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It can be hard to make rational sense of the world.
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But is your brain your own worst enemy?
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Here are four of the many ways your brain's processing shortcuts
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are playing tricks on you.
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Welcome to cognitive bias.
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Understanding a bit about it could change the way you see the world.
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So here goes.
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A recent peer-reviewed scientific study found caffeine consumption
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is strongly linked with developing cancer.
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On this scale,
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to what extent do you agree or disagree
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with the findings of this study?
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Relax,
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this study is fake.
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However, your answer will be directly influenced
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by the amount of caffeine you drink.
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Cognitive bias number one...
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Self-serving bias is your brain's
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strong natural tendency to interpret information in such a way as
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to unduly favour itself.
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In this experiment,
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caffeine drinkers rated the study's validity consistently lower
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than non-caffeine drinkers.
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Subjects with a negative personal stake in the outcome of research
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were less convinced by the data.
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How irrational.
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Your brain will reject perfectly viable information
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simply because it has negative implications
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for your personal beliefs and behaviours.
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Likewise, it will tend to eagerly accept information
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with positive implications,
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even if that information is flawed or inconclusive.
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So why does your brain do this?
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Self-serving bias protects one's fragile ego from threat and injury.
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That last group presentation you gave was either a success,
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thanks to your brilliant work.
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Or was a failure, thanks to everyone else.
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You gotta look after that ego.
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OK, a new thought experiment.
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Look at this parking.
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What do you think of the red car's driver?
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If you thought poorly of the driver's character,
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you have performed cognitive bias number two.
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This is your brain's attempt to explain behaviour
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by placing undue emphasis on internal characteristics of the person,
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rather than external factors.
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Consider that just moments ago,
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these cars were parked in a way
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that left the red car's driver with little option.
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Does that change your opinion?
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Fundamental attribution error is often performed when driving.
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I'm speeding because I'm in a rush,
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whereas, they're speeding because they're an inconsiderate maniac.
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Your brain has limited capacity to interpret the world.
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It can observe the badly parked car
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and understand that someone put it there,
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but that's it.
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To theorise about the historical arrangement of the cars,
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or the situational needs of the driver
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is a complex and potentially unending use
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of finite cognitive resources.
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On to the next one.
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Here's a famous experiment by Peter Wason.
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Play along at home.
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Subjects were given a three number sequence,
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told that it follows a simple rule, and asked to figure out the rule.
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They were allowed to suggest their own number sequences
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and told to continue until they were confident
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that they had cracked the rule.
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Were you thinking of a sequence like this?
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This follows the rule.
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And another, something like this?
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This also follows the rule.
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So, what is the rule?
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It's to multiply by two, right?
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Well...no.
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Your brain just performed another cognitive bias,
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The actual rules is any sequence of numbers in ascending order.
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So what went wrong?
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Your brain landed on its first hypothesis, multiply by two,
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from there, every suggested number sequence was used
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to confirm that initial hypothesis rather than actually test it.
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A rational approach would be to attempt to disprove this hypothesis
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by suggesting other number sequences that didn't follow it.
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But, your brain isn't rational.
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It has a tendency to search for, interpret, favour and recall
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information that confirms its pre-existing beliefs,
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numbers or otherwise.
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Confirmation bias is based on limitations
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in the brain's ability to handle complex tasks,
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and the shortcuts that it uses as a result.
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The brain finds it really difficult
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to test alternative hypotheses in parallel.
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It's good, but it's not that good.
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OK,
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so you've learnt a few cognitive biases,
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you're now prepared to combat them in your own brain.
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After all, knowing is half the battle, right?
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Well, not exactly.
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That's cognitive bias number four.
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The action figure and TV character, G.I. Joe,
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famously said, "Knowing is half the battle."
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When it comes to cognitive bias, he was well out.
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Knowing is one thing,
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but habits, situations and other processes still rule the roost.
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Self-awareness wont beat it.
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You may know a badly parked car does not make a bad person,
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but you'll still feel negatively towards them.
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You may know your brain will take shortcuts to confirm the hypotheses
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it already holds,
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but it will still take those shortcuts.
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You may know that your brain will protect your ego at every turn,
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but the ego security will still be out in force.
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So knowing about cognitive biases is way less than half the battle.
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Even knowing the G.I. Joe fallacy about knowing about cognitive biases,
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is still way less than half the battle.
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Funny how your brain can pontificate about its own limitations
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but do almost nothing about them.
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But, in the true spirit of cognitive bias
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you will be able to point it out in others.