Name: Coronavirus: W.H.O expert explains mortality rate & threat to kids, after trip to Wuhan
Uploaded: 2020-03-24T05:10:25.000Z
Duration: 13 min 31 s
Description: Thousands of YouTube videos with English-Chinese subtitles! Now you can learn to understand native speakers, expand your vocabulary, and improve your pronunciation...

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I want to talk about your experience in China in a minute.

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But first of all, your boss, the head of the WSB K, put out a mortality rate number yesterday that had us all gasping frankly, 3.4% mortality rate for those infected, which is quite a lot higher than the 1% that we were kind of dealing with roughly beforehand explained that number to us and why he's now made that public.

Well, when you look at the numbers in China, there's different numbers, right?

And I think one of the things that worried the director general was that people were cherry picking the lowest possible numbers, and they were they were underestimating what this disease could actually do and the number that you heard yesterday.

That's if you take from the beginning of the outbreak, including Wuhan in the area's worst hit right through to today, and all of China the number is over is over three on DDE.

What people often do is they just look at those provinces outside of who bay and and where Wuhan is, and they calculate from once people really knew what they were doing, and they say Okay, at that point, it was down around 1% or under 1%.

But you know, what the director general was highlighting was, if you don't get on this fast, if you don't know what you're doing, if you're not taking care of your older population properly, this is going to have worse mortality than you're expecting.

And we have to be careful, Matt, Not not to extrapolate directly from China.

China has a different demographic than the UK, and also they're really, really good at keeping people with this disease alive long enough just to survive it.

Okay, But should we not be treating the three and 1/2 percent mortality rate as our benchmark?

Is that the new number that we should be looking out for?

No way you should be looking at is you know, this is a serious disease.

What you should be looking at and sort of madam's out a little dictatorial here.

But what we do is how many people are going to get severe deal and are we going to have to put in specialized centers and possibly ventilate to help them get through this and possibly do that for a few weeks.

How many people are gonna have mild disease that we're going to have to put in repurposed facilities, et cetera, to be ableto make sure they're not infecting other people.

We should be looking at those numbers because that's how you're gonna manage and control this and bring your mortality down.

You concentrate your resources used short in the time frame to make sure you can identify.

And very quickly you look at the high risk ones and get them into the specialized centers in case they crashed.

These are the things that we should focus on mortality rates.

It's gonna be different in different contexts.

Okay, so when you went to China, what did you discover there?

That should become a lesson to all of us all over the world.

The first thing that we discovered that I think the most important message and I have to admit I went there with quite a bias because this is a response.

And we're not used to seeing these kind of viruses controlled through these traditional uh, that's a approaches.

And that was a first year big learning from China.

And then But in terms of applying that outside of China, I think the critical things that China did well, where first of all the population knew what it was looking for it they knew what this disease was.

They knew where to go to get tested, and they could be isolated and taken care of very, very quickly.

You weren't waiting for it to walk into hospitals and infect the hospitals.

They had a very well in foreign population.

Then they had planned the capacity to be able to isolate these debate cases, and they planned the capacity be able to find the coast contacts, quarantine them, and then take care of them for the 14 days during which 5 to 10% of them would become cases on big take wings are those and what worries me?

Always mad as everyone starts with like we can't do a China did, and I said, Well, why not?

They said, Well, we can't locked out a whole city nice.

There thousands and thousands of cities, they locked down a few, which where it had really gotten out of control, and they never, ever did that again.

The only did it in one province, not in the other 30 because they figured out how to how to respond.

But still, it's It's a much bigger countries.

Well, I mean, they locked down effectively 60 million people, which is virtually the whole population of the UK.

Can you seriously imagine this government doing something similar in a country like ours?

I would be seriously surprised and and frankly disappointed if the country ever got into a situation where they even have to contemplate that.

And the great thing you're seeing that is that, you know, remember this.

Whether or not you get in a situation like China's.

It's a function of how you respond and what you're seeing as a result of the work of public health thing than the any Jess et cetera.

Is there fighting these cases fast jumping on the transmission chains.

That situation should ever have to even contemplate it.

And there's a lot of things you could do before you get there.

But so, to be clear, China had to take these draconian measures because it didn't keep its on the ball at the beginning of this infection.

Well, no one would have had their eye on the ball.

This was a new virus nobody had seen before.

They have to isolate the virus, find out what they were dealing with.

The rest of China knows howto how to approach this thing.

So you know, and look, Matt and fairness.

And I'm not saying this to to be popular in China.

Every other country in the world is known about this for six weeks, and we're still seeing it get out of control in these places.

That never happened in other parts of China afterwards.

Okay, So what is the rest of the world not doing that?

Countries like Italy or perhaps us in a couple of weeks.

Well, lots of countries are doing the right thing, but we have to what?

We have to look at matters or any barrier to finding cases very, very quickly.

Getting him tested and getting my slated.

And those barriers can be simple things as simple as our materials available in the right language.

It's they're looking for a fever and a cough.

What I've heard in some places, people say, is calling your GP.

Well, try and get through to your GP during the day, right?

And maybe there are for those Friday writer and then they're out for the weekend.

You've left this infected person potentially in the community for three or four more days.

You have to look at every single thing that might slow down the chance of you finding that person, isolating him to help them survive the disease and to help others not get infected.

There's a big debate about closing down schools.

What's the point of closing down schools of kids?

Well, kids are a pretty special part of our population.

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Coronavirus: W.H.O expert explains mortality rate & threat to kids, after trip to Wuhan

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