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  • England's four week locked down could last longer than its scheduled end date of December.

  • The second.

  • The Cabinet minister, Michael Gove, said ministers will be guided by the facts and that the government wanted to get the coronavirus reproduction rate below the critical level of one.

  • The new measures, which come into force on Thursday, include the requirement to stay at home only leaving for specific reasons such as work or education.

  • Outdoor exercises encouraged.

  • But you can only meet up to exercise with one person outside your household.

  • There's no household mixing indoors or in private gardens and less part of a support bubble.

  • Aunt pubs restaurants are non essential.

  • Shops will have to close.

  • We'll have more on all the measures and their implications shortly.

  • But first, here's our political correspondent, Jonathan Blake.

  • A round of golf While it's still allowed here in heart future, only the minimum restrictions are currently in place.

  • But like the rest of England, people are now preparing for a new national locked down.

  • I think it's frustrating here because the cases aren't that bad and we have all bean you know, following the rules that we were given.

  • So while people may not agree with it.

  • We've got to stick with it so it's a bit frustrating, yes, but rules the rules.

  • The lock down is due to last until the second of December, but a senior government minister said that was a hope, not a guarantee and left open the option of restrictions staying in place for longer.

  • If we ensure that all the steps that we're taking now are taken appropriately will have an opportunity in advance off December 2nd to review the progress that we're making on in advance of December the second we can then communicate to those areas where some restrictions may be required, what they will be on also other areas where we've managed to beat back the virus.

  • We can explain where liberties could be restored.

  • Labor say they'll support the plan, but their leader is adamant it should have happened sooner if what they announced yesterday had been announced.

  • When I said it should have been two or three weeks ago, we could have had the lock down on school shut because of the natural break of halftime on bond people.

  • People will be waking up this morning and thinking how Earth did it get to this.

  • The government has to keep its side of the bargain here because if they don't use this time to fix, test, trace and isolate, then I think the second of December will be a review date, not an end date.

  • With Labor's support, the national lock down is likely to pass a vote in Parliament later this week, but some conservatives are dead against it.

  • The senior Tory backbencher, Sir Graham Brady, has told the BBC.

  • This repetitive cycle of lockdowns is immensely damaging to people's livelihood and causing a huge toll.

  • He and others are unlikely to be able to stop the government's plans, but they are speaking out in the strongest terms.

  • That's concerned, too, about where the lock down leads.

  • One scientist advising the government said a return to regional restrictions is unrealistic.

  • What mustn't happen is whenever that day comes second of December or a little bit later that suddenly the world goes back to normal, it's not going to go back to normal immediately.

  • I think it will be a least what is currently called here three or tier tier three plus across the country.

  • I don't think it makes sense to go back into regional variation in the restrictions that air in place immediately after this set of more draconian measures are lifted in Scotland, a new five tier system of regional restrictions comes into force tomorrow.

  • Wales is midway through a month long firebreak locked down and slightly looser restrictions are in place across Northern Ireland.

  • Police set up to 700 people attended this illegal rave near Bristol last night, openly breaking the rules already in place.

  • But this week will bring new limitations for everyone in England as the government's last resort becomes a reality.

  • Jonathan Blake, BBC News I'm joined by our deputy political editor, Vicky Young Vicky, a busy last 24 hours in a busy week ahead.

  • Well, yes, and you think about the foreign secretary.

  • Seems like a long time ago that he was on the TV saying that it would be desperately unfair to go for a national lock down.

  • Well, that was just two days ago, and it does show how suddenly the government abandoned this local approach and has gone for what Boris Johnson called the nuclear option.

  • Now politically, this is extremely problematic for him.

  • Partly the warnings were there from the scientists quite some time ago on.

  • Of course, the Labor leader called for just this kind of approach.

  • But he's also got a problem with some of his own MPs.

  • The prime minister has to go to Parliament at least twice this week asking for their support.

  • Some of them, as we've heard extremely unhappy about all of this on Libertarian grounds, one senior MP calling it something like a totalitarian state.

  • They're also worried about an exit strategy.

  • And so what?

  • Michael Gove that said there is not going to help the idea that it's a hope that'll this ends on the second of December and lots of people fearing that for many millions, maybe in England it could go on for a lot longer than that.

  • But there is another concern on that's about the decision making in Downing Street the way that this really important decision tumbled out in quite a chaotic way.

  • They're worried that makes it look like they are incompetent.

  • As one minister put it to me, he said.

  • We all know that the virus is hard to control, but the government has to be able to control its own message at this time, Vicky, Thank you very much.

  • The latest government figures show there were 23,254 new coronavirus infections recorded in the latest 24 hour period.

  • That means that the average number of new cases reported per day in the last week is now 23,000 and 16.

  • 162 deaths were reported.

  • That's people who died within 28 days of a positive co vid 19 test.

  • It means on average, In the past week, 260 deaths were announced every day.

  • It takes the total number of deaths so far across the UK to 46,717.

  • This latest lock down has been prompted by the recent rises in infection race.

  • But what are the other key indicators which would allow restrictions to be eased?

  • Is our health correspondent Lauren Moss.

  • From Thursday, the message in England will once again be stay home to save lives.

  • Non essential shops and hospitality will close.

  • Schools and universities will stay open.

  • The prime minister has said the measures are to prevent a medical disaster of the NHS being overwhelmed.

  • Well, I think the prime minister had no choice but to act on very clear evidence that the trajectory off hospital admissions demand of the health service was such that we just would have bean overwhelmed in the coming weeks to the point that it wouldn't just be a case of not managing the surge in patients with covert.

  • But actually, NHS would not have been able to provide services to large numbers of non coated patients.

  • There are more than 9000 people with co vid in English hospitals.

  • Some, including those in Liverpool, Lancashire on Nottingham, share a treating more coronavirus patients now than during the peak.

  • In the first wave.

  • Getting the reproduction number of the virus below one is crucial.

  • Anything above that means it's spreading.

  • In September, scientists looked at the effect different interventions could have on the our number, which is thought to be around 12 at the minute.

  • Ah, full lock down like we had in March that included schools closing would have the biggest impact is thought.

  • The measures introduced in the spring reduced the are by around 75%.

  • They estimated closing pubs, restaurants, bars and cafes would have a moderate impact on transmission.

  • Bringing are down by around North 0.1 to North Point, too, and they also considered the closure of non essential retail and found that on its own this would have a minimal impact.

  • There is a level of uncertainty around these figures, and they're based on data before cases reached the severity they're at now.

  • But it's hoped the measures being introduced will bring that our number down lock down isn't a long term solution, though.

  • You have to use it as an opportunity to improve the test tracing isolation and that that is a that is an exit strategy.

  • Until we get mass testing up and running with fast turnarounds, it's the fast turnaround.

  • There's no use having a system that waits five days for a test.

  • Results come because you can't get ahead off the virus.

  • The prime minister has promised that a roll out of rapid testing, which will give results within 15 minutes, is imminent.

  • Care has also advanced since March.

  • The sickest patients can now be treated with the steroid Dexter Method Zone, and some Nightingale hospitals are on standby.

  • Many hopes are pinned on a vaccine, with scientists predicting positive results by the end of the year.

  • Until then, reducing the spread of the virus and limiting its effect are the only ways of indicating how long this latest lock down will last.

England's four week locked down could last longer than its scheduled end date of December.

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England lockdown “may last longer than 4 weeks” says government - BBC News

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    林宜悉 posted on 2020/11/02
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