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  • Africa's Sahara desert is wide open and sparsely populated, a great source of sun and wind,

  • and a prime location, some say, to build arrays of solar panels and wind turbines.

  • And while replacing fossil fuels is great for fighting climate change,

  • these power plants could bring more to the region than just tons of green energy.

  • According to computer modeling, they could indirectly alter the region's climate for the better.

  • Researchers say the Sahara is a great choice for energy production because not many people or animals live there,

  • and it's adjacent to lots of much more populated areas that need energy,

  • and will need more as time goes by.

  • But building renewable energy extraction methods isn't as simple as plopping them down wherever it's super sunny or windy.

  • Scientists are aware that building these structures can potentially have large-scale effects on the surrounding environment.

  • So they run climate models using supercomputers to see what those effects might be.

  • In a 2018 study, one team of researchers used such computer models

  • to determine what could happen if humans scattered the Sahara with wind turbines, solar panels, or both.

  • One thing was certain:if they were real, those solar panels and wind turbines would produce tons of power.

  • Like, over four times what the entire human race uses in an average year.

  • And that's a conservative estimate, using stats for mid-range commercial solar panels

  • that only convert 15% of the Sun's energy they absorb into electricity.

  • But that wasn't all these power plants would do.

  • The team used climate data from the entire twentieth century to make sure the model had

  • a good grasp of the real world, and then let it simulate the next one hundred years.

  • And they found some surprising changes to the Sahara's climate.

  • For one, it got hotter.

  • That's largely because solar panels can decrease the albedo, or reflectivity, of the

  • surface, because they absorb more sunlight.

  • And tall structures like wind turbines affect the overall air flow over the land, which

  • can indirectly raise temperatures, too.

  • So installing either type of power plant can actually make the region around them hotter.

  • When the team modeled installing either solar or wind farms, or both types together,

  • the local average temperatures increased by roughly one to three degrees Celsius.

  • But the simulations had a different fate for the region to the Sahara's south.

  • It's known as the Sahel, and serves as a semi-arid transition between desert and savanna.

  • Down there, temperatures slightly decreased.

  • The culprit?

  • An increase in plant coverage.

  • But where did the plants come from?

  • An increase in rain.

  • Rainfall actually increased in both the Sahara and the Sahel, compared to a control simulation with no power plants.

  • But the Sahel saw more.

  • The power plants caused an initial increase in surface friction and decrease in albedo.

  • That allowed more water to collect in the air above the region, and that means more precipitation.

  • With more rain comes more plants.

  • But the plants themselves reduce the areas's albedo and increase surface friction, so they

  • cause even more precipitation.

  • It's a positive feedback loop.

  • In fact, these models showed that 80% of the increase in rainfall was driven by the new plant life.

  • That shows how shiny new tech can have ripple effects we don't always expect, and sometimes

  • those things can be positive, sometimes they can be negative, but they need to be explored!

  • It is important to note that there were a lot of variables for the researchers to account for in their simulation.

  • Like how they physically spaced out their wind farms and what percent of land was covered by solar panels.

  • Or how efficient the panels are at converting sunlight into electricity instead of heat, and how reflective they are.

  • Tinker with any of that and the results could change.

  • But altogether, the solar and wind farms could increase rainfall in the Sahel region by twenty to fifty centimeters per year.

  • Talk about blessing the rains down in Africa...

  • That much rainfall would drastically affect the ecology of the region and the lives of people living there.

  • Like changes in agricultural yields and access to fresh water.

  • We're not qualified to say whether such deliberate climate manipulation is a good idea,

  • since the effects are so complicated.

  • And it's not clear who'd actually get to use the energy produced.

  • Those calls are best left to the people actually living there.

  • But computer simulations like these can show us just how much our tech can affect the planet -- and at a potentially remarkable scale.

  • Thanks for watching this episode of SciShow.

  • If you want to help us make smart, informative videos that are definitely not just

  • one long buildup to a Toto joke, consider supporting us on Patreon at patreon.com/scishow.

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