer any questions

  • It's one of these I think eliezer yudkowsky talks about them was like like stopping points

  • Right if you'll ask a religious person

  • well what created the world god and you ask them what created God all they're like God always is it always will be so maybe

  • What created the Big Bang?

  • Well quantum fluctuations in the time space. Okay, what created that?

  • Right. This is not an answer

  • um

  • Look at this guy

  • For me fuck them Stormwind

  • His name right? I don't know. It's been a while. So that flights guy. I

  • Think he's an atheist

  • Well, if he was an atheist he'd be an idiot just these are his gods

  • So scarran development team

  • Has it occurred to everyone in here who's an atheist that you actually may be wrong

  • All right, the arrogance the arrogance of atheists that's insane it's absolutely insane, um

  • Take a little aside here

  • These are the some physics equations, right? So if you believe that our universe is simulate a ball

  • I think you can go to the church Turing thesis and I think there's like a church Turing

  • Some guy extended the thesis to said all physical processes are simulated by a Turing machine

  • And if you believe this you can compute a Turing machine on paper

  • Right, you're writing out all the equations

  • carefully for the universe

  • What do those equations look like when they're simulating a person screaming?

  • This guy

  • Really you really see the similarities

  • You are in a video game

  • Go back to what I said at the beginning of the talk this talk is gonna require

  • Imagination and faith, and I want you to take a minute

  • About a whole minute a minutes actually a really long time

  • but take a little bit of time and really think that

  • Maybe you are

  • They really might be watching this right now

  • It's unlikely. It's unlikely that they're actually watching it. Probably I mean think about if you had built like a big MMORPG, right?

  • it's unlikely that the game creators are actually zoomed into your

  • individual tile right now

  • Are you sure that's not what happens to you when you die

  • But really

  • You know again, I was raised atheist and

  • You you dismissed the notion of the afterlife and you dismissed the notion of heaven is like almost a childish

  • fantasy

  • but

  • Why is this not true

  • Like why is this if let's say let's even say let's even go a little more earthly here

  • Let's say that future me is bored

  • and like I

  • Self a videogame. I don't want to enjoy the game, right?

  • I mean if you really want to enjoy games in the future you're gonna need to

  • selectively mute

  • Certain parts of the memory clearly. That's what happened there. Right? So maybe uh,

  • maybe these were the greatest years of my life and

  • In the future. I create a video game so I can replay them

  • And that's where I am right now

  • Now, I'm not sure about this. I'm not willing to die to find out but

  • How do you know?

  • It's easy to dismiss this it's easy to just be like no no. No, I've been set in my ways for many many years, but

  • There's no real proof or evidence that this isn't true

  • Let's talk about a little story and they don't go the parable of a caged Tiger. It's about a tiger in a zoo

  • Um, but it's a nice - it's not like a sad zoo where we put the tiger in a small cage. It's not like that

  • It's a nice zoo, and the tiger is a in a beautiful lush meadow

  • With plenty of room to roam and in his youth he does room

  • he roams from the

  • fake wall on one side

  • To the fake trench on the other side

  • And he knows intellectually the Tigers are in zoos

  • And the zoos

  • Keep Tigers and cages

  • But he says no evidence for this cage

  • Remember, he's a tiger he only has a tiger brain

  • And when he

  • Walks around he doesn't seem to think anything. He can't seem to find any evidence. So

  • He goes on and Hunt says a tiger

  • Has a nice tiger family

  • Nice tiger feather it dies a nice tiger death

  • Bothered by the fact that he's in a cage

  • And I've come to you we were human

  • You live your nice human life

  • Maybe you haven't been to space but you've heard that humans have been there

  • You haven't been to the bottom of the ocean, but you heard James Cameron's been there

  • So you're you're pretty confident that you're not in a cage?

  • well, but so is the tiger and

  • What the tiger doesn't see is the zookeeper

  • You

  • The zookeeper is so much smarter than the tiger and

  • I think this is an idea that is finally starting to be accepted

  • like if you think of yourself as an intelligent agent, um, even the dumbest humans are